CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00975A001800280001-1
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
8
Document Creation Date: 
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date: 
February 20, 2004
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 27, 1954
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A001800280001-1.pdf320.3 KB
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///////~~i,,. ~" CURRENT INTELLIGENC BULLETIN DOCUtJIEN'iNO. ~~~.--._.._.-- ~ NO CHANGE IM CLASS. ~~--~?"~ CI DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: T5 S C NEXT REVIE`J?d DATE: ,~ ~ I ~ ----- AUTH: ti/R' 7y43-2 Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1A Approved For.$~elease 2004/03/15 :CIA-RDP79T00975~p,D01800280001-1 SUMMARX GEPTERAL to Greece discussing res and Rumania e 3 0 umption of diplomatic relations with Poland 25X1 3. ~Tiet A2inh gains in pro SOUTHEAST ASIA vincial areas of South Vietnam noted (page 5)0 4o Britain favors internat (page 5) , 5o Soviet truck convoy re (Page ~) 6~, India .may-get British- ional supervision of Cambodian electrons SOUTH ASIA ported entering southern Afghanistan financed steel mill (page 7)0 7. Renewed pressure in F (Page 8) ~VESTERId EUROPE rance for early talks with USSR foreseen 25X1A 27 Nov 54 CURREIJT INTELI~IGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 25X1A Approved For R :~~~~ '^^",'^ Approved Fo lease 2004/03/15 :CIA-RDP79T00975 '01800280001-1 25X1A GENERAL 25X1A Greece discussing resumption of .diplomatic relations with Poland an Rumania: TT Poland and Rumania have joined the list of Satellites seeking to re-establish di 1 - matic relations with Athens. The Foreign Ministry is reported to antici- pate the speedy resumption- of relations with Poland because there are no outstanding differences between the two countries. Comment: In the current Orbit campaign to woo Greece,. all -the European Satellites except Albania have made overtures to xe-establish diplomatic relations. Bucharest may have special reasons fox wishing to renew relations, such as an interest in Greek shipping to help move Rumanian exports, and migk~t there- fore- accept the Greek demands in principle as a basis for. negotia- tion. Although Greece, after long hesitation, agreed last May to resume relations with Bulgaria, negotiations over financial problem, are still dragging on. This move by Poland and Rumania appears to be part of a general Orbit campaign to establish normal diplo- rnatic relations with countries othe:~r than; the United States? 27 Nov 54 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE- BULLETIN Page 3 Approved For R 5X1 _ 001800280001-1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/03/15 :CIA-RDP79T00975A001800280001-1 Approved For Release 2004/03/15 :CIA-RDP79T00975A001800280001-1 25X1A 25X1 SOUTHEAST ASIA 25X1A 3a Viet Minh gains in provincial areas of South Vietnam notedo tinue, Rear Admiral Cabanier, French fleet commander in south Indochina9 told an American embassy officer in Saigon .recently that if present conditions con- Approved For lease 2004/03/15 :CIA-RDP79T0097 01800280001-1 "free Vietnam will be lost to the Communists within three He said that in the area west of Saigon, which he has visited frequently in connection with the removal of Viet Minh troops by his naval units, provincial officials seemingly govern the towns and cities but admit that the Viet Minh actually runs things, even in the citieso He attributed this condition to t:he widespread expectation that the Viet Minh will eventually take over and to the central government's failure to support local author- ities with a co-ordinated military and civilian policyo Cabanier said .Viet Minh troops had origi- n.a11y objected to their removal but soon had been brought into line by assurances from their superiors that their evacuation was only temporary They were apparently convinced, since none requested evacuation of their dependentso 4. Britain ~avprs international supervision of Cambodian elections: The British ambassador in .Phnom Penh told Ambassador McClintock on 24 .Novem- 25X1A ber that his government interpreted Article 6 27 Nov 54 .CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 5 25X1A Approved For 01800280001-1 25X1A Approved Fo elease 2004/03/15 :CIA-RDP79T00975 01800280001-1 of the. Geneva agreement as providing for supervision of the forth- coming .Cambodian. elections by the International Control Commis- sion.. He said .that the outgoing Canadian .truce commissioner was of the same opinion. Comment: The Cambodian government hopes to hold the elections, which .are scheduled for March 19559 without foreign supervision. Article 6 of the Cambodian cease- fire agreement provides for the reintegration of former- Communist- siaonsored dissidents into the national community and for the hold- img of general elections. Although the article is silent on .the ques- tion of supervision9 it has been interpreted by all the members of .the truce commission to