CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A000600090001-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 8, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: March 5, 1952
• Content Type: REPORT

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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
USSR probably controls Korean air war from Mukden (page 3)4
Burmese rebel leader reportedly recruiting in China (page 3).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
3. American Ambassador in Cairo assesses Egyptian situation
(page 4).
4s Tunisian official fears Arab bloc will over-extend demands
(page 4)0
WESTERN EUROPE
5.,
Italian F
(page 5).
oreign Offi
ce experts pessimistic on Tr
ieste problem
6.
Gaullist
regime rep
orted imminent in France (pa
LATIN AMERICA
ge 5)a
7.
America
Guatemal
n Ambassad
a (page 6),
or advises delaying terminat
ion of aid to
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FAR EAST
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USSR probably controls Korean air war from Mukdeno
headquarte s located in Mukdeno
The US Air Force believes that the USSR
probably exercises over-all command control
over enemy air combat operations in Korea
from a combined Soviet-Chinese-Korean air
Comment: This combined headquarters at
Mukden presumably commands the jet fighter units of the Chinese,
KoranandSoviic;tAir Forces based at combat airfields in the Antung area.
2. Burmese rebel leader reportedly recruiting in China:
the Kachin rebel leader from Burma, to join his forces. Volunteers
were promised military training before an invasion of Burma scheduled
"in the near future."
An estimated 5,000 Kachins and "Sino-Shans"
who attended a recent Chinese Communist-
sponsored festival at Paoshan, near the Sino-
Burmese border, were urged by Naw Seng,
Comment: Naw Seng's long refuge in China
is an irritant in Sino -Burmese relations, particularly because of the
patent insincerity of Peiping's Embassy in Rangoon when approached
on the matter by Burmese authorities.
Naw Seng's impending return to Burma has
often been reported over the past year.
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3. American Ambassador in Cairo assesses Egyptian
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
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The new cabinet of Prime Minister Hilali can
give Egypt a good government only if Great
Britain offers major concessions on the Suez
base and Sudan issues, according to the Ameri-
can Ambassador in Cairo. The opposition of
the strong Wafd Party to the new government
will make it more difficult for Hilali to accept
Western terms than it was for the previous
cabinets under All Maher and Nahas Pasha.
Meanwhile the American Ambassador in
London reports that the British Government will for the presentwait
to see how the situation develops. Britain does not wish to act quickly
lest the Egyptian Cabinet be accused of being a "British creature."
The British also feel that Egypt must first cope with the Wafdbefore
it can tackle Anglo-Egyptian negotiations.
Comment: While the new Egyptian Premier
is a stronger personality than his predecessor, his ability to meet
Wafd opposition successfully over the long term depends, in large part,
upon the outcome of any future negotiations with the British.
Tunisian official fears Arab bloc will over-extend demands:
The Tunisian Minister of Justice, himself
a nationalist, fears that the more extremist
Arab representatives in the United Nations
may include a request for Tunisian inde-
pendence when the problem of the protectorate is brought before the
Security Council. The Tunisian nationalists themselves desire only
a Security Council recommendation that France proceed with reforms
leading to internal autonomy by direct negotiation with the Tunisian
Government.
.4-
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Italian Foreign Office specialists see no hope
for a settlement of the Trieste issue following
Premier de Gasperi's rejection of Marshal
Tito's proposal for an Italo-Yugoslav condo-
WESTERN EUROPE
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Comment: The essentially moderate nature
of the Tunisian position remains unchanged. An auxiliary demand is for
the release of imprisoned nationalist leaders prior to the resumption of
negotiations.
The Tunisian Ministers also are afraid that
their position might be jeopardized by inaccuracies in the brief which
Pakistan has agreed to sponsor and which is being prepared largely
without Tunisian supervision.
5. Italian Foreign Office experts pessimistic on Trieste problem:
miniu
The incident has inflamed Italian nationalist sentiment.
Comment: This is the first comment from
Foreign Office specialists regarding prospects for a solution of the Trieste
issue, Their view confirms previous indications that a settlement of the
problem is highly improbable for the foreseeable future.
6. Gaullist regime reported'imminent in France:
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one of De Gaulle's chief advisers
believes that within sixty days the General
"will be in power," at least to the extent that
his Rally of the French People will participate in a new government.
It will, however, expect to dominate such a government.
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Soustelle, head of the Gaullists' parliamentary group, was summoned
last week-end for a conference with President Auriol, who said he
wanted to see De Gaulle but feared Communist reaction.
Comment: The Gaullists would probably not
demand the premiership as the price of permitting formation of a new
government; they would, however, insist on acceptance of their program
for -constitutional reforms and a major French reorientation within the
Atlantic alliance. There is no evidence that sufficient deputies of other
parties are swinging to acceptance of the Gaullists in a coalition on these
terms.
Summoning Soustelle, as the parliamentary
leader of a major party, would be normal at the beginning of a Cabinet
crisis.
LATIN AMERICA
7. American Ambassador advises delaying termination of aid to Guatemala:
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Because the United Fruit Company's dispute
with the Guatemalan Government is at a crucial
point, Ambassador Schoenfeld recommends
that the United States delay for a few days an
y
decision to terminate technical assistance programs in Guatemala. He
feels that abrupt action by the United States at this moment would harm
rather than help the company's chances of arriving at an agreement with
the government.
The Ambassador suggests that if the dispute
becomes more serious, measures then be adopted which could be
justified on the grounds that conditions are not conducive to cooperative
programs. He feels, however, that such measures are not likely to
improve matters and will at best be a concession to American public
opinion.
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Comment: The present. crisis between
Guatemala and the United FruitCompany arose from a court order that
the company's properties on the Pacific coast be sold at public auction
on 5 March to satisfy the back wage demand of some 3,700 workers.
These laborers were suspended by the company after wind storms did
major damage to the plantations last September.
The company has refused to rehabilitate the
plantations without guarantees against increased labor costs during the
next three years. The company can be expected to reach some agree-
ment with the workers in order not to lose such valuable properties.
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