SE-23: PROSPECTS FOR THE ESTABLISHMENT OF AN INCLUSIVE MIDDLE EAST COMMAND ORGANIZATION
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79S01011A000600040009-1
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
S
Document Page Count:
7
Document Creation Date:
December 9, 2016
Document Release Date:
December 3, 1999
Sequence Number:
9
Case Number:
Publication Date:
February 27, 1952
Content Type:
MEMO
File:
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Body:
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t
CEI~Ti~1i:~ IN~E~-Ta Tt~ENCF Af~ENC~C
f7~'FICF DF I~l4~iDT~'9h ~TTMA~':
2? Febxnaary 192
MFPRDiil~i TD$ MrQ Allan Fvva~n.~~ ~l~t
1iO~.0Y3?~. ~ o .~ a Ta'~.ley, ~?`~'
CStptaiari, Rey Nalpass, ~l
Ce)lOnel Fd~t~trd. Hc, ~rtera AFD1
Gol.t?n~-l ~a ~'[~ ~ansirig, J`If~
~THJFCT s uE?~'~; Prr?sperta far the Fgtabliahiment o~
an Tnalvas3.va ~lidd7le Fast Cear+~mnnd Dr~ax~.sation
la T.he attaohed terms ~df xe:~e~r~ce have been ccx~a~d~,nated
~d3.th tho I~1~ 5ta~'~ r~x!d x?e~ar~asera~t the NSG requirement fear
sta.b~ect estis~.teb
20 ~inee the entire rec~uir+e~~e~1t ~all.,s entirely, if neat
~axcslusivelyy within the dcaxrta~,n c-F the Department of 4Stat-~at and
beca~a,se o~ t$Q relati~ ~argan+~y o~ the project ~ IAD to ~aeet
os~ 13 P~areh), we prbp?:3e n?st to meet an these terms o~ .refer-
ence v~.es:s Dl'Ft wants a meetiro~p
3$ ~?~ ig re eatecl ~a prepare the entire +noa~tmibution and
submit text tea DF bar ~5 Y4nx~sh~ A,1~. other a~ena;iee are rem
c~uer~ted to aontribufi~ any anatex~i.a~. c~ons~.dered apprc~p~ats by
that saute dated
25X1A9a
D1?stx?ibution n8~
F.aaacutiv~ ~cretary
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DOGGMENT NO.
MO CHANOE FN CLASS. ~
DECLASSIFIED
L SS. CHANGED TO: TS 5 C
NEJIT REVIEW DATE:
AUTNe HR 70.2
D~P79S01011~ QEe:_?18557
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~ECYTI"tI'Tl' ~1~?fl~tM'~T~o~J
~EriTRAL ~~~E~Lx~Enrc~ ~~I=ai~c~'
i7I+?FI~F; ~F I~~1TO?SIIIZ E~~'~g~iTS~S
27 ~eb~?~aary lqa~
~3~~'E~T~ i'F~Y t?F' RERE3~'~:Ex SE~~~s I'RCi~T'k~CTS I~~~Iti 'I'FIE EuTAI~I.1:~~~
~I~~ ~~ ~ xNC,~~z~ r7zal~z.~
E~ cr~~z~.nr~ o~rt~aa~TZO~t~
To a~n~.y~? trte nox~ factor, s affectixxg the formation of an
inc3~xsive AEG and to estir~a~ce the ~~osp?cts for tree establi~alxm
anent of st~.ch ~, orgaxat.~ataoz~ dta~,.ng ].9,20
The P~e~ gill fait iYxto free broad di~3.siona designed toa
(~} ~tt~marir~ briefly the devolop~ient of the P~7C conce~~t; (b}
ana~.y~e the mr~or factors ~fecting ttre farm3tion of an inclusi~
MEC; and (c } ~ irx tlx: light of tlxe ~.scu.seian in (a} and (b} ~
estimate the F~apects for the establishm~xxt of such an organi~ab
tion ~.i.r~,rxg 19~2s
~' `.homes exn. I?owez~s and Turkey may triemsel~s establish
ass ~ ?pan inclusive diddle East Cor-~nand orgaxxi~ati.on01 ie
hox?ei-n d;efinsd as one ~h3.ch obta3,.a~s tlsn actin coo~erat~.on
o.f rest of 'the I~.ddle Easfern couuntrieso
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t~IIF~5T:T41T~ ~3FAR~a ON TAE PROB~,E~~
.i.n A Aftl.l~C9 n+Vl'U~'33L1 V~6' li~~ SJ r La-d'1L'S~ (~~ T~ju l'1tJ1.+ ItOLYVEJI"L
Aa Tr?t'lat is "~1t3 r9EQ concc~pt~
la ?C~hat were the main pxrovj.aions of the !s-poeaer ~~-mrman~,~
cation #~ Egypt of 1.3 Uctnber 1951?
