CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A001400600001-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 25, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: February 27, 1954
• Content Type: REPORT

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/ 27 February 1954
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT No. 610 Z
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
[i DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATA 2009
DaTE
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REVIEWER: I
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
o
DIA and DOS review(s) completed.
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2.
3.
SUMMARY
GENERAL
USSR reportedly offers to barter m
(page 4).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
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5. Burma not to extend cease-fire for evacuation o in
(page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6.
7
.
8. American technicians report favorably on Iranian oil ins a a i.on
(page 6).
9. Dissatisfaction within Egyptian armed forces reported following
Nagib's removal (page 7).
10. Former premier sees increased threat to Libyan unity (page 8).
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USSR reportedly offers to barter manganese for butter at US price:
An East-West trader recently in Moscow
has proposed to United States officials in
Bonn to barter Soviet manganese ore for
50,000,000 pounds of American butter at
the full support price.
The American officials state that this
proposal allegedly originated with the Soviet trade mission in Berlin.
They also cite recent indications of lack of demand in West Germany
for Soviet manganese.
Comment: There have been several recent
Soviet offers to purchase large quantities of American butter, but this
is the first offer to trade at the American support rather than at the
world market price, which is about 19 cents lower.
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
4.
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25X1` Burma not to extend cease-fire for evacuation of Chinese Nationalists:
25X1 J Rangoon
will not extend the cease-fire deadline beyond
28 February. Instead, the army will launch a
major attack on the remaining Chinese Nationalist forces about 1 March.
Three Burmese brigades, totaling about 8,000 men, are said to be con-
centrating in the southern Shan States in preparation for an attack on the
Chinese headquarters at Mong Hsat.
Comment: The American embassy in
Rangoon on 25 February reported the redeployment of Burmese forces
in the Shan States, but on a much smaller scale than suggested above.
On previous occasions Rangoon, while showing
considerable impatience at the slowness of the evacuation, has granted
last-minute cease-fire extensions. The Burmese ambassador in Thailand
recently indicated that the cease-fire would probably be extended, but it
is possible that Rangoon may believe that the Nationalist forces are now
so disorganized that the success of an all-out attack would be assured.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
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8o American technicians report favorably on Iranian oil installations:
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American technicians who recently visited
Abadan and the Iranian oil fields with the
20-man oil consortium inspection team
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report that the refinery is operating at about 45,000 barrels per day,
roughly half of which is being pumped back into the ground. A rate of
100,000 barrels per day might be attained within two months.
Crude oil is available now for shipment as
soon as there are tankers and markets. The technicians noted that
the fields and refineries are "in exceptionally fine condition" and that
AIOC procedures and accounting records have been maintained.
Rough estimates indicate that $5,000,000
to $10,000,000 may be required initially to replace transport and re-
build the stockpiles.
Comment: The opinions of the American
technicians probably parallel the report which the inspection team will
make to the consortium, which has been waiting for it in order to eval- 25X1
uate the operating and marketing problems it might face.
The condition of the installations suggests
that finding markets for Iranian oil may be the main concern of the
consortium.
9. Dissatisfaction within Egyptian armed forces reported following Nagib's
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remova :
General Nagib's popularity with the Egyptian 25X1
armed forces should "never be underestimated."
according to a
The oicer told the American army 2bX1
a ac in Cairo on 25 February that he and
officers, "the most powerful group in Egypt," were depressed over the
situation.
his Mends in the army are "thoroughly disgusted" by Nagib's removal.
The American army attache commented that
Nagib's dismissal represents the first major threat to continued army
support for the regime, and stated that the majority of Egyptian army
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Comment: At the moment Colonel Nasr's
regime has control of the armed forces. Despite its claim that it
has the backing of the important "Free Officers" group for its action
against General Nagib, widespread dissatisfaction within the officer
corps would represent a serious threat to Nasr's position.
10. Former premier sees increased threat to Libyan unity:
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Former prime minister Muntasser told
American minister Villard on 23 February
that resentment against King Idriss is devel-
oping in the important western province of
Tripolitania. He said that although leadership is presently lacking,
"the moment is ripe" for Tripolitanian secession because of the con-
centration of power in Cyrenaican hands in the new government.
Muntasser added that he could not under-
stand the apparent lack of British interest in the possible consequences
of recent developments.
Comment: Minister Villard has previously
expressed concern over Britain's failure to exert its full influence to
support a strong federal government in Libya and to direct the king's
actions.
The new palace- dominated government,
susceptible to Egyptian influence, is likely to weaken further the
federal structure of the country and cause separatist sentiment.
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