ESTIMATED FOOD PRODUCTION AND STOCKS IN THE SOVIET BLOC AND CONTINENTAL WESTERN EUROPE

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R01012A001200010021-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 21, 2005
• Sequence Number: 21
• Publication Date: October 1, 1951
• Content Type: STUDY

Approved For Rase 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79R01012h1200010021-3
ESTIIt1ATED FOOD PRODUCTION AND STOCKS IN THE SOVIET FLOC
AND CONTINENTAL WESTERN EUROPE
DOCUMENT NO.
NQ HANGS IN CLASS. t
.ECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
Washington, D.C.
October 1951
25X1
Approved For Release 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79RO1012A001200010021-3
 Approved For Ra ase 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79R010127ii 11200010021-3
ESTIIATED FOOD PRODUCTION AND STOCKS IN TIC SOVIET BLOC
AND CONTINgITAL JESTL'RN EUROPE
The food production and stock estimates given in the enclosed tables are
tentative and subject to some revisions.
The production data are listed under consumption years. The productior
figures shown under the year, 1951-52, refer to the crops harvested in the
summer, fall, and winter of 1951, or, in the case of livestock products, for
examples to output from the middle of 1951 to the middle of 1952. It should
be emphasized that production data show total output only. Such data do not
show differences in food availabilities from domestic productions since the
effectiveness of utilization (extraction rates for flour, shifts from feed
to food uses and vice versa, good or bad distribution through rationing or
otherwise, (lifferences in supply levels between farm and urban population)
is as important for such comparisons as are the spreads between gross output
figures.
The data on stocks are estimates of carry-over or end-of-season supplies
the exact date of which varies amcng the different commodities and among
different countries for the same commodity. The estimates of food stocks within
the Soviet Bloc were made on the basis of very limited information and are
subject to a wide range of error.
Production and stock estimates are not included in the attached tables for
Communist China, North Korea, and Outer Mongolia. Limited information on these
countries makes it difficult to forecast their production and stock positions
with any degree of accuracy. It is believed, however, that insofar as food is
concerned, this area would be left largely to its own resources in the event of
another world war. With the possible exception of soybean oil, the Far East
would not play a significant role in iuropean food supply' problems.
Most of the data in the attached tables were supplied b? the Office of
Foreign Agricultural Relations, USDA. Some of the estimates, particularly for
the Soviet Bloc countries, were made by CIA.
October 1951
Approved For Release 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79R01012A001200010021-3
 Approved For FWOase 20 DP79R01012A 1200010021-3
ESTIMATED FOOD PRODUCTION AND STOCKS IN THE SOVIET BLOC AND WESTERN EUROPE
(Commodity, Total Grains, Unit Measure 1,000 Metric tons)
Country
E-s-t-i-m-a-t-e-d P-r-o-d-u-c-t-i-o-n
Estimated
stocks
+
r Vt VL &%A "A" 1.L
i 1fLLLL'-l;Y.'G
1951-52 2/s 1952.53
1953-54
f
s
Total -, Total less
:pipeline
Soviet Bloc
USSR
87,000
92,000
82,800
w
15,000
11,000
European Satellites
Poland
11,525
11,425
12,700
8,900
3,025
2,150
( zechoslovaki.a
5,095
4,920
4,740
3,150
200
Germany, East
5,750
5,700
7,250
3,900