2a What were the mein pravis~.ona of the to Nover~er
statement of principles zs~nt to the other Arab states
and Isr~,1'y
k3o ta~hat a~ the ob~ectiue8 0,# the sponsors of the M~jC concept?
To whet ent da -their Qi.ews on the t~~ differ?
C~ h'hat have been the e~~'ficial. reactions to the PgEC x-fs
~.~ F~gpt3
20 The ether Arab states?
.gyp Israel?
IIo WHA'~ t~A10R FACT~I~S, HoTH FAOt~R~.B~ APB UDT1~ AVOFtABLE~ T~tAY
THE .~'t3RtYATI~PT !7F AST IPTC~J51'PE P~F,C Ci1~34PtTZATTON"?
Ao To what ent doe$ aea~i:~ent in tkcs a~a, r~i.th ~'esper~t tc
the Br3.tish af~'eat the Formation of the N~C7 ~Wh~1.s th?
AngloPEgyptian diapnte is th~r most obvious manif`e~station
of~eentiment 3n the area? the questioner whieh fol~.ow should
'be cansidered for other pates of the area es wells)
lQ To what eint cAo ttie fo~,.l.s~wing aspectas of the URQs
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pasiti.on in the Diddle Ea?t affect AEG d~relopmentss
a4 Uritish trusty rights, occupation policies, arms
assistance policies?
bm British econor~i.c and financial relations with the
BE states?
cq Politico]. inf"tuence e~?orted through Hr3tis'h indi-
vic~ala in kep gositi.ans?
Territorial di.sgu.tes?
eo l~iatorical and gsgchalagica7. factors?
2a which mf tY~esc~ fa~:tors are of garticulai? importance in
cantributing to MEC developments? In ~taat countries?
3, t~lhiesh of these factors are of garticular i~-portance in
c~betr~zcting M'~C develogments? Tn what cc~untriee?
eta What specifies deve7.o~?nts ~.n QK~Arab relations ~rould
s$gnificor~tly impmve prospects of the i~C?
To whoa extent does sentiment in the area with respect to
the US affect the formation of the Nike? With r.~~ape:st to
Franc?? With rrespect to the US~SR't (To be developed as
in Tl A, insofar as the questions are appli.aabl~.)
Cp What is the effect of ~,rab~Zsraeli tension on ~~~ devQlop~-
ments?
to Fiow ~aportant are the follawing conaideratiansg
r~
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ao ~x'ab conv~.ct~.on that this t3a^ 3s ~xp~or~~.n~ Tsrae~.
at tha Ads ~ ea~ens~'?
b@ !~?ab ~ea~? that the ~ is a '~este~n a.tte~t tcA
#o~c~ the A,x?abs ~ mad~.#y the:~~ ~.tt~.tude t~awarci
??s~a~si~
c., Ab~ab hope that th~o~a~h the P+,~ the st~a~th of
tl~ak~ #o~c.es ~z.~s~a~~.s Is~?se~, ~.].~. ~.nc~ease?
~.~ ~s~~~i fear thr~,t ~~,b saail,ita~y ~'a~es ta~.l be
irs~~.J.t n~7
2Q t~Y~3at aye t7ie ~~csa~ects #a~ a ~ec~.ict~.c~n ~?.~ ir~x~e~Q)
o# tt~?abmTsx~aex~. t.,ensions?
ad ~.s s. ~es~.t e~#' r~i,o~pments 3.~ the area?
b a .As a ~?es~.l.t cs# U ~ aetioxt? H~?~.ti sh actiora~ ~`~ench
action
~3~ twat athc~x rn~or #sc~s ~#~'ecatin~ ~ de~elcrp~ents~
is i'o zahat ent dis the Arab caunta?ies fear that the MSC
is s~esired to st~e~~~therx ~este~a~x :?.n.~~1.~zeaace in the Fes?
as A,re they d.i:~t~.~aes~ 'hy t~i~r ~csss~.b?~li,ty o# the
t,Testean pox?s aciain~ as a ccyo~dinated blrc ~.n
deal.3xi~s .th thc~ %.~.~.~.le fast cotu'at~ias?
bQ A~?r~ tkaey d~.stt~x~bed byP the gossib3lity 4# the t~Jeetg~
powers ac~apt~.n~ pa~icies desi~aasd to x~~estab].ish
s~rhe~s ?# :i.~~f~,.zxence in the ~iddl.e asst?
