SIKHS THREATEN SERIOUS TROUBLE IN INDIAN PUNJAB

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CIA-RDP79T00826A000400010024-5
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RIPPUB
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S
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6
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December 15, 2016
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July 13, 2004
Sequence Number: 
24
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Publication Date: 
March 3, 1966
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IM
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Approved For Release qwN&AT 826A0004000100 C L 3 March 1966 OCI No. 0499/66 Copy No. INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM SIKHS THREATEN SERIOUS TROUBLE IN INDIAN PUNJAB DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Office of Current Intelligence Approved For Release 29QfOTH4" X"&826A0004000 GROUP I Excluded from automatic OOn 'adin9 and siricotion Approved Fo Iease 2004/07/16 : CIA-RDP79TO08 000400010024-5 This Document contains information affecting the Na- tional Defense of the United States, within the mean- ing of Title 18, Sections 793 and 794, of the U.S. Code, as amended. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or receipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. The reproduction of this form is prohibited. Approved For Release 2004/07/16 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000400010024-5 Approved For. ash`glNf4l'Gk4-TI J l 082 0400010024-5 OCI No. 0499/66 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Office of Current Intelligence 3 March 1966 INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM Sikhs Threaten Serious Trouble in Indian Punjab 1. New Delhi is facing a major political crisis in the Punjab, where the Sikh religious minority has resumed its agitation for a separate Punjabi-speaking state. Sant Fateh Singh, the Sikhs' most influential leader, has announced he will undertake a "fast and self-immolation" to culminate four weeks hence. The Sant had issued a similar suicide threat last August, but postponed it in September when the Indo-Pakistani warfare in Kashmir spread to the Punjab. 2. The Punjabi Sikhs, who comprise about a third of the state's population, have long demanded that Hindi be dropped as a coequal official state language. They argue that the practice is inconsistent with the 1956 reorganization of the Indian states along lin- guistic lines. Since Punjabi is the majority tongue, the Sikhs insist that New Delhi should either make Punjabi the sole official language or partition the state into Punjabi- and Hindi-speaking areas. 3. The state's Hindu majority adamantly opposes the single-language concept, fearing that it would eventually result in Sikh domination. Hindus are divided on alternative proposals, however, Those who live in the northwest, *here Sikhs predominate, would strongly resist any concession to Sikh demands, even though they are themselves Punjabi speakers. In the economically depressed southeast, a substantial proportion of the Hindi-speaking Hindu majority favor partition, believing that they will thereby benefit from a greater infusion of development funds. 4. The Congress Party government of the Punjab, already strained by factional infighting, is likely to be further torn by disagreements over language policy. Approved For ReleaseCON.F?E 10826A000400010024-5 Approved For f'ease`2170`410 /1PA --W-t4 & 826&K0400010024-5 Chief Minister Ram Kishan, a Hindu, has been critized for overly emphatic statements that the Sikh demands would not be met. Many other party leaders, both Sikh and Hindu, are compelled by regional and religious loyalties to support one of several partition proposals. The disruptive bickering has already had an adverse effect upon economic development programs, and the situation may grow worse. 5. New Delhi appointed special parliamentary and cabinet committees last year to study the situa- tion in the Punjab. Prime Minister Shastri's death and the preoccupation with finding a successor inter- rupted their deliberations. The cabinet committee automatically lapsed when its members tendered their pro forma resignations from the government, and it must now be reappointed. 6. Efforts to find a solution are not necessarily doomed to failure, but great ingenuity will be required, and time is running out. Fateh Singh, not overly eager to carry his immolation threat to its logical conclusion, would probably accept some sort of compromise, His archrival for Sikh leadership, Master Tara Singh, will not let him off the hook easily, however, and New Delhi cannot rule out the possibility that events will get out of control. 7. If the dramatic self-immolation actually occurs, it could raise Sikh-Hindu communal antagonisms to a dangerous level. This could pose a threat to public order in the Punjab, and it would almost certainly cost the Congress Party votes in the 1967 state and national elections. 8. The animosity could also spill over into the army, about half of which consists of Punjabi Hindus and Sikhs. The high order of discipline and detachment from politics of the Indian armed forces usually dampens the military reaction to civilian issues. On the other hand, the traditional practice of recruiting and train- ing soldiers in ethnic and regional regiments (the Sikh Light Infantry, the Jat Infantry, etc.) and assign- ing them to ethnic/regional battalions increases the troops' awareness of developments back home. Prior to India's independence, Sikh and Hindu units found themselves on the opposite sides of a mutiny on sev- eral occasions. Approved For Releas W1M 'l '[ A9ff00826A000400010024-5 Approved Fo eleaseGe'4-/of 49iWP44f '08 Q00400010024-5 Approved For Release 2004/07/16 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000400010024-5 CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/07/16 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000400010024-5 Next 5 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2004/07/16 : CIA-RDP79T00826A000400010024-5