THE CUBAN ECONOMY: A STATISTICAL REVIEW 1957-70

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79S01091A000200070008-5
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RIPPUB
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S
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30
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November 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
July 9, 1999
Sequence Number: 
8
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Publication Date: 
October 1, 1971
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BOOK
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Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79SO1091AO00200070008-5 25X1X7 DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Intelligence Handbook The Cuban Economy: A Statistical Review 1957-70 ER H 71-3 October 1971 Copy N 2 30 Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79SO1091A000200070008-5 Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79SO1091AO00200070008-5 WARNING This document contains information affecting the national defense of the United States, within the meaning of Title 18, sections 793 and 794, of the US Code, as amended. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or re- ceipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. GROUP I Excluded from automatic downgrading and deplauiflcation Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79SO1091A000200070008-5 Approved For Release 19999/27 : CIA-RDR79SO1091A000200070008-5 SECRET _J handbook revises and updates ER H 70-2, The Cuban Economy: A Statistical of provisional data an 968 and addition of data for 1969 of national accounts back are: a 1957-68, January 1970. The principal changes 1 based largely o private consumption as provided (c) revision of population and per tional census of 1970 and new - s e cation of all table countries, ma Table i t esti ureau of Census xaepf-Table 32 covering economic aid from ossible by acquisition of new data from unclassified so erring the government budget have not been updated, because no new rmation is available. 7~u ui yS 7 - . 4tandbook is intended to provide a wide range of sta istics of genera interest on the Cuban economy in a convenient format. Statistics for 1959 and 1960-the two years immediately following the revolution in January 1959- are excluded because of the scarcity and unreliability of information. For similar reasons, the statistics for 1961 are the least reliable of the series shown and should be used with caution. Statistics for 1962 and 1964 generally have been omitted to shorten the tables. The statistics were obtained from a wide variety of sources. They have been checked carefully for internal consistency and, on the whole, are judged to be reasonably reliable. Most reliable are the statistics on foreign trade, for which cross checks with the statistics of Cuba's trading partners were made. The production data for most economic sectors also are fairly reliable, those for sugar being the most accurate. The output data for manufactured products also are numerically accurate, but their significance is impaired somewhat by a decline in the quality of many manufactured goods since the revolution. The production data for food crops since the revolution refer only to state collections. In the aggregative measure of agricultural output, however, data on state collec- tions were supplemented by estimates of total food production based mainly on per capita food consumption data provided by refugee reporting. `Drawings on Soviet credits were derived from the commodity traded 'bs with the T3x~i,"~ taking account of estimated Cuban expend' r invisibles such as the wages o e supplied by t interest payments, and movements of short-term capital. ation of drawings between Soviet development aid and bah - -payments cre i , ever, is only a rough approximation. Dr gs on credits from East European coun re assumed to have o e within a five-year period of the date of credit extension, s is information indicated otherwise. Estimates of gross national product (GNP) by sector of origin and by ex- penditure category in current prices were derived from a variety of sources, including estimates of the UN Economic Commission for Latin America that were based on data supplied by the Cuban government. A first approximation of GNP in constant (1957) prices was obtained by constructing volume indexes for vision (b) revision ional information on ing of refugee family budgets; ' eta based on the Cuban na- rti and (d) declassifi- ti mmunist Approved For Release 1g9 9 2 9S01091A000200070008-5 L1_ - Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79SO1091A000200070008-5 SECRET M6-FeREFeN-e~ each sector of origin. These estimates of GNP were then adjusted on the basis of independent estimates of GNP for 1965-66 by expenditure category in 1957 prices. In this handbook the term Eastern Europe is used to refer to Albania, Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, East Germany, Hungary, Poland, Romania, and Yugoslavia. - // Approved For Release 1991:Ae-R 1091 A000200070008-5 Approved For Release 1999/27 : CIA-RDP79SO1091A000200070008-5 SECRET NO-f@RE~tf -DISSfM- CONTENTS NATIONAL ACCOUNTS 1. Gross National Product at Constant Prices, by Sector of Origin....... 