CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A001600490001-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 20, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: July 21, 1954
• Content Type: REPORT

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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
Cl DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE: __4~0-LQ_
AUTH: HR 70-2
PATIZ; / 8d REVIEWER:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
State Department review completed
TOP SECRET
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
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1. Molotov favors talk with Mendes-France on European problems
(page 3).
2. Peiping may be moving to gain nonaggression pact with Indonesia
(name '11_
FAR EAST
5. Rhee plans to arrest Communist truce supervisors in South Korea
(page 6).
SOUTH ASIA
7. Ambassador Allen sees Indian refusal to join Southeast Asian
security pact (page 7)..
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
8. Turkish Middle East policies arouse Saudi antagonism (page 8).
9. Nasr prepared to break off Suez talks over duration of agreement
(page 9).
LATE ITEM
10. Geneva conference developments (page 9).
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GENERAL
25X18 Molotov favors talk with Mendes-France on European problems:
At a luncheon on 18 July, Soviet ambassador
to France Vinogradov told the French ambas-
sador to Moscow that Molotov would be glad
"to have a good talk" with Mendes-France in
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Geneva concerning European affairs. Molotov had indicated to Mendes-
France previously that when the Indochina settlement was completed,
it might be possible to exploit the atmosphere that would then exist for
"bringing peace in Europe."
Mendes- France promised Under Secretary
Smith that the United States would be .kept informed on any discussions.
He suggested that there might be a meeting between Foreign Secretary
Eden, Under Secretary Smith, and himself in connection with any con-
versation with Molotov so as to make it clear that he was not dealing
bilaterally with the Soviet foreign minister on Europe.
Comment. A new Soviet move to deter
French ratification of EDC, now proposed for August, is very likely
and probably will be in the form of renewed efforts to win support for
the Kremlin's European security scheme.
An Izvestia dispatch of 18 July stated that
millions of people in the West were becoming aware of the fact that if
an Indochina settlement becomes real, "then just as real can be the
prospects for a solution of European problems," including German
unification and the ensuring of collective security in Europe. .
Peiping may be moving to gain nonaggression pact with Indonesia:
The American embassy in Djakarta suggests
that Peiping's reported agreement to discard
the principle of double nationality in order
to settle the status of Overseas Chinese in
Indonesia may pave We way for a nonaggression pact between the two
governments. .
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Comment: The Indonesian minister of
justice announced in a speech on 1 July that Peiping had agreed to
the principle that Overseas Chinese could discard Chinese citizenship
and become citizens of the country in which they resided.
Negotiations on the status of the Chinese in
Indonesia are scheduled to open in Peiping during August. The re-
ported Chinese concession would mark a sharp departure from the
traditional Chinese view in an attempt to win the confidence of South-
east Asian governments.
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Indonesian officials have proposed an all-
Asian nonaggression pact--which would include Communist China--as
a counter to the Western proposal for a Southeast Asian defense organi-
zation.
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FAR EAST
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Rhee plans to arrest Communist truce supervisors in South Korea:
President Rhee instructed Army Chief of
Staff General Chong Il-.kwon about two weeks
ago to prepare for the arrest of the Czech
and Polish members of the neutral nations
truce inspection teams in South Korea, Eighth Army commander General
Taylor informed embassy officials on 17 July.
Chong, who said confidentially Rhee would
not do anything imprudent prior to his visit to Washington next week,
is deeply concerned about possible action after Rhee's return.
Swedish members as well.
Comment: Rhee has said previously he
would eject Communist truce supervisors and possibly Swiss and
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SOUTH ASIA
7. Ambassador Allen sees Indian refusal to join Southeast Asian security
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in the foreseeable future,
China.
After a discussion with Vice President
Radhakrishnan on 17 July, Ambassador Allen
reported his view that India will not join any
Southeast Asian security pact, either now or
if the pact is directed against Communist
Comment: The course of Indian foreign
policy during the Indochina crisis supports Allen's conclusion and con-
tradicts the British view that India can eventually be persuaded to join
the West in collective security against Communist aggression.
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Nehru is also unlikely to press at this
time for a nonaggression pact between Peiping and the Southeast Asian
powers. He probably hopes that Geneva will result in a balance of
forces which would relieve India, at least temporarily, from serious
pressure to align itself more closely with either side.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
25X1 A 8. Turkish Middle East policies arouse Saudi antagonism,.
The Turkish minister in Jidda has told
Ambassador Wadsworth that he was deeply
incensed by Saudi Arabian prince Faisal's
sharp criticism of Turkish foreign policy
vis-a-vis the Arabs and the United States,
and by Faisal's charge that Turkey is being "colonized" by the United
States to fight the Soviet Union. Faisal had been angered by Turkey's
refusal to participate in a proposed Moslem conference.
Comment,. Turkey is showing increased
ambitions to be recognized as t' he champion of the Middle East. It
is apparently ready to undertake a campaign to draw the countries in
the area into the Turkish-Pakistani defense pact and to isolate those
governments unwilling to be identified with the pact. The chiefs of the
Turkish Middle East missions convening in Ankara have already advo-
cated a plan to isolate Egypt and end the effectiveness of the Arab
League.
Ankara is probably over-optimistic in
assessing its ability to draw the Arab states away from Egypt, although
these countries' anticipation of American military and economic aid
may be a determining factor.
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Nasr prepared to break off Suez talks over duration of agreement:
Egypt's Prime Minister Nasr told Ambassador
Caffery on 17 July that he was prepared to
break off the Suez talks with Britain over the
issue of the duration of the agreement.
Nas:r reiterated that he was unable to accept
an agreement of more than seven years' duration, as previously agreed.
He suggested, however, the possibility of some compromise on the time
allowed for the withdrawal of British troops, if Britain will accept a
seven-year agreement.
Comment: In three meetings, no progress
has been made on the three major issues: the duration of the agreement,
the period for evacuation of British troops, and the availability of the
base in the event of an attack on Iran. The British negotiators are cur-
rently awaiting further instructions from London.
Nas:r has maintained that the "Free Officers,"
his principal supporters in the army, will not accept more than seven
years' duration and that he is committed to them on this issue.
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LATE ITEM
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Geneva conference developments,
As of 2:00 a. m. (Geneva time) on 21 July,
cease-fire agreements for Vietnam and Laos
had been signed. An agreement on Cambodia
is expected to be signed later in the day, and
a final meeting of the nine participants is scheduled for 3:00 p. m. in
Geneva, according to press reports.
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