D/1, USAF SUGGESTED CHANGES TO SE-8: 'POSSIBLE COMMUNIST OBJECTIVES IN PROPOSING A CEASE FIRE IN KOREA' (DREFT OF 3 JULY 1951)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79S01011A000400020006-8
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 10, 2000
• Sequence Number: 6
• Publication Date: July 5, 1951
• Content Type: SE

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D/I, USAF SUGGESTED CHANGES TO SE-8s
"P?SSIBLE CO: dil:+fiST O..JECTIVES IN PROPOSI."low of this doaaraent by CIA has
~----- N PRO ermined that
CIA has no objection to deolass
A CEASE FIRE IN KOREA" It contains Information of CIA
Interest that must remain
(Draft of 3 July 1951) classified at Ts S C
Authority: HR 70.2
^ it co ains nothing of CIA Intorist
able Reviewer QI~L 1ia
1. Reference Page i, Par 1, first sentence, Revise as fol owes
We believe that, while the Kremlin has probably not decided upon
any specific course of action, it is likely that the Communists desire
l to eleee-oat disengage the Korean conflict.
20 Reference Page 2. Insert the following as new paragraph 2
and re-number succeeding paragraphs accordingly-8 the-t the Kremlin is fully aware that
esa* tiw1(dieengalrement in Korea will permit utilization of the
Chinese Communist resources elsewhere in Asia, and free
Communist resources generally for utilization
in the world,
em
lo
t
S U
.,
p
ymen
o
N t orces be more
w?ra-ioultr and less tive a ainst d aggression elsewhere? but in
A of 41111j a "Corporals s Guard" by the
Chinese Communists in the Korean or Manchurian
stantial UN forces there.
3. References Page 2, Par 2. Revise first sentence as followss
We believe that the Kremlin is probably reluctant to accept at
this time the greatly increased risk of general war that would result It
it took the saHirtary measures necessary to brig-t+~l? ?eonmeesci?~k~ret
~ta?oCtesesefrst1-sone~taQi a oyeroome,, by military action, the US forces
in Koreas
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I P79S01011 A000400020006-8
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Nor, can the possibility-be overlooked that the cease fire pro-
.. wrwrw..rrrr rrr..~.~r
sal is deliberate treachery and acover for a Communist surprise
attack in the Far East or elsewhere. Whatever the Soviet motivein
suggesting a cease fire the increased Communist offensive capability
resulting from a suspension or interruption in military action will
? e rOeir bargAIMng position at all stages of negotiations.
rrrr+wri+rww wr~+r ^
5o Reference Page'?, Par. U. Revise as follows s
it. The Communists clearly are etrrii to improve
their military 22a Mon.vefiftiraee -Awe
diacussio s. They muy intend (1) to use the time gained by the cease
fire proposal solely to improve their military position prior to a new
offensive; (2) to use the time gained by the armistice and post-
armistice negotiations to improve their military posi(i;on and then
lauzr,h t 1r offens y6; or (3) to use the armistice and post-armistice
negotiations as a first step toward the liquidation of the Comntuiist
military venture in Korea. If the Communists pursue either of the first
tPrd objectives, their tactics will vary depending upon the length of
time they may require to iriprove their militar;;r position. If they pur-
sue the third alternative, they may attempt to liquidate the Korean
conflict , OM 40
sasbesift by retaining the division of Korea at the 38th Parallel, or
#iseg m proceed from the armistice to a political settlement of the
Korean conflict and even of broader Far Eastern issues; (4) to use pro-
stice or poet armistice political nego_tiationa
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Oman essential diaeMmmml of their forces and so to free
them for deployment and eeEloyment elseehere~ or r to use the
?tiatians ae a cover for the possible lannchin~ of. a global scot .
Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79S01011A000400020006-8