1 2. Gross National Expenditure and Product at Constant Prices, by Major Expenditure ............................................ 1 3. Gross National Expenditure and Product at Current Prices, by Major Expenditure .................................................. 2 4. Gross National Product Per Capita at Constant Prices, by Major Expenditure .................................................. 2 5. Price Deflators for Gross National Expenditure and Product, by Major Expenditure ........................................... 2 SUGAR SECTOR 6. Sugarcane Area and Yields and Sugar Production ................... 3 7. Production of Raw and Refined Sugar and Major Sugarcane By- products ..................................................... 4 8. Production, Exports, and Domestic Consumption, and Stocks of Sugar. 4 AGRICULTURE, FORESTRY, AND FISHING 9. Gross National Product Originating in Agriculture (Except Sugar), Forestry, and Fishing, by Major Component ..................... 5 10. Production of Major Industrial Crops (Except Sugar) ............... 5 11. Production and State Collection of Major Food Crops ............... 6 12. Production of Major Livestock Products ........................... 6 INDUSTRY 13. Production of Major Industrial Products ........................... 7 CONSTRUCTION 14. Apparent Consumption of Major Construction Materials ............ 8 TRANSPORTATION 15. Passenger Traffic, by Type of Carrier ............................. 8 16. Freight Loadings, by Type of Carrier ............................. 8 17. Value of Total Exports and Imports, by Major Area ................ 9 18. Value of Exports to Communist Countries ......................... 9 19. Value of Exports to Free World Countries ......................... 10 20. Value of Imports from Communist Countries ....................... 10 21. Value of Imports from Free World Countries ....................... 11 Approved For Release f1 S01091A000200070008-5" Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79S01091A000200070008-5 SECRET 1O-rOREIGr4 BIS ~- Page 22. Value of Imports, by Commodity ................................. 11 23. Value of Imports at Constant Prices, by Commodity ................ 12 24. Value of Exports at Current Prices, by Commodity. . ............... 12 25. Value of Exports at Constant Prices, by Commodity. ............... 13 26. Imports of Selected Commodities ................................. 14 27. Sugar Exports to Free World Countries ............................ 15 28. Sugar Exports to Communist Countries ............................ 15 29. Imports of Cuban Sugar by Communist Countries and Estimated Re-exports to the Free World .................................. 16 30. Average Prices Received for Sugar Exports, by Principal Market Area.. 16 31. Economic Assistance Credits Extended by Communist Countries..... 17 32 t ' ~ ~ " . a . teeecmnuni~~?anntries: ....... 19 33 Projects Constructed with Assistance from Communist Countries..... 20 POPULATION AND LABOR FORCE 34. Estimated Population ........................................... 21 35. Civilian Labor Force and Employment, by Economic Sector ......... 22 GOVERNMENT BUDGET 36. Planned Budget Revenues of the Central Government, by Major Category .................................................... 22 37. Planned Budget Expenditures of the Central Government, by Major Category .................................................... 23 3d. iv Approved For Release 199 1 P. j01091A000200070008-5 Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79SO1091A000200070008-5 SECRET SEM3 NATIONAL ACCOUNTS Sugar ..................................... 710 725 845 475 765 600 770 660 600 935 Agricultural production ................... 395 405 475 260 415 330 420 360 375 505 Industrial production ..................... 315 320 370 215 350 270 350 300 315 430 Agriculture (except sugar), forestry, and fishing. 345 320 350 310 290 310 320 310 320 305 Industry (except sugar) ..................... 485 495 550 590 575 570 625 640 650 605 Construction ............................... 110 95 145 140 155 140 155 155 150 140 Transportation and communications .......... 170 155 155 145 190 195 210 215 220 230 Services ................................... 