CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A001700030001-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 13, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: August 21, 1954
• Content Type: REPORT

WZ0/ZxZ000WZ/x/P0~se 2oa~m saAva~9.oaf/?oo<
j 25X1
State Department review
completed
21 August 1954
opL yNO.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO. _
NO CHANGE IN CLASS
1.1 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: HR 70-2
DATE: REVIEWER:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
ZZZZZZZZZ7
25X1/
25X1
25X1
V-4~11zz W////. 0/0 // se 2GWQW1AF,6dMfT79T0
 25X1A
Approved ForWease 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975* 01700030001-9
SUMMARY
GENERAL
25X1
2. Nationalists press for vote on Chinese membership in (page
25X1
FAR EAST
4. Cambodian army disintegration feared (page 5).
LATIN AMERICA
5. Guatemala seeks American loan for public works (page 5).
25X1A
21 Aug 54 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2
25X1A
Approved For Release 2004/01/16 ? CIA_RDP79T00975AO01700030001-9
 25X1A
Approved For Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975AGA1700030001-9
GENERAL.
25X1A
2. Nationalists press for vote on Chinese membership in UN:
The Chinese Nationalist government wishes
a substantive vote on the issue of Chinese
membership in the United Nations at the
forthcoming Ninth General Assembl
y, cording to a memorandum received by the American e
b
i
m
assy
n
Taipei. If a substantive vote is impossible, Formosa. wants a pro-
?cedural resolution without any mention.of postponing consideration
of the question and without a time limit.
21 Aug 54 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3
Approved For Relea b4/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO01700030001-9
 25X1A
Approved For (ease 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T0097 Aa01700030001-9
The memorandum also contained the
results of a Nationalist canvass of UN members which concludes
that Formosa is certain or almost certain of the support of 32
nations and has reason to be hopeful of the support of nine others.
Eight nations are expected to abstain, while eleven will vote
against Nationalist China.
Comment: It is probable that UN members,
in replying to the Nationalist l i canvass, assumed that the United States
would initiate a procedural maneuver to defer the issue, similar to
that employed in the Eighth General Assembly, which agreed to post-
pone the question only for the remainder of 1953.
The procedural efforts on behalf of Formosa
which have been undertaken ever since the 1950-51 General Assembly
session probably would continue to have the support of a strong major-
ity. On any stronger resolution, however, Formosa would probably
lose the support of many of the nations, including the United Kingdom
and France. It is also unlikely that the two-thirds majority necessary
for a.substantive vote to seat Communist China would be obtained.
However, the propaganda advantage accruing to the Communist coun-
tries from the support they would pick up would be considerable.
25X1
21 Aug 54 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4
Approved For ReI 04/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO01700030001-9
 5X1A
Approved For elease 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T0097 AQ01700030001-9
25X1
FAR EAST
4. Cambodian army disintegration feared:
Major General Monireth, the king's uncle and a likely candidate
.for army chief, to the effect that at the present rate the army would
have virtually disintegrated within three months.
Comment: The Cambodian army reached
a high peak of morale and -e ectiveness last spring under the strong
leadership of Major General Tioulong. It inflicted a notable defeat
on Viet Minh regular units in the northeast, thus contributing to
Cambodia's diplomatic success at Geneva. The king subsequently
removed Tioulong, who he felt: was becoming too independent.
With the cease-fire, there is a danger that
the Cambodians will regard their position as assured and allow their
.army to revert to its earlier ineffectiveness.
on 18 August o onel Ngo Hou, the army's present chief, is
lazy, unintelligent and uninformed about the problems facing his
army and spends all his time "politicking." quoted
I fears the
Cambodian army is disintegrating. He
told the American charge in Phnom Penh
LATIN AMERICA
25X1A
5. Guatemala seeks American loan.for public works:
The Guatemalan government is seeking an
American loan of between$t0,000,000 and
$30,000,000 to finance a public works
21 Aug 54 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 5
Approved For Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO01700030001-9
25X1
25X1
25X1
25X1A
 25X1A
Approved For
program it considers vital to the country's economic and political
stability. The minister of communications and public works and
the president of the national bank told Ambassador Peurifoy on
.19 August that they hoped loan discussions could begin in about two
weeks.
Comment: The inauguration of a public
works program could do muc o'alleviate the current recession and
prevent the growth of popular discontent which has been noted in re-
cent weeks, particularly among the lower classes. The Arbenz re-
gime budgeted over $20,000,000 for public works in 1953 alone.
Though Guatemala's financial situation is not
critical at present, government revenues have been only about half of
normal since the June revolution. The government can cover normal
currency needs by borrowing from the national bank, but it must look
abroad for funds to finance any public works program in the near future.
21 Aug 54 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 6
Approved For Ree1'2004/01/16: CIA-RDP79T00975AO01700030001-9