WESTERN EUROPE CANADA INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T00865A000100180002-1
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
S
Document Page Count:
10
Document Creation Date:
December 12, 2016
Document Release Date:
December 21, 2001
Sequence Number:
2
Case Number:
Publication Date:
January 8, 1975
Content Type:
NOTES
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Secret
No Foreign Dissem
gul~[~ &rrr
c) ^
Western Europe
Canada
International Organizations
Secret
OCI-0108-75
January 8, 1975
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Warning Notice
Sensitive Intelligence Sources and Methods Involved
NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions
Classified by 005827
Exempt from general declassification schedule
of E. 0. 11652, exemption category:
? 5B (1), (2), and (3)
Automatically declassified
on: Date Impossible to Determine
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WESTERN EUROPE - CANADA - INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
This publication is prepared for regional specialists in the Washington com-
munity by the Western Europe Division, Office of Current Intelligence, with
occasional contributions from other offices within the Directorate of
Intelligence. Comments and queries are welcome. They should be directed to
the authors of the individual articles.
Arabs May Intend to Expel Israel from
the ICAO . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
British Prime Minister Wilson Issues
Warning to Unions . . . . . . . . . . . . 2-3
Cypriot Leaders Schedule Further Talks . . . 4
Turkish Political Stirrings . . . . . . . . 5-6
January 8, 1975
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Arabs May Intend to Expel Israel from the
ICAO
The Arab states may be preparing steps
to expel Israel from the International Civil
Aviation Organization (ICAO). At a meeting
of the Arab Civil Aviation Council in Morocco
last month the Arabs reportedly concluded that
they could count on sufficient support for this
move and,,therefore, they should proceed with
specific steps to bring'it about.
No precedent exists for the expulsion of
an ICAO member, although both South Africa and
Portugal have had some rights suspended by the
Assembly. It is uncertain, moreover, whether
such an Arab move could succeed at this time.
A regular Assembly is not scheduled to meet
again until 1977, but an extraordinary Assembly
session can be convened at any time if a sufficient
number of ICAO members request it.
The Arabs have not yet specified the grounds
on which they would demand Israel's expulsion
but they apparently feel that a number of recent
Israeli actions--for example, the Israeli interceptions
of Arab civil aircraft in February and August
1973--can be considered violations of air safety
and other international rules.
Israel is awaiting a formal submission
of a resolution to the ICAO's governing Council
or Assembly before reacting publicly to the
Arab move. (Confidential)
January 8, 1975
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British Prime Minister Wilson Issues Warning
to Unions
In a sharp warning to striking auto workers
last weekend, Prime Minister Wilson hinted that
the Labor government may be prepared to allow
industrial firms to fail and umemployment to
rise unless the unions cease their illegal work
stoppages. Wilson probably is hopeful that his
threat, along with the government's current in-
formal arrangements with :Labor, will avert the
need for statutory wage and price controls.
Wilson's speech was prompted by a strike of
250 workers at a British Leyland plant that re-
sulted in the lay-off of 12,000 other workers at
the plant. Wilson suggested that "avoidable"
strikes are hurting the economy, particularly the
country's efforts to increase exports. He said
that the government could not justify subsidizing
companies where work stoppages were a regular
pattern. British Leyland last month asked for
government aid.
Reactions to Wilson's threat were wide-
ranging
but Jack Jones, head of the country's
largest
trade union, which includes the
auto
workers,
called on Wilson to meet with
union
leaders
to discuss the issues raised in
the
speech.
Jones suggested a thorough review of
current
problems in industrial relations to de-
termine
the extent to which management practices
and labor policies of the previous Tory government
are responsible for the unrest. He urged a re-
view of wage structures and discussion of mea-
sures for increased worker participation in
managerial decisions. Jones also encouraged
union members to use the new conciliation and
arbitration services recently set up by the
Labor government rather than resort to wildcat
strikes to express displeasure with management
practices.
January.8, 1975
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earlier government efforts to achieve worker co-
operation have been largely unsuccessful. Strike
activity has continued at record levels since the
Labor government came to power in March 1974.
Voluntary wage restraints have had little impact
on. wage settlements even though labor has won sub-
The record of the last nine months does not
hold out much promise that government dialogue
with the unions will relieve Britain's labor prob-
lems. Despite Labor's close links to the unions,
stantial legislative gains from the Labor government.
Meanwhile, the Confederation of British In-
dustry has asked Wilson for an emergency meeting
to discuss the country's mounting economic problems.
(Confidential No Foreign Dissem)
January 8, 1975
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Cypriot Leaders Schedule.Further Talks
The intercommunal talks on Cyprus will
soon turn to substantive-political questions
but a period of hard and probably lengthy
bargaining lies ahead..
Greek Cypriot. negotiator Clerides and
Turkish Cypriot negotiator Denktash yesterday
agreed to continue their talks-on humanitarian
matters and to commence talks-for the first
time since the July coup--on the. substantive
issues involved in a final political settlement.
According to the communique, the substantive
discussions will deal initially with the
powers and functions of the central government
in the proposed federal state. The question.
of the size and shape of the Greek and Turkish
Cypriot areas will be tackled later. The two
sides are roles apart.' on both' issues and
compromise will be difficult. The Greek
Cypriots favor a strong central government,
and several Turkish Cypriot cantons, while the
Turkish Cypriots want.a weak central government
and one large, geographibally-based zone for
themselves.
The negotiators are :Likely to move first
to settle the remaining humanitarian issues.
Denktash, in particular, is expected to seek
the release of Turkish Cypriots living in the
L'' south before entering into serious political
discussions.
Procedures for the talks will be discussed
at the next, meeting between Clerides and Denktash
scheduled for January 14. (Secret No Foreign
Dissem) .
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Turkish Political Stirrings
The Nationalist Front, the four-party
coalition organized by Justice Party leader
Demirel, has asked President Koruturk to give
it authority to try to form a government and
end the political stalemate that now is nearly
four months old.
In a statement released Tuesday, the Front
acknowledged that it controlled only 218 votes
in parliament, eight short of an absolute majority,
but said that if the, president did not believe that
a party outside the coalition could successfully
form a government he should designate the National
Front. Leaders of the'front apparently believe
that they could pick up the necessary votes from
among the "fence sitters" in the Democratic Party,
which so far has refused to join the coalition.
PresidentKoruturk has shown,some reluctance
to turn to the rightist coalition and in his New
Year's message referred to the danger of trying to
form a government based on a "sterile absolute
majority, floating votes or outside support." The
Cam-' president reportedly would prefer a government
headed by former prime minister Ecevit, but if the
Nationalist Front can demonstrate strong support
he may be compelled to give Demirel a chance.
Both Demirel and Ecevit have sought to obtain
a parliamentary majority by bringing the rightist
Democratic Party into a coalition, but so far the
members of that party have been unable to agree to
accept either offer. Instead of being able to capi-
talize on its role as the swing party, the Democratic
Party is on the verge of being torn apart by the
issue. Demirel and the Justice Party stand to
benefit the most if the Democrats split at their
party congress next month.
Ecevit, who heads the left of center Republican
People's Party, is also trying to gain the support
L__--of the major political parties for a conference to
January 8, 1975
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3
decide on a date for early elections. His
recent trip to Cyprus was probably intended
in part to enhance his personal popularity in
Turkey and his hardline remarks may have been
intended to allay the fears of those who are
still wary of his leftist political learnings.
Ecevit may also hope that the military, which
prefers him to Demirel and is becoming increasingly
unhappy over the political disarray, will press
the other parties to accept his scheme for early
elections. (Confidential)
January 8, 1975
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Secret
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