WORKING GROUP REPORT ON RAILROAD TRANSPORTATION CAPABILITIES OF COMMUNIST CHINA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79R01012A004000010020-6
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 4, 2013
• Sequence Number: 20
• Publication Date: February 2, 1954
• Content Type: MEMO

Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/01/04: CIA-RDP79R01012A004000010020-6
Q S_ - U
ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE COMMITTEE
FEB 2 1954
MEMORANDUM FOR: Assistant Director for National Estimates
SUBJECT . Working Group Report on Railroad Transportation
Capabilities of Communist China W/o AT7-
1. In reference to your memorandum of 28 December 1953, I
am attaching the report of the Working Group of the EIC Subcommittee
on Transportation, summarizing their principal areas of disagree-
ment as to-.the transport capabilities of Chinese Communist railroads
in.1952, together with a statement of underlying reasons for the
principal differences in capability estimates. Although the EIC
has found itself unable to furnish you with as clear and precise
an explanation of areas of agreement and disagreement as you re-
quested, its members have accepted this report of the Working Group
for transmission to ONE. Each of the members generally support the
agency view expressed by his member of the Working Group.
2. It is regrettable that this Working Group has not proved
able to reach a greater consensus of views, or at least a narrower
range of difference in these estimates. I also should have much
preferred a clearer summary statement of the basic differences in
approach and in methodology which have led to such widely differing
estimates. Most of the Working Group representatives have taken
the position that any summarization whatever of their different
detailed positions would do violence to the integrity of their
respective technical analyses.
3. In essence, therefore, the Working Group has come up with
five separate presentations of position - one for each agency.
These are presented as five separate appendices, and the body of
the report includes a tabular summation of principal differing
statistics. A discussion of some of the problems which were con-
sidered most troublesome is also included, but without any attempt
to analyze or compare the different agencies' positions on any of
these issues.
4. The members of the Working Group are indicated on the at-
tached report. They understand that your Office may be calling
upon them individually or collectively for further clarification
DOEUREPfNcahe res~*~gcy views presented.
NO CHANGE FN CLASS. F-1
DECLASSIFIED
/ICILASS. TO, TS S C
NEXT X7 REVIEW
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AUTH: HR 1).2 OTTO E. G
Oa7E: Attachments~Ra-~Lt Chairman
4' c9cS, Economic Intelligence Committee
.C% r n n r- -V-
Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/01/04: CIA-RDP79RO1012AO04000010020-6