CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T00975A000900300001-8
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
8
Document Creation Date:
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date:
October 8, 2003
Sequence Number:
1
Case Number:
Publication Date:
November 15, 1952
Content Type:
REPORT
File:
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Body:
Approved For_;R~elea'
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ET y4mr,
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15 November 1952
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Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. 9
0 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: S 25X1
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: 74-2
Office of Current IntelligenCOATE~REVIEWER:
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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State Department review completed
Approved For Rele 1992P 000900300001-8
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
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1. Arab League delivers moderate note on German-Israeli restitu-
tion agreement (page 3).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
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4. Thailand claims to have uncovered extensive Communist plot
(page 4).
SOUTH ASIA
5. India and Pakistan may negotiate privately on Kashmir (page 5).
6.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
Britain plans approach to Pakistan on MEDO participation (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
8. Favorable West German court decision seen for EDC treaty
(page 7).
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GENERAL
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1. Arab League delivers moderate note on German-Israeli restitution
agreement:
The formal note presented by the Arab
League to the Bonn government on 13
November limits itself to expressing
fear that ratification of the German-Israeli
reparations agreement will strengthen Israel and suggesting that
German ratification will be followed by a breakpff of economic
relations. The League hopes that an economic rupture with Germany
can be avoided and "expects" the Bonn government to initiate dipro-
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matic conversations on this subject with League members.
Comment: The note indicates that the Arabs
are not eager to cut economic relations with Germany. Since the
Bonn government probably intends to implement the agreement
negotiated with Israel, however, West Germany still faces the problem
of finding a formula for satisfying the Arabs.
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
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4. Thailand claims to have uncovered extensive Communist plot.,
American Embassy comments that existence of the plot has not been
substantiated.
Documents seized during the recent arrests
in Bangkok allegedly reveal that Communists
were planning an armed uprising against
tie government in late December. The
The Embassy reports that the arrests were
touched off by the detention of a Thai air force officer returning from
Britain who, was a
member of a ring se ing secret ocumen is to the ovie Union.
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Comment., 25X1
the Thai Government's action was direc a primarily against dis-
gruntled junior military officers., It is now clear, however, that
regardless of whether or not a genuine plot existed, the great majority
of the 125 arrested were civilians known to be Communists or
Communist sympathizers.
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SOUTH ASIA
5. India and Pakistan may negotiate privately on Kashmir.
India and Pakistan are preparing to hold
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aimed at settling the Kashmir question,
according to Sir Benegal Rau.
Sir Benegal indicated that a solution might
take the form of partition along the cease-fire line with a plebiscite
limited to the Vale of Kashmir, where the capital city of Srinagar is
located. (See map, page 6). He felt that although such a settlement
would create many problems for India and Pakistan, it was the only
practical solution.
Comment: This proposal for a limited
plebiscite is a radical departure from the official position of the Indian
and Pakistani governments and from UN resolutions on the subject.
Individual Indian officials had previously indicated that a similar plan
would be the most realistic basis for settling the dispute.
Any India-Pakistan conference on Kashmir
faces the problem of achieving agreement on the disposition of troops
during a plebiscite, up to now the major stumbling block.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6. Britain plans approach to Pakistan on MEDO participation:
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The British Government suggests inviting
Pakistan to become, a participating member
of the planning group working out details
of the projected Middle East Defense
Organization. The approach, which would be timed to coincide with
a similar approach to Iraq, would emphasize that Pakistani par-
ticipation would be welcomed by the sponsoring powers. India
would be informed of the MEDO proposals and of the conversations
with Pakistan.
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24
Indian and Pakistani forces
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ARABIA
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Scale 1:11,000,000
0 100 200 Miles
0 1.00 200 Kilometers
64
68
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The Department of State has informed
London that it will support these moves.
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Comment., Britain apparently considers
that circumstances are now more favorable for securing a Pakistani
commitment to join in Western defense arrangements.
Pakistan has long desired to play a leading
role in the Middle East. It may not be willing to accept a position
in MEDO less than that accorded to Turkey, which is one of the
sponsoring powers.
WESTERN EUROPE
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8. Favorable West German court decision seen for EDC treaty.
the West German `Constitutional Court
will rule in favor of the European Defense
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Appro~
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Community when ,hearings on the treaty's constitutionality are
completed next month. They discount the reports emanating from
some West German politicians that the court is "determined" to
declare the treaty unconstitutional, but note that Bonn is "jittery"
over this possibility.'
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