PROBABLE SOVIET REACTION TO THE PUBLICATION OF US-JAPAN SECURITY TREATY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R00904A000100020040-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 13, 2005
• Sequence Number: 40
• Publication Date: August 9, 1951
• Content Type: MF

Approved For Release 2005/1 ;?Cj RDP79R00 A000 tOQ020D40-7
53570-a
Cy no. /
9 August 1951
1 ORANDUH FOR THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
SUBJECT: Probable Soviet Reaction to the Publication of US-Japan
Security Treaty
1. The Kremlin knows from public statements that security
arrangements would be made between the US and Japan in connection
with the conclusion of the peace treaty. Since the terms of the
security agreement do not go beyond what could be anticipated
from public statements, and since these terms constitute
essentially a formalization of US commitments, we believe the
publication of the text of the agreement is unlikely to alter
the intentions of the Kremlin with respect to an early assault
upon Japan. We believe, therefore, that the conclusion of STE-3
will not be affected if the subject text is released at any of
the dates specified, (13 August, circa 1 September, post-Conference).
2. From the point of view of US security interests, we
do not believe that the date of release of the security treaty
will have any appreciable effect on Soviet reactions.
25X1
Document No. -- -----------------------
No Change In Class. ^
[K Declassified
Cla#s. Changcd to: TS 3
""ext lai ?1.~~' a e: ------------------
.`tsftti.: Fi 79-3
W 1LLl.til?1 L. LlLIJ V'V.LL
Assistant Director
National Estimates
Approved For Release 200 9 ? PR00904A000100020040-7