AIR FORCE POSITION ON CAPABILITY OF CHINESE COMMUNIST RAILROADS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79S01100A000200030004-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 27, 2000
• Sequence Number: 4
• Publication Date: January 29, 1954
• Content Type: REPORT

'Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79SO110OA000200030004-2
P ORc IT ONE' ON G ABS' of
Cll ? S C lXSST RAILROADS
29 Jar 1954
Air Fot'ce in atte ing to determine the capability of the
Chinese C ?t rated sy.,mam h applied four different wth(xU: of
calculation to A rts based:, in a estimation, on the most recent informa-
tion available to the represented i ntel ligea agencies as. PrOsenteC to
the joint vorki ig group of the Trams rtation Su'bcomittee of Viee l:C.
Tie first two r thods (A and 3) . s based on what the Mr Force cowiders,,
in the light of rai1i r o ra-t li tations, to be a reasonable eetai to
of 1e use C ist c atinn capability and differ only in that a
slightly _di ffewnt ithod of cui ti on, was used for each Independent
calculation by regent cable :l ts. The, third and fourth rants
(C and D) were taed in order that n app *oech be overlooked. Method "C"
is based on the 1? e, judged by the Air Force to be highly L obable,
that not only & the ChImse outstrip all the from nations of the vorld
for io h the Aartr Force has re1iab3statistics in railroad c ratio g
but in nmy as ete w.ar s and In `:Y remaining assts mi to the
USSR railroad co ility. T thod ")" is based on an Air Force 1nter.n*ta-
tion of the probable anIng of Chi iese C l st published figs its
s t a t e d . i n C I A co s on C 635/1 and the State Dapartment i s
Issued to. the TBS.C0 worki group. It Is the opinion of the Air To,-"
that the internal consistency of this approach, p tieu1 r y* In IIof the feet that all. Partimut publ: shed figures were inters ted and
used, tea to indicate that this wy be a valid thod. of using Chirwse
C t railroad statistics. Fur` this method, for the most
p falls. into a pattern which more closely +a tea railroad
operating Derfor a as it l a3vays been understood by t! Air Fo ce
*USAF Declass/Release Instructions On File*
s~ acm pear
Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79S0110OA000200030004-2
 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79SO110OA000200030004-2
A. HImmmts a 1u). CalculatIons In M Method*
1Q gmPart ? 40FOOO operable (mrs
2m Lve Per L Leaded, Car - 23.1 tons per car
3? d - 20 ffi4 bur ? (between div aioa stc )
4. Av.ME Tim 'car -i Ion 8% _ 6 ho ' stop
5. ad Ham.) - 48 h~iure
ftor tuz auxidL
i iu g 1nitiil and f arse.
tormin is)
6. Ava , . ,*. 500 x"'.
7e
ZM1 .IN 2nd Im ~MmnftApai ' ' 1, of - t
8, i n for - 60;", (% of 1o e . to tae1 t3a )
90
Cn].4aio ofiux
25 hems
Bug
Km per ainBlon
LWAIMP , u1oadinZ )
3 ti i1 and f1 ma toC r,3, )
32.8 hours
(Loaded Bata): 4 , hours
TMAL 85.8 hours
Plus i.0% Poonns OrA r xa s: r ,u:
8.6
Abom tofti divl&d by 60%
C -Utitfon factor -60 1 P-11
' a ou .15T.3 or 6?55 : >>q
10. C 1'e
DOZ
0 000 - 6,107 cars/&ty
311.. '1+-s
12. 4110"T x 2.u3$1- io.7t nL 03.a yew
~-+a+xawx: feeylr.{~i..
any (tric )
365 z 3.81, m7 : 54491,173. tons ( trie)
*For jtffi Lion of It 2 3 6 8 part nC 1
405x7
Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79S0110OA000200030004-2
 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79S0110OA000200030004-2
P. El b and. Calculations In i o etica L t ration Method*
i. Car Park - 40,000 operable (:plus assumed 4% inoperable )
2. &ver or Car
a. a .: ci - 30 mstric, tons
Lgd r Loaded Ur
b. Aver,
of capacity or 3L.1 for es
co Ave, IaMM of Loadet Danl. - 20 tans
Dt&
y Off 1
001 + 92
15 IN/br
? 6341 cam loaded r day
A bamawo ti - 6,3 da s
Tons orit& per Day
6343. z 23.1 -146,p477 tons
Tons ,gina$e per Year
x.46,477 z 365 - 53,464,P: 05 tr, origLumUd per Year
*ror , usstif cation of item 1 a::A 2 see Part "Ca .
0. F n anc Calculations lu Ca varative Method
14 Car Part,.
4o,ooo cpa ble f ig t car I (considered. by Air Form Lin 13 #ht
of JIC and T SC vsox -. , group invest?gatione / to be tb
x sort reasonable esti "we ). See Tab A to Aar 1.
20
by j of, e ci Maraca Car
7% of avera~p ea exp afty or 23.1 tic tons
(UK statistics avss .labs a to the Air Porte mere that the
hfglerst 4 of capacity ! al.ized per loaded ear occurred in
` x %ey vhexe 70,10 tmved, In 19500 Austrian, f es
(West Zone) on airs, load per loaded ear ba dle t in tbat
eouatr7 (ate t i r 130%) can not be to the average
capacity of Austrim owned cars since 28% of loaded can
in Austria are foreign eollim stock Sth1chs parti8u3 sr7 in
the case of the he Carman and Italian transfer traffic and
traffic between these countries ? M Austria,, r be earx ed in
reach larger cars. LIiw1ian 2 axle care average 75 to 13
greater capacity than the average for the entire Austrie.!n
jerk./
estimate
Av V.' _Lovd rte'
as
Car
30 metric tom (e ift-md by Air Poxee Liu light of 2SC
i-rorking group imest, tic/ to be the ae ct reaso bla
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 Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79S0110OA000200030004-2
Soy., a Ax~ms, kW- ! 3i 1-r. of T. r aswpcrt 3tatistlas 1950
mC A M?'S?A!O .
; ; a s s 10 a. Fe Europe n Tran. rt Di sin E (
1 SAVW~i M- car load In tin - A
ypv~r !.et ;:
25X1 C
(SOIUt .... * .10c,dings and tons on ate1 axv ya P~'a x=_..
so i is icult to Bete , the a'
' v e g
x` p11,Ai,tn ?;r car capacity fig-wets are .1o o
c 1,#- ?f :. to malm it difficzlt to datermim the ecti ,1 ,
ity per p i a ., unit 1~f th& )st Optimistic view if, t ker
on
load ints 1fr=
y~ ?~ tai y aF-So p yg tR.'4t9.#v i Ut~ ? R ra
ca to 1foul$ of agaa a 'Z M! 1y 84% of 1 F-Vara''&G at r
as ity in 1950).. St: Huni-ar Soviet ? ranw, r tun
tYW:- ~r
p lprf[:pm W~a46?u,
1'ol,Ic (D )v ! ? t Z6, man bot~ st : ~ ulable
1.1 i United ;io escsti to 4 the tat opb tic view
of `4Soviet a a1z t,"1e Air Foie believes, givea a fso .-"
able esti to o1; a ~`t' of i cl of car ity f c-4
Com..atit ObIm. .F'? a
A. Ave.:: l Yz b"aaz>1,
300
(Ai h of LaW. for basic c sties as given i a ON
.'t Stu y on Mi'm BE 4 bi,l.it: yu dated, 16 No r 15 53
LcI L 62lJ is 485 ' Air Force bcUavws that t c
a-basic N?1;Ltias ?