1,620
1,400
Hungary
62,465
6,59o
6,810
3,500
805
650
Rumania
7,935
7,995
8,410
5,300
1,395
1,050
Bulgaria
3,840
3,900
3,045
1,714
525
380
Albania
242
--235
-
-
Total European
40,852
10,765
/ 36,690
42,955
26,464
7,570
630
5
Satellites
,
"ota1, Soviet Bloc
127,852
132,765
119,490
22,570
16,630
7eatern Europe
Austria
1,780
1,700
1,701
1,236
370
240
Belgium
1,363
1,435
1,525
959
275
150
Denmark
3,775
3,830
4,038
2,635
145
65
Finland
1,330
1,1190
1,070
810
60
France
13,525
13,750
12,776
9,350
500
50
Italy
11,605
11,880
11,360
7,160
1,000
300
Luxembourg
Netherlands
1,335
1,375
1,1180
769
475
225
Norway
363
375
376
316
270
150
Portugal
1,695
1, 455
1,577
810
100
Saar
Spain
8,407
7,175
7,015
4,235
100
Sweden
2,502
2,750
2,603
1,936
350
250
Switzerland
432
425
561
303
540
395
West Germany
10,300
9,900
10,300
6,500
1,500
750
West Berlin
Yugoslavia
81006
716R8
7,756
1,905
525
200
Dta1, Western Europe
66,1118
65.0228
58,961
64,138
41,924
6,210
2,775
GRAND TOTAL
194.9270
197,993
178,!!51
23,780
19,405
(See attached sheet for footnot~
Approved For Release 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79R I012AO01200010021-3
 Approved Fori?,91ease 200 -CTA--RDP79R01012P801200010021-3
ESTIMATED FOOD PRODUCTION AND STOCKS IN THE SOVIET BLOC AND WESTERN EUROPE
(Commodity Bread Grain, Unit Measure 1, 000 Metric Tons)
E-s-t-i-m--a-t-e.d P.r-o-d-u-c-t-i.-o-n
Estimated
Country
stocks
2Word War II mid-1952
1951-5
195253 1/ : 19538.54 1/ : High
; ow : Total.: Total less
;pipeline.
Soviet Bloc
USSR
5 7, 000
60, 000 2/ 54,000
/10, 000
7,000
European Satellites
Poland
79 950
7,900 7, 900
14, 900 1/2,500
2,150
Czechoslovakia
2,670
2P570 2,570
1,65o V 190
Germany, East
3,550
3,500 4,100
2,300 91,600
1,400
Hungary
2,880
2, 990 3, 000
1, 000 V 750
600
Rumania
29870
2, 980 32000
1,800 51 700
560
Bulgaria
2,320
2,400 1, 700
1,200 C' 500
380
Albania
72
70 naa,,
na.
Total European
Satellites
22012
22,410 20,170 22,270
12.,850'L'-/6 2901'$
5 090
Total Soviet Bloc
79, 000
82,410 74,170
16, 290 .
12,090
Western Eurp8e
Austria
975
875 809
612 350
240
Belgium
660
700 950
500:y 250
150
Denmark
54o
58o 688
427 60
25
Finland
470
56o 390
320 60
France
7s750
8,150 7,350
5,35o 400
Italy
79225
7,00 7,231
4,654 / goo
250
Luxembour
g
Netherlands
66o
690 949
4249 175
75
Norway
57
75 91
74 L9J 200
115
Portugal
825
675 '115
380 100
Saar
Spain
5,025
4,000 3, 500
2s275 100
Sweden-
777
950 929
610 / 300
225
Switzerland
270
265 280
187 / 400
325
West Germany
5,700
5,500 5.9200
3,500 V1,200
600
West Berlin
Yugoslavia
2L 10
.21700 2, 750
1, 000 / 350
200
'otal Western Europe
33, 744
33&350 30, 015 31,832
20&313 4,845
205
2
-
4
GRAND TOTAL
11.12, ?44
11.5, 760 104385
21,135
14,295
(See attached sheet for footnotes)
Approved For Release 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79R01012A001200010021-3
 Approved ForOlease 2 - d. A-RDP79R010101200010021-3
ESTIMATED FOOD PRODUCTION AND S CKS IN THE SOVIET BLOC AND WESTERN EUROPE
(Commodity Other Grains 20, Unit Measure 1 ,,000 Xetric tons)
Country
E-s-t-i-m-a-t-e-d P-r-o--d-u-c-t-i-o-n
: Estimated
Stocks
/
World War II
: mid-1952 3/
1951-52 1 :
1952-53 1
e 1953-54 2/
I g
Low
:Total:Total 1
.pipeline
USSR
30,000
32,000
2128,800
W
k
. 15,000
14,000
European Satellites
Poland
3,575
3,525
11,8oo
14,00o
475
Czechoslovakia
2,425
2,350
2,170
1,500
10
Germany, East
2,200
2,200
3,150
1,600
20
Hungary
3,585
3,600
3,810
2,500
f 55
50
Rumania
5.9065
5,015
5,410
3,500
J 695
490
Bulgaria
1,520
1,500
1,345
514
25
Albania
170
165
n.a.
n.a.
