NIE-32, BRIEFING

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R01012A000800050054-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 14, 2001
• Sequence Number: 54
• Publication Date: May 21, 1951
• Content Type: MF

.Aoved For ReleasV ?001/03/09 ? 1200800050054-8
21. hay 1951
IIIJO MV11 FOR 'j fl I ATIOIRL MMM",3S MAIM
SUB ,!,C'i: M,1J2D Briefing
25X1A9a
la The various agency contributions indicate no important
areas of disc roenent awn; the I11C or C/RR on the effects of the
Korean vrar on Wiese Corr..mi mist capabilities.
2. VirtualAy all the contributions ar hasize the lack of in-
formation available on China and rbst conclusions are carefully
qualified.
3 ? The conclusions rrla:icli can be r-iado from the material at
hand are as follorrs z
a. Rwnomic offoci s oi; Korean r r sl,ighat. No critical
economic problem in Corxwaist China, or in fore-
seeable futuroe
b. D:l taxy bosses I-L h --- some good units losto Also
casualties aims Junior officers and non-cur h3.Cha
c. Ibbilizationo strictly speaidn jo has actually not
taken place..ccease in Field Force units offsot
by co .? nts to Korc a. . But deployment has strenr thw
rued forces in I ctur on southeast coast and along
so tlrest bord r. "Uncon:Ltted" forces probably rel
ati vely few.
d.. Field Force ut.ts could be expanded rapidly from
L .itary District ? troops and. nili.tiae lair Force could
be redeployed from No-hi China and Lbnchuri,a without
difficulty. 1%v y now availablos but efficiency is low.
USSR has confined military aid to aircraft and POLA
Possibly also sortie small aims and a udtto% and
electronic equipment,
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. Cl
D DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUT 7R 70-2
006514
DATE' REVIEWER
Approved For Release 2001/03/09 : CIA-RDP79ROl012A0008000 0 54-8
 ,pproved For Release 2001W/09: CIA-RDP79R01012A000800050054-8
lDE
1VTIAL
No political or milltary cleavages have arisen as
a result of the K roan vrar, Ilona in prospect,
? No serious strain on Sino?-Soviet relations Ilona
in prospects
he Popular support has gamed. But no threats to con-
solidation of country* !Jay result in inhibiting
external operations as a result of larC;e military
forces necessary within CtAna,
4a It is s ggeesteed that the osti ato should be limited in
scope so that the paper trill, be as non-controversial as possible
in order to ;;et full IAC concurrences Those subsequent papers based
on this estimate will start with an agreed-upon foundations
a, It is g ested that the paper should not got into
a discussion of Chinese Coi xunis t intentions's nor
should it go into alyixlg more than a general state-
ment as to Chinese Communist capabilities to under-
take additional external m: tary operations,,
b. It . is suggested that the time scope of the paper
should be limited to the next several months*
50 One major problem of 'analysis has become evident, The
contributions and mfr o?wn thinking assess tliina ?s problems from three
distinct points of view -- economic, military, and political, This
permits a fairly clew-cut discussions but is not vet helpful in
arri vinig at an overall. estimate (the problem of adding apples and
oranges),, At' this point,, I an not sure zahethor an over-all assess-
ment can in fact be made, -because of the danger of being too glib
with respect to a complex problem on ualiich little information is
available,
bo The an tical problems, above,, suggests that the most
simple and direct approach zro-ud be to organize the paper into
the sections,, Economics, E litany, and Political, with a general
Introductory section, ands, if possible, an over-all assessment,
Mare is some useful material particularly in the military and eco-
nomic contributions vd ich could, if the Board gees, be incorporated
Into apps,
?o It is my' hope to have a draft available for Board considera-
tion on Wednesday, 23 W o Assumes that the Board review involves
no major rewrites, I believe it is possible for LIE-.32 to be taall
in the concurrence process by the time the Burma and Indochina esti-
mates are being drafteedo
Approved For Release 200'Ilff3 DP78W01012A000800050054-8