Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
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Original Classification: 
Document Page Count: 
Document Creation Date: 
December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 15, 2000
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Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
October 30, 1952
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0.pdf96.92 KB
,Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0 Below SECURITY INFORMATION CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 30 October 1952 SUBJECT, DRAFT TERMS OF REFERENCE, NIE-Rb PROBABLE DEYEt FMENTS IN INDONESIA THE PROBLI24 To estimate probable developments in Indonesia through 19530 QUESTIONS BEARING ON THE PROBLEM Io Stability and Policies of the Government of Indonesia What Is the current situation in Indonesia and what trends my be expected through 1953 with respect to the following: The numerical strength, orientation, and influence of the various political parties: Approved For Release 200008/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0 '4.,,Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0 a. Maejumi bo National (PNI) c. Communist d. Socialist Other parties 2. The composition, efficiency, cohesiveness, and mo'aie of the government and the popular support enjoyed by the government; 3. The prospect of realignment of the present political groups represented in the government; The economic situation in Indonesia particularly an it affects the stability of the government, domestic and foreign policies, and military and police capabilities; The labor movement and Communist front organizations in Indonesia as they affect the stability of the government; 6. The size, equipment, training, reliability, and effectiveness of military and police forces; Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0 ,.,Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0 Government policies toward dissident groups and the Chinese minority group; Government policies toward the Coimanista; Government foreign policies toward the US, the Netherlands, the west in general, the Commmist Bloc, Southeast Asia, and India; (Also include the causal factors which are determining these policies. ) 10. Goverment policies with respect to nationalization of industry and capital investment by foreign states. II. Capabilities and Intentions of the Insurgents in Indonesia What is the current situation.in Indonesia with respect to insurgents and what trends are expected through 1953 with respect to the following: 1. Strength and capabilities of the various insurgent forces including Communist influence in these groups,*, Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0 4pproved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0 20 The extent of coordination between insurgent forces and capabilities for combined anti- goverment action; The participation of the Chinese minority in insurgent activities; 4o nature and level of outside (particularly Chinese Communist) assistance to the insurgents, III, How would US ?3curity interests be affected if Indonesia should develop an orientation toward the Soviet Bloc or become Communist dominated? Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010028-0