Total European
18,540
18:355
3116,520
20s685
132614
/1, 280
5110
Satellites
-otal, Soviet Bloc
148,540
50,355
45,320
6j280
11,5140
-extern Europe
Austria
805
825
892
6214
20
Belgium
703
735
575
1459
25
Denmark
3,235
3,250
3,350
2,208
85
140
Finland
860
930
680
1490
France
5,775
5,600
5,426
4,000
100
50
Italy
4,380
11,250
4,129
2,506
100
50
Luxembourg
Netherlands
675
685
531
345
300
150
Norway
306
300
285
2142
70
35
Portugal
870
730
862
1430
Saar
Spain
3,382
3,175
3,515
1,960
Sweden
1,725
1"100
1,674
1$326
50
25
Switzerland
162
160
281
116
140
70
West Germany
14,600
11,1400
5,100
3,000
300
150
West Berlin
Yugoslavia
5,196
J.298
5,006
3,905
175
otal, Western Europe 32#674 3L878 28,9146 32..3o6 21.9611 M2/1,365 22 570
81,9214 82,233 74.1266
Approved For Release 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79RO1012A001200010021-3
(See attached sheet for footnotes)
7,6145 5,llo
 Approved Foriivlease 200'j DP79R0101 01200010021-3
ESTIMATED FOOD PRODUCTION AND STOCKS IN TEE SO=, T BLOC AND NEST M EUROPE
(Commodity Sugar (Refined), Unit Measure 14000. Metric tons)
Country
USSR
European Satellites
E-s-t-i-m-a-t-e-d P-r-o-d-u-c-t-i-o-n
Estimated
Stocks
s World ar T : m3.d-1952
1951-522/- 1952-5311 : 1953-542/ : Iffih Low :Total:Total less,
z : :Dive]ine
1,980 1,980 ./ 1,780
23
Poland
Czechoslovakia
Germany, East
Hungary
Rumania
Bulgaria
Albania
'100
750
725
235
100
60
900
725
700
210
110
65
525
650
860
180
110
15
175
10o
13o
6
30
15
/ 530 195
J 190 170
/ 1o0 375
' 130 120
f 28 21
31 32
Total European
Satellites
2,770
2,710
2/ 2,165
2,370
1,056
J1,63.2 a.,5].3
'otal, Soviet Bloc
estern Euro e
19750
4,720
2/4,245
Austria
135
130
1211
20
25
Belgium
300
320
229
28
1
21100 60
,
Denmark
330
300
261
165
Finland
27
29
.3
7
France
1,200
1x100
662
299
200
Italy
Luxembourg
650
600
403
129
X150 50
Netherlands
Norway
Portal
Saar
360
330
272
37
50
Spain
290
? '0
161
86
Sweden
300
30J
302
2159
W100 10
Switzerland
25
25
20
17,
LV120 80
West Germany
West Berlin
19000
1,050
555
270
200
Yugoslavia
- 100
110
75
35
Total, Western Europe
4, 717.
