CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00975A001700030001-9
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
6
Document Creation Date: 
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date: 
November 13, 2003
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
August 21, 1954
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A001700030001-9.pdf187.52 KB
Body: 
WZ0/ZxZ000WZ/x/P0~se 2oa~m saAva~9.oaf/?oo< j 25X1 State Department review completed 21 August 1954 opL yNO. CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. _ NO CHANGE IN CLASS 1.1 DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE: AUTH: HR 70-2 DATE: REVIEWER: Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY ZZZZZZZZZ7 25X1/ 25X1 25X1 V-4~11zz W////. 0/0 // se 2GWQW1AF,6dMfT79T0 25X1A Approved ForWease 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975* 01700030001-9 SUMMARY GENERAL 25X1 2. Nationalists press for vote on Chinese membership in (page 25X1 FAR EAST 4. Cambodian army disintegration feared (page 5). LATIN AMERICA 5. Guatemala seeks American loan for public works (page 5). 25X1A 21 Aug 54 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 25X1A Approved For Release 2004/01/16 ? CIA_RDP79T00975AO01700030001-9 25X1A Approved For Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975AGA1700030001-9 GENERAL. 25X1A 2. Nationalists press for vote on Chinese membership in UN: The Chinese Nationalist government wishes a substantive vote on the issue of Chinese membership in the United Nations at the forthcoming Ninth General Assembl y, cording to a memorandum received by the American e b i m assy n Taipei. If a substantive vote is impossible, Formosa. wants a pro- ?cedural resolution without any mention.of postponing consideration of the question and without a time limit. 21 Aug 54 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3 Approved For Relea b4/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO01700030001-9 25X1A Approved For (ease 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T0097 Aa01700030001-9 The memorandum also contained the results of a Nationalist canvass of UN members which concludes that Formosa is certain or almost certain of the support of 32 nations and has reason to be hopeful of the support of nine others. Eight nations are expected to abstain, while eleven will vote against Nationalist China. Comment: It is probable that UN members, in replying to the Nationalist l i canvass, assumed that the United States would initiate a procedural maneuver to defer the issue, similar to that employed in the Eighth General Assembly, which agreed to post- pone the question only for the remainder of 1953. The procedural efforts on behalf of Formosa which have been undertaken ever since the 1950-51 General Assembly session probably would continue to have the support of a strong major- ity. On any stronger resolution, however, Formosa would probably lose the support of many of the nations, including the United Kingdom and France. It is also unlikely that the two-thirds majority necessary for a.substantive vote to seat Communist China would be obtained. However, the propaganda advantage accruing to the Communist coun- tries from the support they would pick up would be considerable. 25X1 21 Aug 54 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4 Approved For ReI 04/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO01700030001-9 5X1A Approved For elease 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T0097 AQ01700030001-9 25X1 FAR EAST 4. Cambodian army disintegration feared: Major General Monireth, the king's uncle and a likely candidate .for army chief, to the effect that at the present rate the army would have virtually disintegrated within three months. Comment: The Cambodian army reached a high peak of morale and -e ectiveness last spring under the strong leadership of Major General Tioulong. It inflicted a notable defeat on Viet Minh regular units in the northeast, thus contributing to Cambodia's diplomatic success at Geneva. The king subsequently removed Tioulong, who he felt: was becoming too independent. With the cease-fire, there is a danger that the Cambodians will regard their position as assured and allow their .army to revert to its earlier ineffectiveness. on 18 August o onel Ngo Hou, the army's present chief, is lazy, unintelligent and uninformed about the problems facing his army and spends all his time "politicking." quoted I fears the Cambodian army is disintegrating. He told the American charge in Phnom Penh LATIN AMERICA 25X1A 5. Guatemala seeks American loan.for public works: The Guatemalan government is seeking an American loan of between$t0,000,000 and $30,000,000 to finance a public works 21 Aug 54 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 5 Approved For Release 2004/01/16 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO01700030001-9 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1A 25X1A Approved For program it considers vital to the country's economic and political stability. The minister of communications and public works and the president of the national bank told Ambassador Peurifoy on .19 August that they hoped loan discussions could begin in about two weeks. Comment: The inauguration of a public works program could do muc o'alleviate the current recession and prevent the growth of popular discontent which has been noted in re- cent weeks, particularly among the lower classes. The Arbenz re- gime budgeted over $20,000,000 for public works in 1953 alone. Though Guatemala's financial situation is not critical at present, government revenues have been only about half of normal since the June revolution. The government can cover normal currency needs by borrowing from the national bank, but it must look abroad for funds to finance any public works program in the near future. 21 Aug 54 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 6 Approved For Ree1'2004/01/16: CIA-RDP79T00975AO01700030001-9