CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00975A000900300001-8
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
8
Document Creation Date: 
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date: 
October 8, 2003
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 15, 1952
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A000900300001-8.pdf235.66 KB
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Approved For_;R~elea' /2F).EeR 975;00900300001-8 ET y4mr, 25X1 15 November 1952 25X1 Copy No. CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 25X1 25X1 DOCUMENT NO. NO CHANGE IN CLASS. 9 0 DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: S 25X1 NEXT REVIEW DATE: AUTH: 74-2 Office of Current IntelligenCOATE~REVIEWER: CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 25X1 State Department review completed Approved For Rele 1992P 000900300001-8 25X1 Approve 25X1A SUMMARY GENERAL 25X1 1. Arab League delivers moderate note on German-Israeli restitu- tion agreement (page 3). SOUTHEAST ASIA 25X1 4. Thailand claims to have uncovered extensive Communist plot (page 4). SOUTH ASIA 5. India and Pakistan may negotiate privately on Kashmir (page 5). 6. NEAR EAST - AFRICA Britain plans approach to Pakistan on MEDO participation (page 5). WESTERN EUROPE 8. Favorable West German court decision seen for EDC treaty (page 7). 25X1A 25X1A Approve Approved 0300001-8 25X1A GENERAL 25X1A 1. Arab League delivers moderate note on German-Israeli restitution agreement: The formal note presented by the Arab League to the Bonn government on 13 November limits itself to expressing fear that ratification of the German-Israeli reparations agreement will strengthen Israel and suggesting that German ratification will be followed by a breakpff of economic relations. The League hopes that an economic rupture with Germany can be avoided and "expects" the Bonn government to initiate dipro- 25X1 matic conversations on this subject with League members. Comment: The note indicates that the Arabs are not eager to cut economic relations with Germany. Since the Bonn government probably intends to implement the agreement negotiated with Israel, however, West Germany still faces the problem of finding a formula for satisfying the Arabs. Approv 25X1A Approved For Release 2003/10/22 : CIA-RDP79T00975A000900300001-8 25X1 SOUTHEAST ASIA 25X1A 4. Thailand claims to have uncovered extensive Communist plot., American Embassy comments that existence of the plot has not been substantiated. Documents seized during the recent arrests in Bangkok allegedly reveal that Communists were planning an armed uprising against tie government in late December. The The Embassy reports that the arrests were touched off by the detention of a Thai air force officer returning from Britain who, was a member of a ring se ing secret ocumen is to the ovie Union. 25X1 Comment., 25X1 the Thai Government's action was direc a primarily against dis- gruntled junior military officers., It is now clear, however, that regardless of whether or not a genuine plot existed, the great majority of the 125 arrested were civilians known to be Communists or Communist sympathizers. Approve 25X1A Approved For Release 2003/10/22 : CIA-RDP79T00975A0009I0300001-8 25X1A SOUTH ASIA 5. India and Pakistan may negotiate privately on Kashmir. India and Pakistan are preparing to hold 25X1 A I I confidential negotiations in "a day or two" aimed at settling the Kashmir question, according to Sir Benegal Rau. Sir Benegal indicated that a solution might take the form of partition along the cease-fire line with a plebiscite limited to the Vale of Kashmir, where the capital city of Srinagar is located. (See map, page 6). He felt that although such a settlement would create many problems for India and Pakistan, it was the only practical solution. Comment: This proposal for a limited plebiscite is a radical departure from the official position of the Indian and Pakistani governments and from UN resolutions on the subject. Individual Indian officials had previously indicated that a similar plan would be the most realistic basis for settling the dispute. Any India-Pakistan conference on Kashmir faces the problem of achieving agreement on the disposition of troops during a plebiscite, up to now the major stumbling block. NEAR EAST - AFRICA 6. Britain plans approach to Pakistan on MEDO participation: 25X1A The British Government suggests inviting Pakistan to become, a participating member of the planning group working out details of the projected Middle East Defense Organization. The approach, which would be timed to coincide with a similar approach to Iraq, would emphasize that Pakistani par- ticipation would be welcomed by the sponsoring powers. India would be informed of the MEDO proposals and of the conversations with Pakistan. 25X1A Approv Approved For QWease 2003/10/22 : CIA-RDP79T00975&000900300001-8 12065 /U SS.R f 68 72 76 80 0 300 U. S. S. R. r.,??~,? .. r U. S. S. R. ~ "? i"~'?1 AFO. '.i JAAND M MU Miles 4..1 ...~?'~..) . . C H I N A ?~~.?~ ~ KABUL .KAS0MfR r?' .'?./" ..: CHINA 36 'y PAKISTAN 36--- 2 N ! T~-' \ lt e pAC erlu. t ' . l g o '' ? DELHI NEW ? - KARncr'-_.. 1AK. AFGHANISTAN oir '?...? i A N' DS e r FOR ...a KIST INDIA v KABUL K?b4I l~ I DIA l N FORGE !'~"? Srinagar - Leh \esawaro K 'A S TI I R Rawalpindi `+ .OJammu`. "~ ~?.I C5YL ON 32 . '? ? 32 64 1 ~? ~"~.~ ~~ mritsar Lahoreo~. OA ~T~.. Fort Sanndeman rF 0Quetta Saharanpur Bahaw Ipur f I D I A oKharan Kalat 28 NEW DELHI 28 RAN ^~ q Khairpur 72 76 0Turbat JAMMU AND KASHMIR t Hyderabad 1 -??- International boundary G'??"'""' a \1 \ ! K *R ~\ - Area in dispute 24 ~ f IKG Approximate cease-fire line between 24 Indian and Pakistani forces 0Bhul ? National capital ARABIA N SEA Scale 1:11,000,000 0 100 200 Miles 0 1.00 200 Kilometers 64 68 25X1 25X1 25X1 0 Approved For Release 2003/10/22 : CIA-RDP79T00975A000900300001-8 Approve 25X1A The Department of State has informed London that it will support these moves. 25X1 Comment., Britain apparently considers that circumstances are now more favorable for securing a Pakistani commitment to join in Western defense arrangements. Pakistan has long desired to play a leading role in the Middle East. It may not be willing to accept a position in MEDO less than that accorded to Turkey, which is one of the sponsoring powers. WESTERN EUROPE 25X1A 8. Favorable West German court decision seen for EDC treaty. the West German `Constitutional Court will rule in favor of the European Defense 25X1A Appro~ 25X1 25X1A Appro Community when ,hearings on the treaty's constitutionality are completed next month. They discount the reports emanating from some West German politicians that the court is "determined" to declare the treaty unconstitutional, but note that Bonn is "jittery" over this possibility.' 25X1A Approv