CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
7
Document Creation Date: 
December 27, 2016
Document Release Date: 
November 27, 2013
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
July 23, 1952
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2.pdf211.56 KB
Body: 
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/11/27: CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2 TOP SECRET 23 July 1952 Copy No. 3 50X1 50X1 50X1 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN noCUMeis140 Notstmtem clAss. ?OWASEVISD CLAW ORANGE D TO: IS S C NEXIIIEMEW DAIt' le 00 AVM: 14R 702 TEt_______REVIEWER:J [50X1 50X1 Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY TOP SECRET 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/11/27: CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/11/27: CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2 50X1 SUMMARY SOVIET UNION FAR EAST 2. Vietnamese Cabinet lacks cohesion (page 3). SOUTH ASIA 3. Communist-front organizations in Pakistan renounce politics (page 4). NEAR EAST - AFRICA 5. Comment on Mossadecf s eturn to power (page 5). 6. Yugoslavia invites Greece to participate in joint naval exercises (page 6). EASTERN EUROPE WESTERN EUROPE 8. West German officials suggest active defense preparations be started now (page 7). 2 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/11/27: CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/11/27: CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2 bUX1 FAR EAST 2. Vietnamese Cabinet lacks cohesion: The Vietnamese Cabinet is torn by feuds between key ministers and by resentment at Prime Minister Tam's reluctance to delegate responsibility to subordinates, Tam allegedly Intends to rely on French advisers assigned to the various ministries. Comment: Since Tam has the strong back- ing of French officials in Saigon, he should be able during the im- mediate future to continue in office despite his widespread unpopular- ity and the maneuvers of his political enemies. It is clear, however, that with a disorganized cabinet he will not be able to conduct a vigor- ous campaign against the Viet Minh. -3 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/11/27: CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/11/27: CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2 SOUTH ASIA 3. Communist-front organizations in Pakistan renounce politics: Two Communist-front organizations, the Pakistan Trade Union Federation and the Pakistan Progressive Writers' Association, have issued statements 'admitting past errors in policy and stating that hence- forth they would confine themselves solely to trade union activities and literary pursuits. Comment: The above statements appeared shortly after the release from jail of all but two of the top Commu- nist leaders in Pakistan and less than a month after the Indian Com- munist Party allegedly received new policy instructions fromabroad. The statements suggest that the Communist Party of Pakistan is being reorganized and revitalized following the return of its leaders. The withdrawal of front-organizations from political activity presumably indicates recognition of an immediate need to increase popular support, which is more easily obtained when there is no police repression. - 4 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/11/27: CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/11/27: CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2 50X1 NEAR EAST AFRICA 5. Comment on Mossadeq's return to power: The reappointment of Mossadeq as Iran's Prime Minister destroys any hope for an early solution of the oil problem. Prior to his resignation on 16 July, Mossadeq requested that he be given extraordinary powers to cope with the deteriorating economic situation. He also asked the Shah to appoint him Minister of War as well as Prime Minister. Mossadeq's known desire to limit the in- fluence of the Shah and the army suggests that he will now attempt to strengthen his position further. In addition, the International Courts decision on 22 July that it is not competent to rule in the Anglo-Iranian oil dispute will heighten Mossadeq's intransigence and his popularity in Iran4, Mossadeq is a self-proclaimed constitutional- ist. His unwillingness to compromise on the oil issue, however, as well as his desire to restrict the army and the court and his increasing inclination toward dictatorial action, offers little hope for an improve- ment in the country's affairs. 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/11/27: CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/11/27: CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2,xi 6. Yugoslavia invites Greece to participate in joint naval exercises: Greek Defense Minister Mavros has informed Ambassador Peurifoy that the Greek Navy has been invited to join Yugoslav naval forces in maneuvers scheduled for late August. The Greek Government is withholding its reply until it can obtain an official American reaction. According to Ambassador Peurifoy, the Greeks are "highly elated" over this Yugoslav overture. Comment: Greek officials have in the past exhibited unwarranted optimism over Yugoslav readiness to enter into mutual defense talks, and Marshal Tito has made it abundantly clear that he will sign no formal defense pacts. If Mavros' statement is true, however, this request for joint naval exercises would be concrete evidence of Yugoslavia's willingness to assume an active role in region- al defense planning. EASTERN EUROPE 6 50X1 50X1 OUA I 50X1 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/11/27: CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/11/27: CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2 DUA I , WESTERN EUROPE West German officials suggest active defense preparations be started now: West German Finance Minister Schaeffer and 50X1 "Defense Minister" Blank have suggested that barracks be built now for the use of the Ger- man troop contingents in the European army. They propose that the barracks be constructed ostensibly for American use, but paid for by the Germans. Both officials expressed concern that formation of German units might later be delayed by? the lack of quarters. Comment: Although the West German Govern- ment must facilitate its troop build-up by planning its defense production schedules, any such action as they suggested would probably bring sharp French criticism Until the European Defense Treaty is finally ratified, the West German Government will not have the legal right to proceed with overt defense preparations. - 7 - 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/11/27: CIA-RDP79T00975A000800030001-2