DRAFT TERMS OF REFERENCE: NIE-36/2: PROBABLE DEVELOPMENTS IN BURMA THROUGH 1953 (FOR CONSIDERATION BY THE BOARD)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010038-9
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 15, 2000
• Sequence Number: 38
• Publication Date: September 23, 1952
• Content Type: NIE

Approved For Release 2000/08/29 : CIA-RDP79T00937A000200010038-9
SECUEl?! INFORMATION
23 September 1952
SUBJECT: DRAFT TER OF REFERENCE: N33-32s PROBABLE DE9ELOR-
NEHTS IN BURMA THROM 1953 (For consideration by
the Boast)
THS PKORL
To estimate probable dewelopsenta in Burma through 1953, and
Comoamist intentions and capabilities with respect to Burnt during
that period.
QUHSTICI S BEARING ON THE MPW
Io STABILIT! OF THE OOYERN ' OF BURMA
A. Mat is the ourrent situation in Burnt and what trends
my be expected throu& 1953 with respect to the following:
1. The couponition, efficiency, cohesiveness, and morale
of the gowernmmnt and the popular support enjoyed by
the get;
2. The economic situation in_ Burnt as it affects national
b rase, dossatie and forsiga policies, and military
or police ospabilities;
ONFAIP
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SECM
3. The sise, equipment, training, re1Ubilittr, and effect-
iisasss of military and police forms;
4. Qovernment policies toward the Karma, the Surmsss
Cos=mists, the go troops in Surma, and other dissident
soups;
Gore t policies toward the 1ies$ and the CoNUmist
bloco
110 CkPASILITIES MID Br1E>a'TIOAIS O BURMESE ~S
A a 'what is the ourrsont aituatioa in bursa and ghat tasnds
may be expseted through 1953 with respect to the followings
1. Capabilities of various insurgent forces;
to Coordinated antiagovorsamsnt action by Insurgent forces
extent and effestivsnsss;
36 Capabilities of insurgents to receive and utilize
material and technical assistance from the bhioess
Communists.
B. What is the present nature and level of Chimes CommAnist,
assistance to the insurgents?
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CONFIDENTIAL
III. C -30M CC iJNZST CAPABIISTM
A. What trends may be expected in the capabilities of the
C hiness Gists to provide saterial and technical
assistance to the duznese insurge*ts'
B. What treads may be expected tbmv# 1953 in Chinese C ist
capabilities to. candust ^lUtary Operations in Surma assmaieg
the following conditi iss
1. A continuation of coaaait eats elsewhere at present
levelal
2. Intensified operations in lorea=
3. Now commitments i,R. Indoabies.
IV. INDICATZO S_ OF C UNIST MMMIONS TMW Box"
Aa What courses of action have the Communists followed with
respect to Barma over the past yeas'?
B. What indications of the probable strrategy and tactics of
the use Cosa ists in the Immediate future are available?
C. What indications of the probable strategy and tactics of
the USSR and Coaoewnist China in Buram in the imsmsdiate
future are available?
AS 3 .a
G,12L [1-0 E T I A L
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