4. .544
3,635
3,070
1,452
915 230
(See attached sheet for footnotes)
Approved For Release 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79RO1012A001200010021-3
 Approved Forl lease 2005WMTTm1a=RDP79R0101 Z* 01200010021-3
ESTIMATED FOOD PRODUCTION AND STOCKS IN THE SOVIET BLOC AND WESTERN EUROPE
(Commodity Potatoes, Unit Measure 19000 Metric tons)
E--s-t-i-m-a-t-e-d P-r-o-d-u-c-t- -o-n
Country
Estimated
stocks
1951-52
1952-53 1953.54 1/
f
Low s mid&1952
USSR
78s,000
78, 000 / 788 000
European Satellites
Poland
31,000
31,000
30,000
278000
Czechoslovakia
7, 500
?s500
6, 800
4,450
Germany,, East
13,000
13,9000
15, 500
10,000
Hungary
2,680
2,020
3,000
1,700
Rumania
1,225
19540
2,000
1,200
Bulgaria
105
110
220
80
Albania
Total European
Satellites
55..51o
55,?1.70 / 55,,170
57,52o
44,430
Total Soviet Bloc
133,510
133,170 / 133,170
57,520
449430
Western Europe
Austria
2, 700
2$675
2$897
1.9946
Belgium
2,200
2,700
3,000
1,650
Denmark
1, 725
1, 825
1,, 941
1,316
Finland
1,150
12200
1.9200
600
France
14000
14, 500
12,500
109 000
Italy
3040
2, 800
3s299
1,9467
Luxembourg
Netherlands
3,300
3,550
14,550
2,x590
Norway
10295
1000
1078
938
Portugal
925
950
896
616
Saar
Spain
3,150
3000
14,1400
2,900
Sweden
2$030
20000
2$294
1,1435
Switzerland
19000
1, 000
19824
914
West Germany
23,500
23,000
20,300
15,,000
West Berlin
Yugoslavia.
2, 0144
1, 900
1, 700
1, 200
_'otal, Western Europe
62,655
62, 700 629 700.
629179
142, 572
GRAND TOTAL
196,165
195, 870 195s,870
(See attached sheet for footnotes)
Approved For Release 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79RO1012A001200010021-3
 Approved For 4elease 2 1'17-"crA-RDP79R01012A001200010021-3
ESTIMATED FOOD PRODUCTION AND STOCKS IN THE SOVIET BLOC AND WESTERN EUROPE
(Commodity Meat, Unit Measure 1,000 Metric Tons)
Country
E-s-t?-?i-m-a-t--e-d P-r--o-d.u.-c-t-i-o_n
t 1952-53 9 s 1953-54 Y Nigh
Soviet Bloc
USSR
3a 370
European Satellites
Poland
970
Czechoslovakia
1475
Germanys East
500
Hungary
285
Rumania
250
Bulgaria
160
Albania
Total European
Satellites
2, 6140
Total Soviet Bloc
6,010
4astern Futuna
Austria
270
Belgium
.330
Denmark
615
Finland
122
France
2, 525
Italy
810
Luxembourg
Netherlands
403
Norway
115
Portugal
155
Saar
Spain
625
Sweden
334
Switzerland
180
West Germany
1,65o
West Berlin
Yugoslavia
420,
Total Western Europe
-81554
GRAND TOTAL
114$ 561
3,500 V 3$150
1$ 000
500
550
300
275
170
Low a
I/
1,200 725
550 4170
625 350
?-,~
2, 795
Y 2, 515
2s375
1v%5
6$ 295
Y5,665
297
260
200
380
310
190
575
650
325
120
105
78
2.,65o
2, 000
1,g 600
830
800
400
460
332
145
132
88
64
170
750
140
635
boo
550
3140
350
19].
