FLOW OF PETROLEUM IN THE SOVIET BLOC EUROPEAN SATELLITES 1952

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CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8
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RIPPUB
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S
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14
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November 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
September 2, 1998
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1
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Publication Date: 
July 13, 1953
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IM
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,~. ?-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM FLOW OF PETROLEUM IN THE SOVIET BLOC EUROPEAN SATELLITES 1952 CIA/RR IM-375 13 July 1953 WARNING THIS MATERIAL CONTAINS INFORMATION A,FFECTIIVG THE NATIONAL DEFENSE OF THE UNITED STATES WITHIN THE MEANING OF THE ESPIONAGE LAW, TITLE 18, USC, SECS. 793 AND 79~+, THE TRANSMISSION OR REVELATION OF WHICH IN ANY MANNER~TO AN UNAUTHORIZED PERSON IS PROHIBITED BY LAW. CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Office of Research and Reports Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 ~' Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 CONTENTS Page Summary and Conclusions 1 1. Rumania ~+ 2. Soviet Zone of Austria 5 3. East Germany 5 ~+ . Hungary 7 5. Albania 8 Appendixes Appendix A. Methodology 9 Appendix B. Gaps in Intelligence 11 Appendix C. Sources and Evaluation of Sources 13 Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 CIA/RR IM-375 (ORR Project 25.7.2) FLOW OF PETROLEUM IN THE SOVIET BLOC EUROPEAN SATELLITES- 1952 Summary and Conclusions The European Satellites exported a total of 8,823,000 metric tons of crude oil-and petroleum products across international boundaries during 1952. Of this total, 4,868,000 metric tons were shipped. to the USSR; 2,062,000 metric tons, to the European Satellites; 20,000 metric tons, to the Asiatic Satellites; and 1,872,000 metric tons, outside the Soviet Bloc. At the same time, the European Satellites imported 123,000 metric tons of petroleum products from the USSR and 2,062,000 metric tons of crude oil and petroleum products from other countries in the Soviet Bloc. Imports of petroleum by the European Satellites -from outside the Soviet Bloc were negligible in 1952. The net trade balance of the European Satellites with the rest of the world shows net exports of 4,746,000 metric tons of crude oil and petroleum prod- ucts to the USSR, net exports to the Asiatic Satellites of 20,000 metric tons. of petroleum products, and net exports outside the Soviet Bloc of 1,872,000 metric tons of petroleum products. Of the 6,638,000 metric tons of net exports, only 260,000 metric tons were crude oil. Table lam- summarizes the exports and imports of crude oil and petroleum products made by each European Satellite and by the European Satellites as a whole during 1952-. The net exporting countries among the European Satellites during 1952 were, in order of importance, Rumania, the Soviet Zone of Austria, Albania, and East Germar~y. Among these, the Soviet Zone of Austria and Albania were the only exporters of crude oil. All of these coun- tries were net exporters of petroleum products. Bulgaria, Czechoslo- vakia, and Poland were net importers of petroleum, whereas Hungary's imports of crude oil and exports of petroleum products were very nearly equal. ~ This memorandum contains information available as of 1 March 1953? ~~ Table 1 follows on p. 2. Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 Approved F~pr Rele se 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 ~ spp(y~ ~ ~~I t NI NI N~ ~I - NM ~I ~ OM ~I t t 1 1 I 1 I_+ t 1 t L~ M ~ O ~I OI O O OI O~ ~I O O 01 ~~ ~I of 0 0 0l o~ ~~ o i.n u,l _o I O O O I O m o f O .-i r-I I r~-I r-I o ~ rn~ of 0 0 0l 0 0 ~I m m m ~ ~ ~ ~ U U ~ U .-1 O Ul cd U/ O b !~ ~~a NI OI O O OI Oamp ~I O O ~I yy A ~d ,-_~ rb-I O i-I A O r-1 p w Noa ~~w / Approved'For Release 1999/09 1 : C'FA-RDP79T6~0935A000 o~ ~I m m N r~UJ ,Cb~ W .-i ~ ~ cc~~O U Pa 0220001-8 Approved For Release 19 9~/09/21Ui CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 0 H r-I +-i N N ~ N ~ p v ~ ~ H O '~ o N W m ~n ~m ~I i i ~ L/~CO M N cn ~ ? N NI r-I O ~ .