CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A000400350001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 25, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: November 2, 1951
• Content Type: REPORT

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2 November 1951
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
47
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AUTH: HR 7G-2
DATA^^/ 1
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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DIA and DOS review(s)
completed.
TOP SECRET
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SUMMARY.
SOUTH ASIA
1. Comment on India's food prospects for 1952 (page 3).
NEAR EAST
2.
3.
Egyptian police activity undermining British position in Suez canal area
(page 4).
WESTERN EUROPE
6. British appear reluctant to suspend German interzonal trade (page 5).
8. Netherlands critical of details of European Defense Forces plan
(page 7).
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SOUTH ASIA
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1. Comment on India's food prospects for 1952:
A recent public announcement by the Indian Food
Ministry indicates that widespread droughts and floods are creating the threat
of a 1952 famine equal to that experienced this year, when India was forced
to increase by two million tons its normal food grain imports of three million
tons per year.
Since it is anticipated that India's balance of
payments and foreign exchange positions will be less favorable at the beginning
of 1952 than they have been this year, India may be even less able to pay for
future food grain imports.
The Indian.Food Ministry announcement appears
to have been made at this early date to prepare foreign powers for another
request for major food grain assistance. A statement by India" s Ambassador
to Peiping on 3 October that China had three million tons of surplus food grains,
which could be sent to India if transportation were available, may also be cal-
culated to stimulate Western interest in India's problem.
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4. Egyptian police activity undermining British position in Suez canal area,
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Intimidation by the Egyptian police is effectively
reducing the supply of Egyptian labor available to
e British forces in the Suez canal zone. In
M
liti
c
on, the ,police are permitting mobs to destroy
British ,food supplies and in some places are
joining extremist groups in forcibly preventing
workers from entering the canal zone.
British Foreign Office officials have expressed
bitterness at the failure of the Egyptian Minister
of Interior to keep his promise that there would
be no interference with lab
or or with essential
Q suppries, an they believe that terrorist groups are entering the canal zone
with at least the connivance of the government.
The US Ambassador in Cairo reports that, in an
effort to force corrective action by the Egyptian Government, British military
authorities "have again virtually turned off the tap" of Egypt's oil supply. The
Egyptians are so thoroughly worked up over the fuel oil stoppage that its only
effect has been to make them more intransigent.
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WESTERN EUROPE
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6. British appear reluctant to suspend German interzonal trade.
Foreign Secretary Eden has
port on the Berlin situation,
British High Commissioner
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requested a full re-
and has instructed
Kirkpatrick to take
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at a meeting on 31 October on the subject of suspending interzonal trade, as
earlier planned by the Allies.
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no strong counteraction at present, for fear of
unnecessarily adding Berlin to Britain's other
difficulties. US High Commissioner McCloy
reports that Kirkpatrick showed some hesitation
Meanwhile, McCloy states that he will continue
to press for cessation of interzonal trade as soon as possible. He concurs
with the Department of State's feeling that, although such a move is risky
during the winter months because of Berlin's vulnerability, the alternative
of giving in to the East at this time involves more serious dangers.
Comment. This is the first evidence of a re-
ported policy of the new British Government'to proceed cautiously on the
German question.
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8. Netherlands critical of details of European Defense Forces plan-
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A Dutch Foreign Office official,, in reviewing his
government's objections to the European Defense
Forces plan, has stressed the Dutch fear that the
plan is being expanded into political and economic
fields beyond t riginal concept. The Dutch, who believe that there should
be a definite li between NATO and the European Defense Forces plan,
specifically oppose the proposals for a single high commissioner and a commc 2bX1
defense budget.
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