THE SITUATION IN VIETNAM

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00826A001700010061-0
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
16
Document Creation Date: 
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date: 
March 23, 2004
Sequence Number: 
61
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
March 17, 1967
Content Type: 
MEMO
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00826A001700010061-0.pdf554.22 KB
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Approved ANWRelease 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T006A001700010061-0 Top Secret DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM The Situation in Vietnam Top Secret ill 17 March 1967 Approved For Release 2004/07/Q8 : CIA-RDP79T00826AO01700010061-0 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826AO01700010061-0 Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826AO01700010061-0 Approv Information as of 1600 17 March 1967 25X1 25X1 25X1 I. The Military Situation in South Vietnam: The Communists are reportedly 5uildi7 g a new infil- tration and supply route from the highlands of Kon- tum Province to the coast in Quang N ai Province (Paras? 1-2). II. Political Developments in South Vietnam: There has been no indication whether the deputies of the Constituent Assembly have reached agreement over the Directorate's proposed changes in the con- stitution (Para, 1)o The Peoples-Army Council ap- proved a resolution including views on Vietnamese self-determination (Para. 2)m The Ministry of Economy and Finance is being strengthened (Para, 3). III. Military Developments in North Vietnam: Traffic across a bridge on t e Re River in Hanoi has been halted since two bombs were inadvertently dropped from a US aircraft into the river bed nearb (Paras 1-2). IV, Other Communist Military Developments: There is nothing of significance to report. Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826A0017000100g1-0 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Appro4 . Communist Political Developments: IMOSt or Vietnamese leaders 0o advantage of the Tet standdown in air strikes to visit the provinces (Paras. 4-6). VI. Other Major Aspects: A Communist unit estimated to be a regiment was discovered recently in the Laotian panhandle near Route 922 which is being extended into South Vietnam (Paras. 1-3). 25X1 25X1 Appro jed For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826A00170001 8061-0 Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826A001700010061-0 (J aravane t '>ANG NAM UUAWr TIN 131. CheoReoe"'lu OARL.AC Ban Me Thoot 'PHU. _ Tu Vun,giau. BINH PH JANr: Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826AO01700010061-0 Ap (proved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826A00170001q I. THE MILITARY SITUATION IN SOUTH VIETNAM 1. Construction of a new infiltration/supply route in the central highlands began late last month in northeastern Kontum Province The trail, w .ic- is expected to be completed in a month, may terminate in a Viet Cong base area in southeastern Quang Ngai Province. 2. The route was selected Ito facilitate the movement of war equipment and food supplies for Communist units which become engaged with allied search-and-destroy operations. Other supply routes are believed to exist between the coastal areas and the highlands and this particular route may supplement those routes. Mission of Assault Youth Groups in South Vietnam 25X1 25X1 25X1 fthe Assault ~f s are organized along mill a~tines in squad, platoon, company, and battalion-size formations, but are not used for combat duties. The youths are di- vided into three categories: "Front Line" Youths, who transport provisions, ammunition, and equipment to the battlefield; "Middle Line" Youths, responsible for moving these items up to Front Line Youth posi- tions from the rear; and "Rear" Youths, who work at base depots. 5. The Assault Youth Groups were first organized in South Vietnam in 1965 to give logistical support to Viet Cong rear service units following the buildup of Communist forces which occurred at that time. The groups also serve as a manpower pool for future Viet 25X1 Appro4ed For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826A00170001p061-0 Appr4 25X1 Cong recruitment. No evidence is yet available on the number of Assault Youths operating throughout the South, but it is known that groups ex? village, district, and provincial levels. 25X1 an Assault Youth unit is probably attached to the Central Office for South Vietnam and that groups at the regional level are also being established. Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826A001700010061-0 Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826A001700010061-0 II. POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS IN SOUTH VIETNAM 1. The Constituent Assembly, which is consid- ering the Directorate's proposed changes in the constitution, met briefly on 16 March to consider revisions of specific articles, but. recessed until 17 March without reaching any decisions. Sources in the government suggested that the assembly's final version, including any alterations reflecting the Directorate's position, might be ready by 18 March. In view of the departure of Premier Ky and Chief of State Thieu to Guam on the 19th, however, the deputies may stall further. There have been no reports from assembly deputies to indicate whether they will bend toward a compromise with the Direc- torate, which appears to have come down hard against the assembly's self-appointed. authority to act as an interim legislature. Advisory Council Resolution 2. In keening with the current government propaganda campaign to counter "false peace" proposals, the Peoples - Army Council (PAC) resolved on 16 March that peace proposals made without consultation with the GVN are contrary to its right of self-determina- tion. The resolution also called for the strengthen- ing