CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A000900220001-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 12, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: November 5, 1952
• Content Type: REPORT

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5 November 1952
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Copy NO. 57
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO. All
NO CHANGE IN CLASS-
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CLASS. CHANGED TO: 1s SAC
NEXT REVIEW DATE:r y-~"^r'~'"" "--
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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DOS review(s) completed.
OSD REVIEW COMPLETED
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
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Burmese Defense Minister suggests repatriation o Chinese
Nationalists (page 4)e
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
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40
Mossadeq reportedly plans ultimatum on oil sales. (page 4)a
Britain to await Egyptian initiative in Suez negotiations (page
EASTERN EUROPE
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8. Unusual military activity reported in Bulgaria (page 6).
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3, Burmese Defense Minister suggests repatriation of Chinese Nationalists:
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Burmese Defense Minister Ba Swe suggested
to Under Secretary of Defense Foster, during
his visit: to Rangoon, that the problem of
Chinese Nationalist troops in northeastern
Burma might be solved by the "surrender" of 2,000 hard core National-
ists to American or other neutral officers. They could then be repatriated
through Thailand or, if necessary, through Burma.
The American Embassy believes that Ba Swe's
suggestion might offer a solution if it could be assumed that Taipei
would issue the orders and that they would be obeyed.
Comment.- Taipei professes to have little
control over the Nationalist o rce iii Burma and on several occasions
has indicated a preference that it remain in a position to harass
Communist China.
Ba Swe has previously suggested repatriation
of the Chinese Nationalists and last summer stated that he would begin
military action against them if they had not been evacuated by fall.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Mossadeq reportedly plans ultimatum on oil sales.
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Prime Minister Mossadeq plans to demand
of State to the effect that it has no objection
an early declaration from the Department
to the purchase of Iranian oil by Americans,
If the United States does
not comply, Mossadeq will infer that e united States is "unfriendly"
Comment.- The proposed demand is in
line with new efforts by various Iranian leaders to blackmail the
United States into assisting Iran in its oil problem. The withdrawal
of the British from Iran has also stimulated extremist pressure on
Mossadeq to cancel American aid programs in Iran.
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7. Britain to await Egyptian initiative in Suez negotiations,
Anglo-Egyptian negotiations on the Suez base
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according
ress for talks
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to an official of the British Embassy in Cairo.
Britain is not anxious to begin talks until its Chiefs of Staff have
completed their appraisal of the entire military situation in the Middle
The official stated that the staff study, one
result of the recent Anglo-Turkish talks in London, is expected to
take two months, and may result in a lower estimate of the strategic
importance of the Suez base,
Comment, Previous British strategic
studies have concluded that tie-re is no satisfactory alternative location
for the Middle East defense base. British military planners are now
convinced, however, that the lack of Egyptian cooperation limits the
value of the Suez base, and they are prepared to recommend some
concessions in order to hasten a settlement of the Suez issue.
EASTERN EUROPE
8e Unusual military activity reported in Bulgaria,
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extensive mobilization reserves was
in progress between 17, and 20 October
in the Second Army area in central and
sou -cen ra u gariaa no unusual security 25X1
measures or indications of war hysteria, and observed no military
personnel in the border area.
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Comment. Other reports indicate that
during mid-October an extensive cMa-up of reserves, requisition of
vehicles, and the use of schools as barracks resulted in considerable
excitement and tension in the First Army District, which includes
Sofia. The conc.lirrent mobilization in the First and Second Army
areas is in contrast to the phased mobilization test which was con-
ducted in 1951.
There has been no recent evidence of unusual
military activities in the other Satellites. Neither Orbit propaganda
nor other evidence suggests a Soviet intention to launch hostilities in
the Balkans in the near future.
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