Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
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Document Creation Date: 
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date: 
November 6, 2003
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Publication Date: 
April 26, 1952
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A000600540001-5.pdf165.45 KB
Approved For Res 25X1 25X1 1/10R1 ET'fo975AW600540001-5 26 April 1952 Copy No.5 2 25X1 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. NO CHANGE IN CLASS. I DECLASSIFIED CLASS. V4E W:C' ? T:r . r?~ 0 So NEXT HEV;F:'0, L"M L: DA7 ? e _ T EVIFEVVER: 25X1 25X1 Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 25X1 State Department review completed Approved For Relea SECRET TOP 25X1 Approved F 25X1A SUMMARY 25X1 5. India will need extensive external assistance in 1952-53 (page 5). NEAR EAST - AFRICA Egypt may take Suez dispute to UN (page 7). WESTERN EUROPE 25X1 9. Adenauer blames Schuman for Saar accord failure (page 8). LATIN AMERICA 19. Comment on possible disturbances in Ecuador this week-end (page 8). 25X1A 25X1A 25X1 Approved for Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975A000g00540001-5 25X1 L Approved For Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975A000600540001-5 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975A000600540001-5 Approved For Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975A000600540001-5 25X1 25X1A 5. India will need extensive external assistance in 1952-530 Ambassador Bowles reports that India's need for external assistance during the comingfiscal year will be between 260 and 285 million dollars, and that all but about 25 million must come from the United States. Approved F 25X1A Approved F 25X1A 25X1A He states that the present Indian Government is unlikely to survive if it fails to meet the goals of its current five-year plan, adding that no one in New Delhi believes these goals can be met without foreign aid. Comment: The above figures emphasize again the magnitude of the task facing the Indian Government in achieving eco- nomic stability. They also suggest that last year's 190 million dollar loan to India for the purchase of wheat was merely the first of a series of similar requests to be expected in the future. NEAR EAST - AFRICA 25X1A Approved F4 Approved F~ 25X1A 25X1 A Egypt may take Suez dispute to UN: success to obtain a Security Council decision against Britain. Any new attempt by the Egyptian Government to obtain a UN solution of the dispute would probably be made in the General Assembly, Prime Minister Hilali Pasha may take the Anglo-Egyptian dis- pute to the United, Nations if he decides that "negotiations with the British are fruitless:' Comment: In 1947, Egypt tried without 25X1 25X1 7 Approved F 25X1A Approved Fob 25X1A 00540001-5 9. Adenauer blames.Schuman for Saar accord failure: 25X1A Cha cellos Aderiauer. has asserted pr ivately that- French Tore.ign Minister Schuman agreed in,-their March cariversations that the Saar leg.slature to be elected this fall should decide whether the economic union with France should be maintained or allowed to "vanish in some sort;ol Europeanization. Adenauer and Schuman, whose position in e renc Cabinet is insecure, both seem to have conceded more than their legislatures would permit. Adenauer agreed to the Saar' s political separation from Germany, and Schuman to a review by the Saar legislature of the economic union. The French are willing to discuss no more than the political future of the territory, and Schuman recently promised the Council of the Republic that France would continue to insist on maintenance of the 1950 economic conventions with the Saar. Adenauer told the Bundestag on 23 April that the minimum French demands left little hope for French- German negoti- ations at this time. LATIN AMERICA 10. Comment on possible disturbances in Ecuador this week-end: Reports from Quito indicate that this week-end may be a crisis point in the stormy Ecuadoran election campaign. Rumors that several army leaders, including the Minister of Defense may attempt a revolution today are now added to the virtually certain prospect of major street clashes when the controversial presidential candidate Velasco Ibarra arrives in Quito. 25X1A Comment: 25X1 Approved Fir Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975A000600540001-5 Approved F 25X1A 25X1 The withdrawal on 20 April of the left-wing coalition candidate and the resignation of the, entire cabinet on 23 April have increased the likelihood of serious disturbances. President Galo Plaza is continuing his efforts to maintain order and insure an orderly election. His efforts may fail, however, unless he can persuade the army high command and the adamantly anti-Velasco Socialists to observe constitutional procedures. Approved F 25X1A