SE-46 - PROBABLE LONG TERM DEVELOPMENT OF SOVIET BLOC AND WESTERN POWER POSITIONS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79S01011A001000080001-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 10, 2000
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: July 2, 1953
• Content Type: MEMO

ONI DECLASSIFICATIONIRELEASE INSTRUCTIONS ON FILE
SECRET
t P
Reitase 2000/08/29: CIA-RDP79S011T11 A001000080
DEPARTMENT OF THE NAVY CU T$G NOa
OFFICE OF THE CHIEF OF NAVAL OPERATIONS
WASHINGTON 25, D. C.
IN REPLY REFER TO
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Ser 000607P32
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TOP SECRET s+iian Of CIA
SECURITY INF'ORI14ATIOIV inta~c~t tRlai must rsmain
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Authority.- HR 70.2
C] it contains nothing of CIA Interes
Date 16 ~6
Reviewers
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,
From: Director of Naval Intelligence
To,. Director of Central Intelligence
Subj: SE-46 - Probable Long Term Development of Soviet Bloc and Western
Power Positions
1, I concur in the draft of SE-L.6 dated 30 June except for the points
noted below.
2, Since I cannot agree with paragraph 15 as written, I request that if
this paragraph is allowed to stand, it be accompanied by the following
footnote:
LLThe Director of Naval Intelligence believes that this paragraph should
read as follows:
l;. The development of Bloc and Western power positions during the
next fifteen years will be significantly affected by their relative
conventional military capabilities, with or without the accompanying use
of atomic weapons. Bloc military forces are being continuously modernized
and strengthened, and will continue to pose a serious threat to areas
around the Bloc periphery. The West will probably remain superior to the
Bloc in quality of weapons, in the application of technology to military
uses, and in its ability to control the seas:'--The Westill increase
1 substantially its relative power position if it can develop local military
capabilities in key areas around the Bloc periphery and can maintain
forces-in-being capable of quick despatch to such areas in case of
emergency.9
3. It is my understanding that the Assistant Chief of Staff, G-2, has
proposed that the first sentence of paragraph 13 be changed to read as
follows:
The US is losing, if it has not already lost, its long standing
invulnerability to crippling attack, and with it the immense strategic
advantage of being able to conduct the traditionally deliberate and
extensive post-D-Day mobilization.Lt
I desire to associate myself with this proposal, or with a footnote
resulting therefrom should the present reading of the sn~ge , n clue. cam; -.s
be allowed to stand.
-- Mr a)CVItL.I
'; ELURITY INFORMATION '"!!i?-7
Fra (ease 2000/08/29: CIA-RDP79SO1,011~490
 TOP-SECRET
SITU
[ ff r Rase 2000/08/29: CIA-RDP79S0'R 11AO*WO,81QO01-0
SECURITY INFORMATION Ser 000607P32
Subjs SE-i.6 - Probable Long Term Development of Soviet Bloc and Western
Power Positions
I. It is also my understanding that the Assistant for Intelligence,
Department of State, has proposed that the word Itpressurett be substituted
for the words Itpolicy for achieving important gainstt in the last sentence
of paragraph 12. I concur with this recommendation.
Copy tos
Special Ass't, Intel, Dept of State
ACofS3 G-2
DI/USAF
DDI, The Joint Staff
TOP SECRET
SECURITY INFORMATION 2
per For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79S01011A001000080001-0
SFCURITY INFORMATION
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