IRISH ELECTION ON 4 OCTOBER 1961

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79S00427A000500020009-4
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
C
Document Page Count: 
3
Document Creation Date: 
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date: 
November 23, 2004
Sequence Number: 
9
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
September 20, 1961
Content Type: 
IM
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79S00427A000500020009-4.pdf107.68 KB
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CON~`IDENTIAL Approved For?iRele,~,ge 2004/12/13: CIA-RDP79S00421~140f~00020009-4 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY OFFICE OF CUR.TtENT INTELLIGENCE 20 September 1961 OCI No. 3620/61 Copy No. CURRENT INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM SUBJECT: Irish Election on 4 October 1961 1, Offices to be filled: All 144 seats in the new Dail ar iamen w e filled, after which the Taioseach (prime minister) will form a new government. The election is manda-tort' by March 1962. Since Irish elections are based on the proportional representation system, the results will not be known until a day or two after the election. 2. Party Strengths (as result March 1957 elections): Party Dail Seats Fianna Fail ?8 Fine Gael 40 Labor 12 Sinn Fein 4 Clann na Talmhan 3 Clann na Poblachta 1 Independents g 3. Backgrounds The two principal parties are now virtually identical in their program and orientation, although originally Fine Gael was distinguishable by its greater Approved For Release 2004/12/13: CIA-RDP79S00427A000500020009-4 CQNFIflENT1AL CONFIDENTIAL _ Approved Fq~se 2004/12/13: CIA-RDP79S004~'i4~500020009-4 sympathy for retention of Commonwealth ties. It generally receives the vote of the wealthier and pro-British elements. Both parties are essentially .center-oriented; they advocate strengthening `the economy through 1i~-ited state assistance rather than through socialism, and the ending of partition by peaceful means. While still proclaiming Ireland's need to maintain a neutral course, both parties have upheld the trend toward mare active participation in foreign affairs which Irish membership in the U1`T has accelerated. Prime Minister and .leader of Fianna Fa it Sean Lemass and Fine Gael leader James Dillon will be waging their first election campaign as party leaders. Lemass succeeded Eamon de Valera at the time of the letter's retirement in June 1959, while Dillon was unopposed in his election as president' of Fine Gael in February 1960., Each man is 62 years old. 4. Election Outlook: In his announcement of 9 September setting 4 October as the election date, Lemass listed Ireland's application fbr membership in the European Economic Community as an important reason why the election should not be delayed, but there has been little evidence of any widespread interest in this govern- ment move. Fianna Fail will probably try to make the success so far of Ireland's five-year economic expansion program, adopted in 1959, the main cam- paign issue. There is no indication at this time that public concern over the Irish troops fighting with UN forces in Katanga will be directed in crit- icism against the government or that Fine Gael will seek to'exploit the situation. The Lemass government's record will make it difficult for the Fine Gael to offer any effective attack during the campaign. Tts leaders, as well as Approved For Release 2004/12/13: CIA-~P79S00427A000500020009-4 CONFIDENTIAL C?111F117ENTIAL Approved For~le,~e 2004/12/13: CIA-RDP79S00421~ 0(,00020009-4 those of the Labar party, have privately conceded that Fianna Fail will again emerge as the largest single partyo HUNTINGTON D. SHELDON Assistant Director Current Intelligence Approved For Release 2004/12/13: CIA-~DP79S00427A000500020009-4 CONFILjEI~'TIAL 25X1