CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A000600460001-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 6, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: April 17, 1952
• Content Type: REPORT

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17 April 1952
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Copy No. 52
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE iN CLASS,
DECLASSIF E.D
CLASS. CHANGED TO TS
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NEXT Rf_:vs!EW DATE: Ct
AUTN: HR 70.2
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
State Department review
completed
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
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1. Britain anticipates prolonged Soviet campaign against West German
integration (page 3)0
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Tudeh plans May Day demonstrations throughout, Iran (page 4).
5. New Anglo-Egyptian statement drafted (page 5).
6. King Farouk considering change of government in Egypt (page 6).
EASTERN EUROPE
Western talks on Trieste jeopardize US-Yugoslav relations (page 6).
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GENERAL
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1. Britain anticipates prolonged Soviet campaign against West German
integration:
for advance agreement on essentials without actually rejecting the possi-
bility of four-power talks.
refusal would prejudice West German ratification of the European Defense
Community treaty and the contractual agreements. Britain favors Chancel-
lor Adenauer's suggestion that the Western reply point out the-necessity
The British Foreign Office believes that the
Soviet note of 9 April may have been designed
to elicit a Western refusal to hold discussions
on a German peace treaty, and that such a
Foreign Secretary Eden urges that'the Western
reply be coordinated in London or Paris rather than in Washington to avoid
European criticism that the United States is dominating Western policy.
Comment: The chief of German affairs in the
British Foreign Office had stated earlier that the USSR could make trouble
in its efforts to prevent German integration with the West by offering
genuinely free election of an all-German government. Britain evidently
now believes that the USSR is preparing a prolonged diplomatic campaign
aimed at blocking the ratification, if not the signature, of the EDC treaty
and the Allied-German contract.
West German ratification would be endangered
only if the Soviet Union offered proposals for unification which guaranteed
Germany's independence.
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. NEAR EAST - AFRICA
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4. Tudeh plans May Day demonstrations throughout Iran:
the Tudeh
and its front organizations are planning large-
scale May Day demonstrations throughout Iran.
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Comment: Martial law, which was imposed
in Tehran immediately following the Tudeh riots of 28 March, is scheduled
to end in late April. Mossadeq, who is allegedly alarmed by the recent
riots, may extend it. Last year, despite army advice, Mossadegpermit-
ted Tudeh May Day demonstrations. The security forces, however, are
considered capable of successfully controlling any isolated Tudehactivities
along these lines.
5. New Anglo-Egyptian statement drafted:
be confined to the Sudan. The Foreign Office still refuses to suspend the
new Sudanese constitution, but hopes that Egypt may be induced to associ-
ate itself with the constitutional development.
conditional on the conclusion of a satisfactory statement on the Sudan.
The British Foreign Office feels that if the
British Cabinet approves this text, the conversations in London withformer
Egyptian Ambassador Amr, who is scheduled to arrive on 16 April, can
The text of an exchange of letters on defense
problems has now been agreed to by the Egyptian
Prime Minister and the British Ambassador in
Cairo. Egyptian agreement, however, is
Comment: The formulation of a statement on
the Sudan satisfactory to both parties is remote as long as the British
Foreign Office refuses to recognize Farouk's title to the Sudan or to sus-
pend the new constitution.
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6. King Farouk considering change of government in Egypt:
King Farouk is determined to prevent the
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ill therefore be forced to replace Prime
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Minister Hilali Pasha with someone who is 25X1
re are to govern Egypt indefinitely without Parliament.
25X1 the two t e y
candidates to succeed Hilali are the former Minister Foreign Affairs,
Abd-al Hamid Badawi Pasha, and the current Minister of Interior, War,
and Navy, Ahmad Murtada al-Maraghi Bey.
Comment: There has been some evidence in
recent weeks that Hilali may not wish to continue in office if Egypt is un-
able to reach an agreement soon with Britain.
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7. Western talks on Trieste jeopardize US-Yugoslav relations:
The American Charge in Belgrade emphasizes
that the London conversations concerning Italian
demands for a greater voice in Trieste involve
the United States in an issue deeply affecting
Yugoslav national interests. He warns that despite Yugoslav dependence
on Western aid, the United States runs the risk of forfeiting its unique
position of high prestige and influence in Yugoslavia.
The Charge points out that the Yugoslav Commu-
nist Party has found the Trieste issue an increasingly useful one and states
that official Yugoslav reaction against an Italian assumption of civil affairs
in Zone A would be "very strong," rendering a final solution of the Trieste
problem even more difficult.
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