980 950 1,215 1,210 1,235 1,255 1,280 1,285 1,300 1,285 Gross national product .................... 2,800 2,740 3,260 2,870 3,210 3,070 3,360 3,265 3,330 3,500 a All data are unclassified. b All figures have been rounded to the nearest 5 million pesos. c Provisional, Gross National Expenditure and Product at Constant Prices, by Major Expenditure a Private consumption ........................ 2,050 2,000 2,095 1,980 2,020 2,015 2,200 2,165 2,245 2,250 Public consumption ......................... 325 335 560 620 680 710 715 725 750 750 Gross invesement ........................... 500 450 460 530 550 555 575 660 750 760 Gross national expenditure ................ 2,875 2,785 3,115 3,130 3,250 3,280 3,490 3,550 3,745 3,760 Plus: Exports .............................. 820 840 835 500 715 595 755 695 670 935 Less: Imports .............................. 895 885 690 760 755 805 885 980 1,085 1,195 Gross national product .................... 2,800 2,740 3,260 2,870 3,210 3,070 3,360 3,265 3,330 3,500 a All data are unclassified. b All figures have been rounded to the nearest 5 million pesos. c Provisional. SECRETV Approved For Release 199g/09/27 : CIA-RD P79SO1091A000200070008-5 Approved For Release 1999/09/27 CIA-RDP79SO1091A000200070008-5 NATIONAL ACCOUNTS SECRET ~-] Table 3 Gross National Expenditure and Product at Current Prices, by Major Expenditure a Private consumption ........................ 2,050 Public consumption ......................... 325 Gross investment .............. ........ 500 Gross national expenditure ................ 2,875 Plus: Exports .............................. 820 Less: Imports .............................. 895 Gross national product .................... 2,800 a All data are unclassified. 2,000 2,200 2,400 335 600 S25 450 580 875 2,785 3,380 4,100 740 625 545 860 705 830 2,665 3,300 3,815 Million Current Pesos b 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970e 3,100 950 960 5,010 685 865 3,070 1 025 970 5,065 595 925 3,420 3,375 1 ,050 1,065 1,050 1,205 5,520 5,645 705 650 1,000 1,100 3,550 3,600 1 ,125 1 ,125 1,350 1,375 6,025 6,100 660 1,045 1,225 1,340 4,830 4,735 5,225 5,195 5,460 b All figures have been rounded to the nearest 5 million pesos. The official exchange rate is one P, Provisional. 5,805 Private consumption ........................ Public consumption ......................... Gross investment ........................... Gross national product .......... ....... All data are unclassified. b Provisional. 311 294 291 264 256 49 49 78 83 86 76 66 64 71 70 424 403 453 383 406 252 268 261 267 265 89 87 87 89 88 69 70 80 89 89 384 410 393 396 412 1958 1961 1963 Private consumption ............ ......... 100 100 105 121 153 Public consumption. ........................ 100 100 107 133 140 Gross investment ........................... 100 100 126 165 175 Gross national expenditure .................. 100 100 109 131 154 Exports ................................... 100 88 75 109 96 Imports ................................... 100 97 102 109 115 Gross national product ...................... 100 97 101 133 150 1.957 = 100 1967 1968 1969 1.970 152 155 156 158 160 144 147 147 150 150 175 183 183 180 181 154 158 159 161 162 100 93 94 99 112 115 113 112 113 112 154 156 159 1.64 166 2 SECRET Approved For Release 1999/09/2 . CIA-RDP79SOi091A000200070008-5 Approved For Release 1999/,0-9/27 : CIARD 9SO1091A000200070008-5 SECRET~NO--FORf1GN- -R SUGAR SECTOR ti O O 00 N O O oc 0) o ~, cV CO C-1?>- 00 0oc ci cV w CO di M 00 'V O O W M ti O c0 O u0 C+0 q cd 2 ? W M . M CO a- O M b O -'0 Ll0 00 O 00 N O 10 O CC cp CO O e) O N O 00 M O 54 O O 0 CO M CV r-I 11 ti 'D 000 N 4 ti ti >O d1 n CO 0 M 00 0> C M d, O 0 'c> ti 00 h w a o c U F O O O .0 y 0 00 0 >0 8 M . 0) q N C] c0 C U r-1 !N C0 Cd A .d ~ b b aJ 0) O y~ q O ti F aJ [] N O O .0 a O O 0. 0 0 2 ,v G 0 Cd a F H ,'~ cd .q F bq O 9 a a co, 0 o .c ?'TS us m d o , g SECRETENQ-FAREI6t?-131SSEM 3 Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79SO1091A000200070008-5 Approved For Release 1999/09/271? CIA-RDP79S 1091A000200070008-5 SUGAR SECTOR SECRET/NN~ f Raw sugar (thousand metric tons)'........ 4,911 5,023 5,970 2 ,905 4,971 4,067 5,010 4,215 4,445 6,310 Refined sugar (thousand metric tons). . . .. . 700 700 733 843 1,022 736 1,128 1 ,012 1 ,000 c 1 ,150 Total sugar (thousand metric tons of raw sugar equivalent) d ..................... 5,672 5,784 6,767 3,821 6,082 4,867 6,236 5,315 5,534 7,559 Molasses and syrup (thousand metric tons) 1 ,494 1 839 1,813 1,214 2,155 1,181 1,880 1 ,450 0 2,075 e 2,200 e Alcohol (million liters) ................... 