CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A000600180001-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 8, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: March 15, 1952
• Content Type: REPORT

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15 March 1952
Copy No, 4j
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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DOCUMENT NO.
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State Department review completed
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
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SUMMARY
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Iraqi Prime Minister may soon resign (page 4).
Mossadeq again rejects possible use of British technicians
(page 4).
WESTERN EUROPE
5. Italy agrees to Trieste elections (page 5).
6. France favors conditional answer to Soviet note on German peace
treaty (page 6).
7. Belgian Cabinet pessimistic regarding country's defense
commitments (page 7).
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
3. Mossadeq again rejects possible use of British technicians:
future.
with the International nk were contingent upon the return of the
British, however, he would retirerather d take block a settlement.
responsibility for Iran's
Someone else, Mossadeq added, col
Prime Minister Mossadeq has stated em-
phatically to Ambassador Henderson that he
would never agree to the re-entry of British
oil technicians into Iran. If an agreement
Comment: One of the main points blocking
in-
an agreement between Iran and the International
be employed. Iranian
The Bank
sistence that no British technicians
holds that it should be free to hire any personnel necessary.
Iraqi Prime Minister may soon resign:
Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri Said is about to
resign,
Since Parliament has rat e e
new oil agreement with the Iraq Petroleum
Company and since the Middle East Command
issue is being "soft-pedalled for the present," Nuri, who has held the
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premiership for over a year, is reported eager to let another Iraqi
leader dissolve Parliament and supervise the holding of new elections.
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Comment: The Iraqi Regent reportedly has
summoned political leaders for consultations on the formation of a new
government which would supervise elections if Parliament is dissolved
in May.
Any forthcoming change of cabinet in Baghdad
is not likely to alter Iraq's generally pro-West alignment.
WESTERN EUROPE
5. Italy agrees to Trieste elections:
Italy is in agreement with scheduling the
Trieste elections for 25 May, the date set
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they are held under Italian law.
Italy has dropped its earlier objections to the
elections because it feels that an impasse has been reached in its nego-
tiations with Yugoslavia.
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Prospects for a victory of the pro-Italian
democratic parties in the Trieste Zone A elections may be jeopardized
.by the Catholic Action group, which objects on religious grounds to
Christian Democratic cooperation with the other moderate Italian parties.
6. France favors conditional answer to Soviet note on German peace treaty:
French Foreign Office spokesmen believe that
the Western replies to the recent Soviet note
on a German peace treaty should not treat the
issue as an isolated one, because confining
discussion to Germany would be in the Russian interest, The French
recommend that the West state that any quadripartite conference on this
question should not take place until the long-standing Austrian treaty
negotiations are concluded and until Germany has a single government
formed as a result of free elections throughout the country.
One Foreign Office spokesman expects that
the Soviet about-face on German rearmament will greatly embarrass
the French Communists.
Comment: French hopes for a demilitarized
Germany were largely dissipate y the failure of the Big Four Deputies
Conference last spring. The firm stand then taken by the West against
further concessions to the USSR was well received by the French public.
Since last summer, the French Governmenthas
adopted a progressively firmer policy on Communist activities in
France, and little public pressure for renewed negotiations is likely
unless Russia offers real concessions.
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7. Belgian Cabinet pessimistic regarding country's defense commitments:
The Belgian Prime Minister and the Finance
and Foreign Ministers state that their country
cannot meet the financial burden growing out
of its defense effort.
The Prime Minister said that deterioration
of the Belgian economy is the real problem and that "nobody believes
western Europe is now in danger of Soviet military agression." The
Finance Minister asserted that he will not agree to inflationary
measures to meet rearmament needs.
The leaders of the government party are
seriously considering a reduction in the present two-year conscription
period. Defense Minister De Greef has threatened to resign if this
step is taken, since he feels that the present military program could
not then be accomplished.
Comment: Despite numerous American
representations that the country's economy could'be expanded without
serious danger to provide a higher level of defense production, Belgium
has been increasingly reluctant to undertake greater financial com-
mitments even on a piecemeal basis.
Defense Minister, De Greef, an able, non-
party military man, has been largely responsible for carrying out the
expansion of the Belgian Army ahead of schedule. His. resignation
would seriously retard efforts to secure increased Belgian defense
commitments.
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