SOME IMPLICATIONS OF CONTINUED FRICTION ALONG THE MOROCCAN-ALGERIAN FRONTIER

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00429A001200040026-5
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
4
Document Creation Date: 
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date: 
September 17, 2004
Sequence Number: 
26
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
October 18, 1963
Content Type: 
IM
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00429A001200040026-5.pdf150.79 KB
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25X1 Approved For Rely' CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Office Of Current Intelligence 18 October 1963 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM SUBJECT: Some Implications of Continued Friction Along the Moroccan-Algerian Frontier 1. Border clashes probably will continue and new areas of hostility may develop along the Moroc- can-Algerian border pending negotiations to delineate at least informally the disputed border between Tindouf and Colomb-Bechar. An all-out war seems unlikely in view of the limited capabilities of both armies. a. The Moroccan Army consists of 32,500 men organized in 18 infantry battalions, 3 each cavalry and artillery battalions, one each armored and en- gineer battalions, one light security group and two air squadrons, with support units, The Moroccan Air Force numbers 1,940 men and has 105 aircraft (includ- ing 22 jets). b. The Algerian Army consists of 60,000 men, and might be able to expand into a motley force of 200,000. It is inferior in organization, training, and equipment to the Moroccan Army, lacks significant aerial support ('. IuIG jets), has very limited capa- bility for aerial surveillance, and is seriously de- ficient in transport. 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/08 : CIA-RDP79T00429AQ01200040026-5 Approved For Release 2004/10/08 : CIA-RDP79T00429A001200040026-5 3. Should limited hostilities continue or de- velop into more serious confrontations at points other than Hassi Beida and Tinjoub, where the pres- ent skirmishes are occurring, a diplomatic break would be likely. Even if the present crisis sub- sides, the suspicion with which Morocco and Algeria regard each other certainl l y w `. In Morocco th h e border difficulties prob- e will serve to , rally support around King Hassan. The crisis in relations with Algeria could even pro- vide the coup de grace to his organized o which was already disintegrating badl posent ion, pockets of dissidence would remain but~would bewith- Out immediate prospect of uniting into a dynamic and cohesive opposition, 5. In Algeria, on the other hand, difficulties with Morocco could provide the occasion for new out- breaks of anti-Ben Bella and anti- Boumedienne activity. Mobilization seems likely to exacerbate the frictions that already exist between remnants of the former rebel army of the exterior and the army of the interior and that are preventing the development of an effective and reliable Algerian army. Concentration of many Algerian troops on the Moroccan border would almost certainly encourage the Kabylie dissidents to renew activity and embolden potential dissidents in the Or- leansville and Aures areas. 6. Even limited engagements along the border and small-scale mobilization would be a serious drain 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/10/08 : CIA-RDP79Tg0429A001200040026-5 Approved For Rele on the overburdened Algerian treasury--dependent on transfers from Paris--which has never been able to meet the public payroll regularly. 7. Algeria has already initiated steps to have Morocco labeled the aggressor in international forums. It is working initially through the Organ- ization of African Unity, created last May and not yet fully effective. It can be expected to work assiduously at the United Nations to line up sup- port, but as yet there is no indication that it seeks UN condemnation of Morocco. Both Tunisia and Syria have initiated mediation efforts. 8. Border friction has already increased Al- gerian animosity toward the US. Fallacious press and radio reports that American pilots ferried Mo- roccan transports in reinforcing the border excited an Algerian group in Constantine to break the win- dows of the USIS center. The Algerian press, never friendly toward the US, probably will step up its slanted news coverage of events concerning this coun- try. 25X1 25X1 10. While Ben Bella appears unlikely to press for additional material Soviet su ort he ma ask for moral support. 25X1 Approved Fob- Release 2004/10/08 : CIA-RDP79T00449A001200040026-5 Approved For Release 2004/10/08 : CIA-RDP79T00429AO01200040026-5 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2004/10/08 : CIA-RDP79T00429AO01200040026-5