POST-MORTEM PROCEDURES FOR ESTIMATES

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R00971A000400060050-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 6, 2005
• Sequence Number: 50
• Publication Date: May 5, 1952
• Content Type: MF

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PROCEDURES FOR REDUCING INTELLIGENCE DEFICIENCIES
IN NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE E Tfl4&TES
O/NE Revision of 0-2 Draft)
1. When terms of reference are circulated, agencies will be
requested to ascertain at once items in their fields regarding which
there is inadequate intelligence. Such items will be referred to
appropriate collection agencies with a request that needed intelli-
gence be secured, when practicable, in time for use in the estimate.
Cent. This combines paragraphs 1 and 2 of the 0-2
proposal. MsMe from verbal changes, it eliminates the idea that
agencies "indicate" (to whom is not clear) items on which intell3.-
gence appears to be inadequate. Such inadequacy can be assessed at
this stage only by the contributing agency itself, and there seems to
be little use in a procedure for indicating to 0/NE or to other
agencies what needs to be done or is being done.
2. During the preparation of the integrated draft, apparent
inadequacies that are discovered in contributions will be referred to
the contributing agencies for elaboration. This may be done in writing
or through informal conference. Sometimes the elaboration will be a
matter of research. At other times collection may be necessary.
Comment. This follows closely paragraph 3 of the 0.2
proposal. as c a the idea that reference need not be through formal
methods. Under present procedures informal discussion is frequently
used to great profit. We hope this practice will continue and expand
to the extent practicable,
3. During the formalising of the estimate by lAC representatives,
if apparently inadequate intelligence is found, the requirement may
be discussed either within the meeting or informally outside it. When
a subsequent draft is circulated, this draft will note the requirement
with a statement that the appropriate agency either has been or is
thereby requested to clarify or amplify the point,
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C+eent. This amplifies somewhat the first sentence of
paragraph*te G..2 proposal. In some cases, meetings of lAC
representatives are scheduled at such close intervals that new drafts
are not circulated between meetings. It therefore seems desirable
to provide for informal means of discussion, nuch as are now used on
many occasions. The idea of'noting requirements in the next draft
is an excellent one, however, and should be followed where there is
such a draft.
After an estimate is finished,, each agency will collect
comments from appropriate sources and refer these, to the Assistant
Director for National Estimates, On the basis of these comments,,
supplemented by its own views, the Office of National Estimates will
pursue one of the two following coarsest
(A) Prepare a "Consolidated Critique" containing the com-
ments received from agencies and also O/NE views, with a summary
indicating weaknesses in the conclusions or supporting evidence that
are suggested either by the comments or by O/jai; itself. Such a
"Consolidated Critiquee* will require no further action and will be
circulated to the agencies for information only.
(D') Draft a proposed "Statement of Intelligence Def?cien-
." This will include intelligence deficiencies pointed out in
comments received from agencies and also those believed by 0/NE to
. Following circulation of this draft Statement, O/NE will
convene a meeting to be attended by representatives of the
staffs of the a; envies, of the . eoretary of the IAC (who is also the
Assistant Diroctor for Intelligence Coordination, CIA), and to the
extent practicable of collection agencies. The purpose of this
meeting will be (1) to determine whether agreement exists among the
estimators that existing intelligence is inadequate and in what
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respects; (2) to determine whether corrective action is indicated in
the assignment of collection priorities or responsibilities for
collection. &fter this meeting the ensuing procedure will depend
on whether agreement is reached on points (1) and (2). as follow
(1) If agreement is reached on point (I)# but the
answer on point (2) in agreed to be negative -- i.e., if it
appears that everything possible is being done to Ott the
deficiencies -- the Statement will be forwarded to the IAC for
noting as an "Agreed Statementi0j, with a covering statement that
no specific action is recoauneendeed and that each agency will take
continuing action within the field of its responsibilities.
If agreement is reached on point (1) and the
answer on point (2) is agreed to be affirmative, the "Agreed
Statement* will be forwarded to the TUG for noting, accompanied
either by specific recommendations for action or by a general
reeoom endati.on that the Secretary of the I&C be directed to
explore corrective action with the agencies concerned.
(3) If agreement is reached on point (1) but there is
greement on point (2), as to whether further action is re-r
quireci:, the "Agree ` tatement0 will be forwarded to the IAC for
been unabl to reach agreement as to whether specific action is
required and indicating the names of the agencies that believe
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action is required. Dissenting agencies ray append statements
ting their disagreement and the reasons therefor. The
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Director of Central Intelligence shall then consider whether to
take action under leation 102(d)(2) of the National Security
and paragraph 3 of NSCID At Ree i sed, dated 28 March 1952.
(4) if agreement is not reached on point (1), no
"Agreed Statement" will he forwarded to the IAC. OINK will
forward its Statement (revised if necessary) to the Director of
Central Intelligence, indicating which agencies concur in it and
which disagree, and the Director shall then consider whether to
take action under Section 102(d)(2) of the National Securit Act
and paragraph 3 of NSC ID #l, Revised.
Comment-. This adopts G-21 a idea of collecting comment from
appropr ato curcesq,, but goes substantially further than the rest
of the 0-2 proposal. At the same time it attempts to limit the
amount of a ;czicy time, and specifically the nunber of rraetitigs,
required for the process. The notable differences from the 0--2
propo,ra an the reasons therefor, are as follow
1. It is left to b/NR to detor.:Niel whether a
c.