~ p~ ~ ~ ~ cd ~ N oUW Approved For Release 19 9/09/21 : ~:IA-RDP79 o~ ~ ~ ~~ + + + + W N r-I r-1 NI ? ~ ~ z z, 08 r-1 ~~ +`~ 8~ N ~ti N~ ~ ~ .~~ m N ~ +~ -N O ~d O N ? r-I +~ ~ F+ Sa W N > U ~o ~I k v ~o ~~I 0093~A0002002~0001-8 Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 1. Rumania. Rumania is by far the most important source of supply for petro- leum in the European Satellites.' Of approximately 6 million metric tons of petroleum products obtained from indigenous crude oil, about 5.1 million metric tons, or almost 85 percent, were exported to other countries of the Soviet Bloc and to Western Europe. These ex- ports included 57 percent distillates and ~+3 percent residuals and included no whole crude oil. Table 2 shows the shipments out of Rumania in 1952, by country of destination and by major product groups. Exports of Petroleum Products from Rumania 1952 Thousand Metric Tons Distillates Residuals Total Albania ~~ 36 ~+ 40 Bulgaria 200 10 210 Czechoslovakia 3 90 110 200 East Germar~y 4 0 10 10 Hungary 5 5 l0 15 Poland 6 100 20 120 USSR 2,200 1,500 3,700 China 20 0 20 Soviet Far East 20 0 20 Denmark 10 0 20 20 250 150 ~+oo Italy 12 0 100 100 Norway 13 0 10 10 Sweden 0 ~+0 40 Switzerland 15 0 200 200 2,921 2,18+ 5,105 ~ Footnote references in arabic numerals are to sourcea listed in Appendix C. Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 S-E-C-R-E-T Railroad tank cars and seagoing tankers-were the major means of carrying these exports to their destinations. Over ~+5 percent of the total was shipped out by tanker from Constanta and an additional 35 percent was exported by rail. The remainder left the country by pipeline to the USSR and by river barge on the Danube River. Imports into Rumania were negligible. Small quantities of high- octane aviation gasoline, jet fuel, and special lubricants were sup- plied by the USSR. In addition, some bitumen was imported from Albania. The total from both countries probably did not amount to 30,000 metric tons in 1952, less than 1 percent of Rumanian exports. 2. Soviet Zone of Austria. The Soviet Zone of Austria is the second largest exporter of petroleum among the European Satellites. Only about 10 percent of the estimated 3.2 million metric tons of crude oil produced in 1952 remained in the Soviet Zone of Austria. Of more than 2.6 million metric tons moved out, ~+3 percent was in the form of crude oil; 32 percent, distillates; and 25 percent, residuals. It is possible that as much as three-quarters of these exports left the Vienna area by way of the Danube River and that the remainder was carried away by railroad tank cars. By the terms of the occupation agree- ment, the Russians supply the entire Austrian economy with the nec- essary petroleum products. The Western Zones of Austria are the only areas outside the Soviet Bloc that received any of the exports from the Soviet Zone of Austria in 1952. Table 3~ shows the amounts and destinations. of crude oil and petroleum products exported from the Soviet Zone of Austria in 1952. As far as is known, there were no imports of petroleum products into the Soviet Zone of Austria, with the possible exception of small quantities of aviation fuels for the supply of the Soviet air units in the area. 3? East Germany. Seventy percent of the nearly ~~+0,000 metric tons of petroleum products exported from East Germany went to the USSR. Of the total ~ Table 3 follows on p. 6. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 S-E-C-R-E-T exports, 99 percent was in the form of distillates, with the remain- ing very small amount in the form of lubricants. Table ~+ shows the destination of East German exports. Exports of Petroleum from the Soviet Zone of Austria 1952 Thousand Metric Tons Destination Crude Oil Distillates Residuals Total USSR 16 200 200 0 400 Czechoslovakia 17 220 130 45 395 East Germany 18 245 0 0 245 Hungary lg 350 20 15 385 Poland 20 130 40 10 180 Western Zones Austria ~ of 0 400 600 1,000 1,145 790 670 2,605 Exports of Petroleum Products from East Germany 1952 Destination 22 Distillates Residuals Total USSR 309 1 310 Poland 73 2 75 West Germany 42 0 42 Czechoslovakia 11 0 11 Total 435 3 438 Virtually all these exports left East Germany by rail. There were, however, occasional shipments by tanker by way of Stettin (Szczecin) in Poland. -6- S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 S-E-C-R-E-T East Germany imported 2+5,000 tons of crude oil from the Soviet Zone of Austria in 1952. In addition, approximately 25,000 metric tons 23 of high-octane gasoline were shipped in from the USSR, to- gether with about 20,000 metric tons of lubricants from the USSR, Hungary, and Rumania. 