207
180
114
1,9900
1, 500
850
9 136
7,271
1-Y 7.925
14.847
15,1431
120936
(See attached sheet for footnotes)
Approved For Release 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79RO1012A001200010021-3
Estimated
stocks
mid-.1952
2/
 Approved For ,Please 2QA5~0_ (L2. , -RDP79R0101 X01200010021-3
ESTIMATED FOOD PRODUCTION AND STOCKS IN THE SOVIET BLOC AND WESTERN EUROPE
(Commodity All Fats and Oils, Unit Measure 1,000 Metric tons)
Country
Stocks
mid-x.952
19.51-52 .1 :
3952-53 MJ :
1953-54 .;V
High
Low
:
z nipeli.ne
-.et Bloc
USSR
1,600
1,700
?/ 1,530
w
ill
European Satellites
Poland
292
307
r 95 V 80
Czechoslovakia
132
132
y n
Germany, East
170
180
13
Hungary
17'0
180
10
Rumania
128
133
23 2/ z5
Bulgaria
58
63
4
Albania
Total European
Satellites
950
995
2/. 895
156 95
tal Soviet Bloc
2,550
2,,695
/ 2,1425
stern Burma
Austria
54
57
66
449
Belgium
103
111
82,
56
30 15
Denmark
191
183
183
1:14
Finland
L2/ 8
12 0
France
405
413
335
230
40
Italy
475
400
460
2140
50
Luxembourg
Netherlands
160
174
172
56
Norway
237
47
215
35
L6/100 L6/100
Portugal
121
84
130
68
Saar
Spain
590
140
538
327
100 50
Sweden
217
212
112
84
30 10
Switzerland
37
440
440
24
40 25
West Germany
500
545
640
335
50
West Berlin
Yugoslavia
118
123
La1, Western. Europe
3,288
2,914
2j524
V2,973
10
1,618
460 200
GRAND TOTAL
5
5,96U9
4.9949
Approved t6v4Ra%6 Eae12(t05MM f0A?130%)012AO01200010021-3
 Approved For lease 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79R01012,iD1200010021-3
ESTIMATED FOOD PRODUCTION AND STOCKS IN THE SOVIET BLOC AND WESTERN EUROPE
(Commodity Slaughter fats (fat content), Unit Measure 1,000 Metric Tons)
Country
E-s-t-i-mma-t?e?d P-r-o-d-u-c-t-i-o-n
Estimated
World War II : stocks
1951-55 1/ : 1952,53 1/ : 1953-54 High Low mid-1952
Soviet Bloc 13
,Iestern Ewe
Austria 32 35
Belgium 31 36
37
25
27
15
Denmark 34 32 35 20
Finland i2 15 12 1.5
France X55 1?5 125 85
Italy 150 150 135 75
Luxembourg
Netherlands 62 69 55 20
Norway 6 7 4 3
Portugal 27 :10 26 24
Saar
Spain A ; 85 85 65
Sweden 18 18 18 18
Switzerland 14 17 15 9
West Germany 225 265 210 125
West Berlin
Yugoslavia 65 70
otal, Western Europe 919 992 780 10 800 111 486
(See attached sheet for footnotes)
Approved For Release 2g _ ?, _G -RDP79RO1012A001200010021-3
 Approved For L ase 2005/05/12: CIA-RDP79RO1012QO1200010021-3
T
ESTIMATED FOOD PRODUCTION AND STOCKS IN THE SOVIET BLOC AND WESTERN EUROPE
(Commodity Vegetable Oils , Unit Measure 1,000 Metric Tons)
Country
E-s-t-i-zn-a-t-e-d P'-r-o-.d-u-c-t-i-o-n
1951-52 j 1952-53 . 1953-54
High
Estimated
stocks
Lola ; mid.-1952
;Total; 4 eiqe rs
jol. (elf P/L
:)viet Bloc 13
astern Europe
Austria
9
2
Belgium
5
5
12
negl,
30
15
Denmark
5
6
8
2
Finland
France
55
55
50
10
40
Italy
275
200
275
135
50
Luxembourg
Netherlands
9
16
.30
4
Norway
Portugal
90
100
440
20
Saar
Spain
500
350
450
260
100
50
Sweden
104
12
negl,
30
10
Switzerland
3
3
6
negl,,
40
25
West Germany
30
25
90
10
50
West Berlin
Yugoslavia
45
tal Western Europe
1,9123
857
857
LQJ 1,042
10
463
360
100
(See attached sheet for footnotes)
Approved For Release 1 IA-RDP79R01012AO01200010021-3 .211051
 Approved For Tease 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79RO1012A001200010021-3
ESTIMATED FOOD PRODUCTION AND STOCKS IN THE SOVIET BLOC AND o1ESTERN EUROPE
(Commodity Hahne Oil. Unit Measure It O00 Metric Tons)
Country
soviet Bloc -IL3/
Western Europe
E-s?t-i-m-a.4-e.-d P-r-o?d-uwo+t-i-o--n Estimated
stocks
odor d Wa II ;A3d-1952
1951-52 V 1952-53 V . 1953m54High Low
Austria
Belgium
Denmark
6
6
Finland
France
Italy
Luxembourg
Netherlands
negl.