173 119 280 178 226 210 232 231 N. A. N.A. a All data are unclassified. b Raw sugar of 96? polarization. e Estimated. d Equals raw sugar at 96? polarization plus the raw sugar equivalent of refined sugar produced. Refined'sugar is converted to a raw sugar basis by applying the factor 92 parts refined to 100 parts raw. Because the sugar production data in this table refer to calendar years, they differ in some instances from the data for crop years in Table 6. e In 1957 and 1961-70, almost all of this category consisted of blackstrap molasses. In 1958, however, about 25% of this category repre- sented rich inverted molasses and a small amount of syrup. Table 8 Production, Exports, Domestic Consumption, and Stocks of Sugar a 1957 1958 1961 1963 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Production' .................... 5,672 5,784 6,767 3,821 6,082 4,867 6,236 5,315 5,534 7,559 Exports ......................... 5,307 5,632 6,414 3,521 5,316 4,435 5,683 4,613 4,799 6,906 Domestic consumption ............ 304 242 376 456 492 542 629 682 636 619 Stocks at year end... . ............ 699 609 1,030 185 472 362 286 306 405 439 a All data are unclassified. b Raw sugar of 96? polarization. Because the production data in this table refer to calendar years, they differ in some instances from the data for crop years in Table 6. 4 SECRET, Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79SO1091A000200070008-5 Approved For Release 19/09/27 ? 79S01091ARQIQgLQAQ7, SECRET AND FISHING Gross National Product Originating in Agriculture (Except Sugar), Forestry, and Fishing, by Major Component a M'l 1957 Pesos n Industrial crops .................. Food crops ...................... Livestock products ............... Forest products .................. Fishing .......................... Total ......................... a All data are unclassified. b Provisional. io ---------------------------------------- 1957 1958 1961 1963 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969b 1970b 50 40 57 45 35 140 130 140 131 100 145 140 135 116 139 5 5 11 10 6 5 5 7 8 10 345 320 350 310 290 43 42 39 39 33 108 112 105 119 110 143 146 146 139 134 5 5 5 5 5 11 15 15 18 23 310 320 310 320 305 Production of Major Industrial Crops (Except Sugar)' --------------------- - 1957 1958 1961 1963 Tobacco (unmanufactured) ........ Coffee .......................... Cotton (ginned basis) ............. Oil seeds b ....................... Henequen ....................... -- ------------ a All data are unclassified. b Provisional. Approved For Release s9ffd 52.4 52.8 57.6 47.6 43.6 29.5 46.0 34.7 Negl. Negri. 4.7 3.5 6.2 5.6 16.5 10.3 11.5 9.0 11.1 12.8 ----------- 43.4 23.9 0.81 1.5 7.2 Thousand Metric Tons ----------------- 1966 1967 1968 1969 b 1970 b 51.3 45.5 46.5 47.0 40.0 33.4 34.3 29.1 30.0 26.0 0.46 1.00 0.59 N.A. N.A. 0.72 N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. 12.0 N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 79S01091A000200070008-5 cMl~~iHO Fo9IS elease 1999/09/27 A-RDP79SS0Q 1A000200070008-5 AND FISHING SECRET N9-F61~EF#,f -13J~ Production and State Collection of Major Food Crops a Production 1957 1958 1961 Rice (in the husk) ................ 260 253 213 Corn ............................ 178 155 100 Beans ........................... 17 23 31 Potatoes ........................ 104 118 79 Sweet potatoes and yams.......... 184 186 65 Yucca ........................... 1.86 213 32 Malanga ........................ 250 226 32 Tomatoes ....................... 45 55 45 Pineapples ....................... 102 102 15 Citrus fruits ..................... 150 70 76 Plantain.. . ...................... 275 N. A. 60 Bananas ......................... 85 90 40 a All data are unclassified. b Provisional. 1963 1965 204 50 88 22 17 11 86 83 91 89 90 62 45 47 93 120 41 16 110 116 72 68 43 36 Beef and veal (dressed carcass basis) .......... Whole milk ........................ Eggs (million dozen marketed) ............... Pork ............................ Poultry (live weight, marketed) .............. a All data are unclassified. b Provisional. Production of Major Livestock Products a 1957 1958 1961 1963 1965 185 184 195 113 151 780 740 700 660 620 22 25 12 16 76 42 37 15 12 18 14 17 25 35 34 6 Approved For Release 1999?, 1966 1967 1968 1969b 1970b 68 94 95 193 360 18 12 15b 35 30 11 15 10 N.A. N.A. 104 105 118 115 87 165 94 94 95 N.A. 93 48 53 55 N.A. 69 42 43 45 N.A. 133 164 98 95 N.A. 10 7 7 7 N.A. 160 152 165 135 135 71 59 75 N.A. N.A. 29 27 25 N.A. N.A. Thousand Metric Tons (Except as noted) ._-.._------------ 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 161 157 180 167" 170" 690 680 650 625b 580b 84 98 100 107 117 13 11 10 10 b 10b 25 25 25 25 b 25b 091 A000200070008-5 Approved For Release 1999/09/27 : CIA-RDP79SO1091AO00200070008-5 SECRET INDUSTRY Z an I o~~ C ~~~ ? o~ --2 00C>0 ono 0 o oooou~ Oo 0 0 000 mt- ao N cD CO n D