4. Hungary Hungary's estimated total exports of petroleum in 1952 amounted to x+00,000 metric tons, with over 85 percent going to the USSR. It is believed that these shipments were carried about equally by rail and by river barge on the Danube River. Table 5 shows the destina- tion of these exports by type and quantities. Table 5 Exports of Petroleum Products from Hungary 1952 Thousand Metric Tons Destination Distillates Residuals Total USSR 2~ 285 60 3t~5 Poland 25 50 0 50 East Germany 26 0 5 5 Total 335 65 X00 In 1952, Hungary imported x+00,000 metric tons of petroleum from the other countries of the Soviet Bloc. Near]tiy 95 percent of these imports were in the form. of crude oil and residuals for processing in the Hungarian refineries. As shown in Tables 2 an~.3, Austria supplied Hungary with 350,000 metric tons of crude oil and 15,000 metric tons of residuals in 1952, and Rumania furnished 10,000 metric tons of residuals. In addition, Hungary received 25,000 metric tons. of distillates from Austria and Rumania and a small quantity of lubricants from the USSR. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 ~ Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 S-E-C-R-E-T Almost 60 percent of .Albania's 275,000 metric tons of exports of petroleum i.n 1952 were in the form of crude oil, with the remainder in the form of bitumen. All of these exports were handled by tanker out of the port of Vlone. Table C shows these shipments by destina- tion and type. Table 6 Exports of Petroleum from Albania 1952 Thousand Metric Tons Destination Crude Oil Residuals Total USSR 2827 950 13 9 l08 Italy 29 60 0 60 Rumania 30 0 8 8 Bulgaria 3,1 0 5 5 155 120 275 In 1952, Al-bania imported about 5,000 metric tons of aviation gasoline and other special products from the USSR and x+0,000 metric tons of petroleum products from Rumania. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 5X1BOa \ Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 '~ Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 S-E-C-R-E-T APPENDIX B. GAPS IN INTELLIGENCE Intelligence information on East Germany, on the Soviet Zone of Austria, and on the tanker shi~nents out of Coristanta through the .Bosporus is believed to be good. Information on Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Poland, and Albania is only fair. The most critical gaps exist in information on Bulgaria and on shipments by rail and pipe- line from Rumania. Except in the cases of East Germany and the Soviet Zone of Austria, reliable intelligence on the flow of petro- leum between the European Satellites and the USSR is almost com- pletely lacking. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 S-E-C-R-E-T .APPENDIX C SOURCES AND EVALUATION OF SOURCES 1. Evaluation of Sources. Taken individually, most of the sources used in preparing this memorandum are considered to be at least possibly true (as indicated below . The over-all consistency of the results obtained by using these sources in a critical fashion is considered sufficiently good to justify the conclusion that the resulting estimates are accurate within a margin of error of plus or minus 10 percent. 2. Sources. Evaluations, following the classification entry and designated "Eval.," have the following significance: Source of Information Information A - Completely reliable 1 - Confirmed by other sources B - Usually reliable 2 - Probably true C - Fairly reliable 3 - Possibly true D - Not usually reliable 4 - Doubtful E - Not reliable 5 - Probably false F - Cannot be judged. 6 - Cannot be judged Evaluations not otherwise designated are those appearing on the cited document; those designated "RR" are by the author of this re- port. No "RR" evaluation is given when the author agrees with the evaluation of the cited document. 25X1A2g S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 5X1A2g \ Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8 Next 4 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 1999/09/21 :CIA-RDP79T00935A000200220001-8