of the Foreign Ministry and the clear declara- tion of the "position" of allied armies through written agreements. The debate appears to have provoked little interest since only 16 of the 80 advisory council members were in attendance. Changes in Ministry of Economy and Finance 3. Nguyen Huu Hanh, the governor of the National Bank of Vietnam, appears to be firmly established as the new minister of economy and finance, although the GVN has not officially announced his appointment. The post was vacated last fall when the former min- ister, southern civilian Au Truong Thanh, resigned in protest against alleged northern intimidation of a southern subcabinet official. Since then, Premier 25X1 Appr ved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826A001700010 61-0 Appr ed For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826A00170001 061-0 25X1 Ky has sought to bolster the economy ministry which he considers the weakest portion of his cabinet, especially in view of inflationary problems and the cyclical rice shortages. The interim economy minister, Truong Thai Ton, resigned because of ill health, according to a Vietnamese press release on 16 March. The semiofficial release also cited authoritative sources who confirmed Hanh's appoint- ment to the post. 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826AO01700010061-0 Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826AM700010061-0 ?~'? ~""' ? Ha Giang Lao Cai Tuyen Quang ? L A 0 S Samneua? Phu Tho Phuc NORTH VIETNAM ?Bac Giang 1? Bac Ninh ed River Bridge HAN011-- Hao ?H on Gai Duong ?*Haiphong Hung Yen Kien An ? Phu Ly Thai Binh Nam DaY Ninh BinhL .,..~.,~' Hu ? VIETNAM Muong Nong" Vinh Linh ., DEMARKATION LINE Jrl Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826AO01700010061-0 Approv III. MILITARY DEVELOPMENTS IN NORTH VIETNAM raf fic across tkie Red River bridge in Hanoi had been sus- pended for three days with no reason given by local authorities. The ban affects cyclists as well as cars and trucks. Traffic has apparently been re- routed to cross the river on temporary structures made of bamboo. likely reason for the suspension is a presence of two unex- ploded bombs which a US fighter-bomber reportedly dropped on 12 March. The bombs apparently fell on a sand bank in the river. 2. Operational reports indicate that two bombs which had failed to release on target, fell from an F-105 in the vicinity of the Red River. The pilot reported that the bombs were unarmed when they dropped. 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826A00170001p061-0 Approv IV. OTHER COMMUNIST MILITARY DEVELOPMENTS 1. There is nothing of significance to report. Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826A001700010061-0 25X1 25X1 Appro 25X1 25X1 DRV Leaders Visit Provinces 4. All of the North Vietnamese politburo, with three notable exceptions, have shown up at public affairs recently. Many politburo members took advantage of the Tet bombing lull to tour the provinces. Vo Nguyen Giap reviewed the troops in the southern DRV and Ho Chi Minh went Appro'4ed For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826AO01700910061-0 25X1 Apprc out into agricultural areas just south of Hanoi to visit evacuation centers for former residents of the capital. The three who have not appeared since the first of the year are Nguyen Chi Thanh, Le Duc Tho, and Hoang Van Hoan. 5. Nguyen Chi Thanh's absence is explained by his continued presence in South Vietnam and, Hoang Van Hoan is in Peking "as standing representative with particular responsibility for the transit of sup- plies. " Hanoi has not an- nounced a replacement for the former DRV ambassador in Peking, Tran Tu Binh, who died last month. Hoan is a former ambassador to Peking and reportedly has strong pro-Chinese sympathies. Peking would cer- tainly consider him one of the most acceptable of the Vietnamese leadership with whom to deal. There have also been unconfirmed reports hat new arrangements have been made to facilitate Soviet aid shipments across China. According to these reports, the Viet- namese have reportedly agreed. to take over aid shipments at the Sino-Soviet border. 6. There is as yet no explanation for Le Duc Tho's almost total disappearance from the Hanoi scene since he returned from a tour of Europe at the end of last year. Approv0d For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826AO01700010961-0 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Ap VI. OTHER MAJOR ASPECTS 1. Friendly guerrillas operating in the vicin- ity of Route 922 in the Laos panhandle reported an estimated regimental-size enemy force near the Laos/ South Vietnam border on 7 March., Route 922 is being extended by the Communists into South Vietnam toward the A Shau Valley. 2. The friendly guerrillas encountered a 23- man patrol--probably of enemy security personnel-- on 4 March and five platoon-size enemy elements were contacted on 5 March. On 6 March an estimated bat- talion-size enemy force attacked a perimeter which had been established by the guerrillas. The enemy force was driven off by air.str-ikes. 3. The guerrillas reported that roadwork was under way on the nights of 3 to 5 March with sounds of blasting and truck shuttles reported. A generator and a bulldozer were also heard on both nights. The guerrillas also observed a North Vietnamese engineer platoon on 7 March constructing a pontoon bridge. It is possible that this activity is for the purpose of constructing a bypass to Route 922, which is cur- rently believed to be motorable almost to the Laos/ South Vietnam border. The North Vietnamese often construct alternate bridges to cope with the effects of US air strikes. Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826A0017000100r61-0 25X1 25X1 25X1 Top "peered For Ruse 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826700010061-0 Top Secret Approved For Release 2004/07/08 : CIA-RDP79T00826AO01700010061-0