ADVANCE PORTIONS OF NIPP-67: NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE PROJECTIONS FOR PLANNING, SOVIET MILITARY FORCES THROUGH MID-1976

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R00978A000800010007-7
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 21, 2004
• Sequence Number: 7
• Publication Date: December 14, 1966
• Content Type: MF

Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79R00978A0008eO010007-7
T-O-P S-E-C-R-E-T 185979-b
14+ December 1966
Memorandum for the Secretary of Defense
SUBJECT: Advance Portions of NIPP-67; National Intelligence
Projections for Planning, Soviet Military Forces
Through Mid-1976
1. On 9 December you requested that USIB provide you with
the best quantitative interpretation of the estimates of Soviet
strategic offensive and defensive forces appearing in the recently
completed NIE's 11-8-66 and 11-3-66, in the format and level of
detail you needed for your analysis of force requirements and
for presentation of the results. In response to your request,
the attached tables were approved by USIB on (20) December for
use as projections for planning. They are, in effect, advance
portions of NIPP-67, which is scheduled for completion in the
first quarter of 1967.
2. As is the case with the NIPP series itself, these
projections are not intended to serve as a substitute for the
continuing series of National Intelligence Estimates on Soviet
military programs and capabilities. It is much more detailed than
the NIE's. The additional detail is an attempt to quantify our
basic estimates of broad trends. The figures in the tables may
GROUP 1
Excluded from automatic
downgrading and
T-0-P S-E-C-R-E-T declassification
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40.01
T-O-P S-E-C-R-E-T
create an impression of precise information, especially about
future years, which would be quite unjustifiable. In transmitting
the document, I therefore emphasize that it in fact represents a
set of Projections for Planning, and that the quantitative data
in it will provide an inadequate basis for planning unless used
in conjunction with the relevant National Intelligence Estimates.
3. In this connection, I call your attention to the
FOREWORD of NIPP-66 (31 March 1966, TOP SECRET), which sets forth
in some detail the assumptions on which projections of this sort
are based and the uncertainties in the resulting forecasts.
Richard Helms
Director
T-O-P S-E-C-R-E-T
Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79R00978A000800010007-7