CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
7
Document Creation Date:
December 27, 2016
Document Release Date:
November 27, 2013
Sequence Number:
1
Case Number:
Publication Date:
July 23, 1952
Content Type:
REPORT
File:
Attachment | Size |
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Body:
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/11/27: CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2
TOP SECRET
23 July 1952
Copy No. 3
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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ORANGE D TO: IS S C
NEXIIIEMEW DAIt' le 00
AVM: 14R 702
TEt_______REVIEWER:J [50X1
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
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SUMMARY
SOVIET UNION
FAR EAST
2. Vietnamese Cabinet lacks cohesion (page 3).
SOUTH ASIA
3. Communist-front organizations in Pakistan renounce politics
(page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5. Comment on Mossadecf s eturn to power (page 5).
6. Yugoslavia invites Greece to participate in joint naval exercises
(page 6).
EASTERN EUROPE
WESTERN EUROPE
8. West German officials suggest active defense preparations be
started now (page 7).
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FAR EAST
2. Vietnamese Cabinet lacks cohesion:
The Vietnamese Cabinet is torn by feuds
between key ministers and by resentment
at Prime Minister Tam's reluctance to
delegate responsibility to subordinates,
Tam allegedly
Intends to rely on French advisers assigned to the various ministries.
Comment: Since Tam has the strong back-
ing of French officials in Saigon, he should be able during the im-
mediate future to continue in office despite his widespread unpopular-
ity and the maneuvers of his political enemies. It is clear, however,
that with a disorganized cabinet he will not be able to conduct a vigor-
ous campaign against the Viet Minh.
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SOUTH ASIA
3. Communist-front organizations in Pakistan renounce politics:
Two Communist-front organizations, the
Pakistan Trade Union Federation and the
Pakistan Progressive Writers' Association,
have issued statements 'admitting past
errors in policy and stating that hence-
forth they would confine themselves solely to trade union activities
and literary pursuits.
Comment: The above statements appeared
shortly after the release from jail of all but two of the top Commu-
nist leaders in Pakistan and less than a month after the Indian Com-
munist Party allegedly received new policy instructions fromabroad.
The statements suggest that the Communist
Party of Pakistan is being reorganized and revitalized following the
return of its leaders. The withdrawal of front-organizations from
political activity presumably indicates recognition of an immediate
need to increase popular support, which is more easily obtained when
there is no police repression.
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NEAR EAST AFRICA
5. Comment on Mossadeq's return to power:
The reappointment of Mossadeq as Iran's
Prime Minister destroys any hope for an early solution of the oil
problem. Prior to his resignation on 16 July, Mossadeq requested
that he be given extraordinary powers to cope with the deteriorating
economic situation. He also asked the Shah to appoint him Minister
of War as well as Prime Minister.
Mossadeq's known desire to limit the in-
fluence of the Shah and the army suggests that he will now attempt to
strengthen his position further. In addition, the International Courts
decision on 22 July that it is not competent to rule in the Anglo-Iranian
oil dispute will heighten Mossadeq's intransigence and his popularity
in Iran4,
Mossadeq is a self-proclaimed constitutional-
ist. His unwillingness to compromise on the oil issue, however, as
well as his desire to restrict the army and the court and his increasing
inclination toward dictatorial action, offers little hope for an improve-
ment in the country's affairs.
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6. Yugoslavia invites Greece to participate in joint naval exercises:
Greek Defense Minister Mavros has informed
Ambassador Peurifoy that the Greek Navy has
been invited to join Yugoslav naval forces in
maneuvers scheduled for late August. The
Greek Government is withholding its reply until it can obtain an official
American reaction. According to Ambassador Peurifoy, the Greeks
are "highly elated" over this Yugoslav overture.
Comment: Greek officials have in the past
exhibited unwarranted optimism over Yugoslav readiness to enter into
mutual defense talks, and Marshal Tito has made it abundantly clear
that he will sign no formal defense pacts. If Mavros' statement is
true, however, this request for joint naval exercises would be concrete
evidence of Yugoslavia's willingness to assume an active role in region-
al defense planning.
EASTERN EUROPE
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WESTERN EUROPE
West German officials suggest active defense preparations be started now:
West German Finance Minister Schaeffer and 50X1
"Defense Minister" Blank have suggested that
barracks be built now for the use of the Ger-
man troop contingents in the European army.
They propose that the barracks be constructed ostensibly for American
use, but paid for by the Germans.
Both officials expressed concern that formation
of German units might later be delayed by? the lack of quarters.
Comment: Although the West German Govern-
ment must facilitate its troop build-up by planning its defense production
schedules, any such action as they suggested would probably bring
sharp French criticism
Until the European Defense Treaty is finally
ratified, the West German Government will not have the legal right to
proceed with overt defense preparations.
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