15
n'egio
15
negl.
neglc
Norway
215
195
24
L6J .00
Portugal
I
l
1
l
Saar
Spain
Sweden
2
2
Switzerland
West Germany
West Berlin
Yugoslavia
-otal. Western Europe 239
17.202 l7 28
(See attached sheet for footnotes)
Approved For Release 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79RO1012A001200010021-3
 Approved For Rase 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79R01012)W1200010021-3
ESTIMATED FOOD PRODUCTION AND STOCKS IN THE SOVIET BLOC AND WESTERN EUROPE
(Commodity Butter (fat content), Unit Measure $,,D00 metric tons}
Country
E-s?t-i-m-a-t-o-d P.r-o-d-u-c-tei-o-n
Estimated
stocks
mid-1952
World War II
1951-52 : 1.952.53 1953-54 High : Low
Soviet Bloc
Wastern Europe
Austria
20 20
20
20
Belgium
67 70
45
141
Denmark
146 11114
1311
89
Finland
12J 65 R 65
France
195
195
165
?135
Italy
50
50
50
30
Luxembourg
Netherlands
74
711
87
32
Norway
16
16
16
8
Portugal
3
3
3
3
Saar
Spain
5
5
3
2
Sweden
93
92
82
66
Switzerland
20
20
19
15
West Germany
2115
255
310
200
West Berlin
Yugoslavia
11a
8
1~a 8
'otal Western Europe
1g
007
18 017 856 10
934 10
61111
(See attached sheet for footnotes)
Approved For Release 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79RO1012A001200010021-3
 Approved For'ease 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79R0101201 200010021-3
Footnotes
1/ Consumption year.
Assumes no aerial war damage and no significant removal of draft power
from farms in the Soviet Bloc.
Estimated to be available over and above working or pipeline stocks. The
estimated levels of such working stocks are indicated in individual country
footnotes.
Because of the German occupation of much of the food producing area., an
estimate for the unoccupied regions would not be realistic.
Includes working or pipeline stocks, representing about one month's supply.
Includes working or pipeline stocks, representing about 6 weeks supply.
Estimated to be available over and above working or pipeline stocks which
are assumed to be 1 to 2 months supplies, depending on the country. For
Western pe, includes only supplies of vegetable oil, except for Norway,
in which case stock figures represent marine oil.
Includes sizeable quantities which may enter trade channels during 1951-
52. It is expected that the bulk of the exports will move to the Soviet
Union.
2/ An unestimated quantity of meat will be available for stockpile.
10 Excludes Yugoslavia and Finland
An unestimated quantity of fats and oils will be available for stockpile.
CIA estimate.
13 Soviet Bloc figures on various fat and oil co imodities not shown separately;
included in "All Pats and Oils" table.
Includes Kaymak.
Estimated available over and above working or pipeline stocks, which are
assumed to be 1 or 2 months supplies (on a "total fats requirements basis"),
depending on the country.
16 Expected to be available for export from Norway's whale oil catch In the
spring months of 1952.
17 Excludes Netherlands.
18 Includes an estimated 300 to 500 thousand metric tons which may be exported
to non-Soviet Bloc countries in 1951-52.
22/ Includes working or pipeline stocks representing about 10 weeks supply.
LO/ Includes all grains except wheat and rye (includingg, rice which is of minor
importance).
Includes an estimated 100 to 300 thousand metric tons which may be exported
to non-Soviet Bloc countries during 1951-52.
.L2/ Includes primarily commercial stocks of which about one-half are estimated
to be over and above normal pipeline stocks.
.L3/ An unestimated quantity of sugar will be available for-stockpile.
2!t Includes working or pipeline stocks, representing about 2 months supply.
Approved For Release 2005/05/12 : CIA-RDP79RO1012A001200010021-3