CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A001000290001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 30, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: February 5, 1953
• Content Type: REPORT

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5 February 1953
Copy No. 53
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
NEXT REVMV4 DATE.
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SUMMARY
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SOVIET UNION
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. Philippine President Quirino reportedly may not seek reelection
(page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
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4. Israeli border attacks seen result of policy decision (page 4).
WESTERN EUROPE
7. Backlog of refugees in Berlin causes concern (page 6).
LATIN AMERICA.
8. Peron states desire for end of US-Argentine tension (page 7).
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
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3. Philippine President Quirino reportedly may not seek reflection:
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recent Philippine Supreme aecision voiding
the president's wartime emergency powers is a
severe blow to Quirino and may cause him to
decide not to run for reelection. The court's ruling deprives Quirino of
control of public disbursements, his strongest weapon in compelling
support of Liberal Party organization leaders.
Comment: This is the first hint that Quirino
might alter his determination to seek reelection. 25X1
remarks may reflect his known active dislike of Quirino and is own
ambition to & obtain the Liberal Party nomination for president.
Quirino's withdrawal would greatly improve the
chances for a free election, and as long as Defense Minister Magsaysay
remains associated with the Liberal Party, he will be a leading contender
to head its ticket.
NEAR EAST m AFRICA
4. Israeli border attacks seen result of policy decision:
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Tel Aviv, the recent Israeli incursions ipto
Jordan and the Egyptian-held Gaza strip'
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result from a major Israeli policy decision to pursue Arab marauders
across the border if necessary. This is based on the conviction that
the Arab authorities are unwilling or unable to control the increasingly
serious border situation.
The Israeli delegate to the Mixed Armistice
Commission has stated that the chief reason for the Israeli policy of
"active defense" was the failure of Arab officials to prevent infiltration
into Israel and sale of stolen Israeli property.
Comment:
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The decision to bypass the UN Mixed Armistice
ommiss on mar s the first time that Israel has used such drastic
measures to stop Arab infiltration, and it presents the most serious
threat yet to the area's uncertain peace.
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WESTERN EUROPE
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7. Backlog of refugees in Berlin causes concern.
Western authorities in Germany believe that
if the backlog of East German refugees in
Berlin continues to build up at the current rate
pending a decision as to their disposition in
the Federal Republic, additional nonscheduled flights may be needed
to evacuate them. At present, not all the available space on scheduled
American and British planes from Berlin is being used.
Comment. Less than half of last month's
record number of 25,340 re ugees were flown to West Germany, largely
because the individual laender, especially industrial North Rhine-
Westphalia, would not accept their refugee quotas. Those remaining
in Berlin are unable to find work because of the already severe unem-
ployment situation.
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Chancellor Adenauer believes the Communists
are encouraging the exodus to create difficulties for the West and has
publicly urged East Germans not to emigrate unless their lives are in
danger. East German officials, while apparently glad to get rid of
"irreconcilable" elements, are reportedly trying to curb the mass
defections.
LATIN AMERICA
8. Peron states desire for end, of US-Argentine tension:
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Ambassador Nufer,. in reporting a long conver-
sation on 3 February with President Peron and
Foreign Minister Remorino, stated that Peron's
obvious purpose in the meeting was to state a
desire "that tension between our two countries.... come to an end."
The Ambassador points out that this development
seems to confirm recent indications that the Peron government is seeking
a rapprochement with the United States.
Comment: In 1950 and 1951 the Peron govern-
ment made diplomatic appro'aimed at settling pending pr6blems
with the United States. Both approaches preceded requests for special
favors.
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