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~? ~'Q '1~1~ir ~'1~ !! #lAl'~'+!'Jl~~ll~ j.~.~.'~ i '~F~,ppw
vents?
a4 To whst extent is this nentx~.i~ the i'ess~t of
snti.-~~destern ~'eelin~7 ~ht it bs expected tc~
r~aa3n e~r~ang even if relations betcn th+~
Western pflwere and the :~9,ddie Saet cc~tntz~.ea
9 mprnved sig~nifiCant],y*?
bm ~o what extent is this. neatralis~ c,~RSed ter a
a?nvict~.on in the N~.cid~.e fast that the jest is
incaYaaYale~ of defer~din~ t.~ae ax?$a agai~x~ Soviet
essia~uY
30 ~a ghat e~ctent doers the desire of the Mld~~.e ~~;.st
cs~u~atries far ~-s+etern ~il.itar~ and ecurwr+~.c aesist~
ante affect the3.r att~i,tur~e ta~rard th~- T~~
~~r do the !'~id~l].e t countries v~.~r the ~articip~~.
tinn in the MEC cft
an ~urkegr'~
b, Auet~r'a~.3.a, ~Iew 7.ea].ande South A.frica'~
5a Tc wheat extent do r3.va~.ries among tk~e Ara~a stete?
affect the-i~.~ attituele toward the M~JC?
Illo 1N ~'~F~i flF' TAE F~.CTO~tS T~ I ANU IT T+r1FIAT ARF: ~ P~,t~S~~C`~S ~'fJR
~~
'C~i~ ~2ABLTSI~MEi-1'p flF AST II~G~TS~ AS~IG C1~CAN2?.~,'~l~T .t~3RiE11f~ :I9.ra~?
Ao ~:s a e~attlement +af the At~g7.cv~tian arntrcrvers~
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'~
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assent~.al to thy; ~stat~lis~~rsent of ae izaclusive ri~]t;?
~~at znvx ~.ssues strr,~d i~z ~~ze ~~ of ~. sez,t3.a~:~zent? What
~spe~ts xaf' ?~e I'~: ctax~e~p?~ asye ].i.Z~el~- to bey ~?ss~.sd
the ~%~~pti.arzs iai the na~tiat3.ons fvr~ .~, sett~.t~$?
~~zat mould ~Se i~ho eff?~ct on the rze~ot3.at3.ons of ~ ~JS
oi'ft~z? stat~.e~n tvk~n .so~cea iza. E~rpt, (o~ a~~Q~ c~ls~
ire the Imo? j
~ Q ~vw cnul.d t~xe os~a~s~.za.t~.ora k~e ex~p~ted ~ cle~lvp irz
the t~~rent ref a sa~_~xt~.Qn oaf .the U~~~ti~~n ~vntr+v~er~r?
~~ ~tha,t ~ou~d be the a?E,t#.?~xde of tho otYz~,x~ .~x?ab states
?~r~ the PrI~1G?
~4 ~iow ~rould lsrme~.. react?
~;, t~~kaa~L ft~?~he~? d~..~`ficult,~.es could h4 e~-scf~d?
~v ~r~w could #.tze P4~ aar?~aniss,?~~.vax b? cp?soter~ tv de~relop
l~ ?tk~te event of a fs~.l~xx?e of the t3~ and ~~pt tes Leh
a, settler~nt of t~7e defense ~d ~xdaxz iss;ier~?
~,~ trihat wrCU7.d bQ the ~~titud~ of ttze otahe~ A.~?.ab t~tatee
tot~rard the lam? '
~,> i~vtir wau~.d ~srae~. x?~sact?
~r ~~'hat fux?t?,he;~ d~,~'f3.cult~.es could ~ exx~?ected?
~0 4~Yai~ ie the ].3t~eYih~d of ~e i~tu~ par. ~,3c~..~?~ivn ~..n ~za~
~~ off' ~rthei' A5~?ddle raF.t~~~?Y?a3 v?uYltP3.~B, s~zxc23 a,s ~?~Y2 anC~
~c~.S'~ ffiCl?
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