CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A000600110001-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 15, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: March 7, 1952
• Content Type: REPORT

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7 March 1952
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO
NO CHAT MAE IN CLA8u.
ME~s
rlE; r REVIEW DATE:
/ ,UTH: HR 70.~?'j~
DATE. !_F1 ,_ REVIEWER:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
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SUMMARY
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Thailand reportedly imminent page .
Political s howdown in 4j
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
British and Turks fear new Egyptian disturbances age
WESTERN EUROPE
Italy to make counter-proposal on Trieste issue (page 7).
US observers analyze forthcoming Italian elections (page 8).
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4. Political showdown in Thailand reportedly imminent:
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Phao and Assistant Army Commander Sarit,
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Promulgation of the new Thai constitution
and the simultaneous resignation of the cabinet,
scheduled for 8 March, will precipitate a
showdown between Police Director General
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Premier Phibun, according to this report,
will not be reappointed, because Phao is allegedly backing his father-
in-law, Army Commander Phin, for the Premiership. Sarit favors
Seni Pramote, a prominent royalist.
Friction between the Phao and Sarit factions,
which together control Premier Phibun' s government, has been frequently
reported for months. To date, an overt clash has probably been prevented
by a systematic and apparently satisfactory allotn'ient of the various eco-
nomic and financial opportunities for unrestricted exploitation by the two
groups.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
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6. British and Turks fear new Egyptian disturbances:
British troops in the Suez Canal area, who
the delta re
ion
on to occu
would be called u
y
g
p
in case of a breakdown of public oraer in Egypt,
have again been put on a 24-hour alert owing
to British fears that disturbances may reoccur.
The Turkish Ambassador in Cairo believes
that the British are "overplaying their animosity
to the Wafd Party which may backfire in the eiad
and even produce chaos in the country." He added, however, that Turkey
still supports the British position in Egypt.
Comment: Underneath the outward calm which
Prime Minister Hilali is maintaining under martial law is the continuing
possibility of violence induced by the Wafd Party. In spite of the strong
Palace support for the Premier, it is an open question how far Hilali can
go against the well-organized and well-entrenched Wafd.
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WESTERN EUROPE
9. Italy to make counter-proposal on Trieste issue:
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Italy, having' rejected Yugoslavia's proposal
for a joint administration of the entire Free
Territory of Trieste, now plans to suggest
that a general plebiscite be held in both zones
to determine the territory's ultimate nationality,
The Italian Foreign Office believes this -
acceptable to Yugoslavia and will therefore provide an easy escape from
further negotiations at this time.
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Comment: The plebiscite proposal is an
attempt by the Italian Government to give the impression both to the West
and to the Italian people that it is actively working for a solution of the
Trieste issue. The Foreign Office's estimate of its chances of being
accepted by Yugoslavia confirms previous indications that Italy does not
desire a settlement now.
10. US observers analyze forthcoming Italian elections:
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cities, including Naples. In Rome, however, the strength of those pro-
government parties which are willing to be linked in a common electoral
list is insufficient to give a "safe" margin, because the Democratic
Socialists and the Republicans are still reluctant to be associated even
indirectly with the Monarchists.
The American Embassy in Rome reports that
the prospect for "democratic" success in the
Italian local elections sceduled for 25 May in
southern Italy is "fairly good" in most large
Comment: The local elections are particularly
useful as harbingers of results in the national elections, planned for late
this year or early 1953. Observers believe that even if the Democratic
Socialist leadership decided to enter an electoral alliance with the govern-
ment parties and Monarchists, their party following would in many cases
refuse.
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