imply supervision of the elections by that commissiono British policy in .supporting ? nternational supervision appears to 'be motivated by a .desire to blunt Commu- nist Charges that the Western powers are imposing an anti-Communist policy on the Cambodian government contrary to the spirit of the .Geneva agreemento The Indians and the Poles have ulterior motives in insisting on this interpretationo The Indian aim appears t~ be a neutralist Cambodia within the Indian sphere of influence. The Poles are attempting to further Viet Minh objectives SOUTIi ASIA 25X1A 5. Soviet truck convoy reported entering .southern Afghanistan: A convoy of X40 Soviet trucks carrying heavy-road construction and maintenance equipment crossed into western Afghani- stan at Herat prior to 15 November and was heading for Kabul via Farah and Comment: The bulldozers9 graders9 cement spreaders9 snow-remove equipment and maintenance 25X1A ~7 Nov 54 .CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 6 nformed the American army attache in Kabulo Kan ar in the southern part of the country9 Approved For R 25X1 25X1A 25X1A Approved Fo elease 2004/03/15 :CIA-RDP79T0097 '01800280001-1 workshops said to be carried by the convoy are presumably to be used in paving .Kabul streets as provided for in the Soviet-Afghan .loan agreement of 5 Octobero It would. be extremely difficult9 if not impossible9 to move such heavy equipment along the more direct but tortuous mountain route from Mazar-i-sharif to Ka,bulo South- ern Afghanistan has long been .open to Soviet diplomats to at least the same limited extent that the northern part of the country has been .open to American representatives. 6. .India may get British-financed steel mill: ~~ s ee p n m a wi a 650,000-ton capacity, according to the British trade commissioner in New Delhi. The repayment period is ten years and the interest rate "slightly more than that for gilt- edged securities:' There has as yet been no discussion as to whether the plant would be operated as a government or private enterprise o London has offered B. Mo Birla9 Indian industrialist, a financial arrangement providing for a credit of 459 0009 000 pounds sterling ($1269000,000) to construct a Comment: There has been considerable discussion in .Indian government circles of a Soviet offer to build a steel mill in India with a 300,000-ton annual capacityo Conserva- tive members of the Indian cabinet have- been making strenuous efforts to obtain a steel mill-from sources -other than Russian. They are apparently pinning their. hopes on Britain9 as private in- vestors in the United,States were not interestedo Even though its terms appear less a,ttrac- tive than those of the Soviet offer9 the British proposal will strength- en Finance Minister Deshmukh a:nd Commerce Minister Krishnama- chari in their attempts Ito prevent Indian acceptance of the Soviet offero In view of the death of former food minister Kidwai9 who sponsored the Soviet steel mill project, Deshmukh and .Krishnama- chari may be able to convince Nehru that acceptance of the Soviet offer would be unwiseo It is unlikely that the Indian government will accept both the British and Soviet offers at this timep 27 Nov 54 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 7 Approved For R 5X1 _ 001800280001-1 Approved For elease 2004/03/15 :CIA-RDP79T00975 01800280001-1 25X1A WESTERN EUROPE ?u Renewed pressure in France for early talks with .USSR foreseeno 25X1A A high French F4xeign .Ministry official has expressed fear to the American em- bassy i.n .Paris that the USSR may accept . the "Eden plan" for unification of Germany roug ree a ec ons "subject to minor amendments ~" In such an eventp he believes there would be some utility in the earlier French suggestion that talks with the USSR take place while ratification of the Paris agreements is in process ~ He stated that an "apparently forthcoming Soviet move" on Germany might make it impossible for the French government to resist "public and parliamentary clamor fox early talksa' Meanwhile9 according to a member of the staff of the National Assembly Foreign Affairs Committee the par- liamentary situation has deteriorated insofar as the Paris agree- ments are concerned9 bud it is still "universally believed" they will pass ~. Comment: Growing opposition to Mendes- France on the budget and Nort~i-African issues9 as well as accusa- tions from some of his original supporters that he is becoming too "pro-Americans" will probably narrow his majority on the Paris accords mare .than had hitherto been anticipatedo The influential Paris daily Le Monde9 which has heretofore strongly backed .Mendes-France; attacked the premier on 23 November for failing to keep his promise to the assembly that East-,West talks would beheld during the process of ratification of the Paris agreemEmtso The paper expressed regret that Mendes-France's talks in Washington did little to encourage Soviet conciliation 2? Nov 54 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 8 Approved .For 5X1