CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A000900150001-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 23, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: October 28, 1952
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For yeas
f 2/0.PR9750900150001-5
25X1
28 October 1952
25X1
Copy No. 51'
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
25X1
25X1
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CL SS.
0 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS.;S. 25X1
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: ii 70-2REVIEWER:
Office of Current Intelligence ORATE:
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
25X1
State Department review
completed
Approved For Rel
25X1
 25X1A
SUMMARY
25X1
Approv
FAR EAST
2.
3. Chinese Communists concerned over possible Nationalist invasion (page 4).
NEAR EAST. - AFRICA
25X1
4.
5.
Deteriorating political situation confronts Iraqi Regent (page 4).
6. Egypt's participation in MEDO depends on British evacuation
of Suez (page 6).
7. General Nagib's moderate policy reportedly hampered by
lack of Western aid (page 6).
WESTERN EUROPE
8. Italian ratification of EDC to await French parliamentary
action (page 7).
* * *
25X1A
,.,2-
25X1A
Approve
25X1
 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/12/03 : CIA-RDP79T00975A000900150001-5
Approved For Release 2003/12/03 : CIA-RDP79T00975A000900150001-5
 25X1A
25X1A
Approve
3. Chinese Communists concerned over possible Nationalist invasion:
The Chinese Communists expect an early
invasion of mainland China by the Nationalists
from Formosa, according to continuing
reports received by the American Consul
Qeneral in Hong Kong. These reports
suggest that the new invasion precautions which have been taken in
many coastal cities are a result of fear aroused by Nationalist aerial
reconnaissance and guerrilla raids in sensitive areas.
Comment: The recent large-scale Nationalist
raid on Nan Jih Island, off the Fukien coast about 80 miles. northeast
of Amoy, may have been regarded by the Communists as a prelude
to invasion of the mainland.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
25X1A
4. Deteriorating political situation confronts Iraqi Regent:
Four political parties in Iraq are reportedly
ready to boycott the forthcoming elpctibns if
the Regent turns down a series of reforms,
25X1
25X1
Approve
25X1A
 25X1A
25X1
Approve
25X1
5.
I alace officials
in Baghdad have resolved to bring the deteriorating political situation
to the attention of the Regent.
Comment. Parliament was dissolved on
27 October. Iraq, now governed by a caretaker government, awaits
the decision of the Regent on the date of the elections, which will
be held shortly, on whether there are to be reforms, and on- the
make-up of the caretaker cabinet which will conduct the elections.
The political parties threatening a boycott are extremists and
their demands for electoral reforms have had the backing of the
Communists.
These reports indicate that the political
pressures which have been causing upheavals in Syria, Jordan,
Egypt and Lebanon may also be powerful in Iraq.
Approv
25X1A
 25X1A
25X1A
Approvo
6. Egypt's participation in MEDO depends on British evacuation of Suez:
General Nagib and the Egyptian Foreign
Minister have informedF -J
that Egyptian
participation in MEDO is impossible as
while he would not be "so foolish as the Wafd" and fight the British,
he could not accept anything short of British evacuation of the
canal zone.
long as British troops remain in the Suez area. Nagib stated that
The general stated that it was in Egypt's
interest to enter an organization such as MEDO, but also pointed
out the disadvantages which he believed Egypt would suffer in
joining. Its participation, he said, would induce the other Arab
countries to follow suit. If Egypt subsequently withdrew, other
countries, particularly Syria and'Iraq, might remain and Egypt
would then be isolated.
25X1
Nagib informed I
however, that he would continue studying the question of participation
and discuss the matter with him in two or three weeks.
Comment: This is the clearest statement
to date of the Egyptian military regime's attitude on the withdrawal
of British troops from the canal zone. It is also the first suggestion
that the Cairo government might not join MEDO even if Britain
evacuated the Suez area.
7. General Nagib's moderate policy reportedly hampered by lack of
Western ai :
25X1A
General Nagib is quoted as complaining
that he has not yet received any advantage
from his friendly policy toward the West,
25X1A
Approv
25X1
25X1
 25X1A
Approve For Release 2003/12/03 : CIA-RDP79T00975A000900 50001-5
25X1
and consequently is experiencing difficulty in controlling the
nationalist members of his cabinet, who he says are inclined to
favor Russia.
Nagib cited his failure to obtain jet aircraft
and the release of 5,000,000 pounds from Great Britain as handicaps
that make it difficult for him to convince extremists in the cabinet
that?a pro-Western policy is worthwhile.
Comment.- The British Cabinet is expected
to decide shortly, whether to re ease some of the 65 jet aircraft
ordered by Egypt. Release of the 5,000,000 pounds is still under
discussion.
WESTERN EUROPE
25X1A
8. Italian ratification of EDC to await French parliamentary action:
The Embassy believes that it will be under heavy attack for failure
to secure concessions on Trieste, and will therefore not be receptive
to pressure for prompt ratification.
The American Embassy in Rome states that
the Italian Government will await clarifi-
cation of the French parliamentary situation
before seeking ratification of the EDC treaty.
Comment.- Italy's own requests for concessions
in American aid, and for support of its position on Trieste in return
for ratification of EDC, may well depend on the parliamentary
recommendations which Pinay has invited on possible "additions"
to the EDC treaty.
_7?
Approve
25X1A
p0150001-5