CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A001900390001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 29, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: February 18, 1955
• Content Type: REPORT

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18 February 1955
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Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENTNO. ~~.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. $1
DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO; T$ 8 C , ,.
NEXT REVIEW DATE: yC L0_
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DA, E:..9 sR 0 REVIEWER:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
DIA and DOS review(s) completed.
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
1. Democrats confident they will form next Japanese government
(page 3).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
2. Thailand to assist Burmese operations against Chinese Nationalist
guerrillas (page 3).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Iraq and Turkey seem agreed on draft of defense treaty e 5).
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Serious incident on Jordan-Israel border may be imminent (page 6).
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FAR EAST
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Democrats confident they will form next Japanese government:
Shinsuke Kishi, secretary general of
the Japan Democratic Party, told
Ambassador Allison on 16 February
that it is now virtually certain his party
will be returned wi _a plurality in the 27 February elections. and
will form a new government under Hatoyama. Kishi foresees a
large-scale reshuffle in the cabinet, but thinks that Shigemitsu
will remain as foreign minister.
Kishi also stated that Prime Minister
Hatoyama had been persuaded to entrust the coming negotiations
with the USSR entirely to Shigeinitsu, and to cease "freewheeling"
on his own. Kishi said that in negotiations with the USSR, Japan
would not accept conditions which might adversely affect its rela-
tions with the United States. .
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Since the Moscow radio broadcast
of 14 December, the USSR has continued to assure the Japanese
that normalization of relations does not require Japan to sever
its relations with the United States. In its present drive for
better relations with the Orbit, Japan is likely to take an un-
critical view as to what might adversely affect relations with the
United States, but is not likely to overlook the overriding impor-
tance of maintaining its basic pro.-American policy.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
2.. Thailand to assist Burmese operations against Chinese Nationalist
25X1A guerrillas:
Police Director Phao has committed Thai-
land to support a Burmese army offensive
against remnants of the Chinese Nationalist
forces in northeastern Burma, according
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to the American embassy in Bangkok. The offensive is reportedly
scheduled to begin on 5 March. Thailand's assistance is to be
rendered through joint Thai- Burmese liaison teams stationed at
critical points in the theater of operations and at the Thai police
headquarters in Bangkok.
Ambassador Peurifoy warns that fight-
ing might break out. between retreating Chinese Nationalists and
Thai police forces unless the Chinese surrender promptly on
crossing the border. Should there be a large number of internees,
Thailand may request reactivation of the joint military committee
which last year handled the. evacuation of 7,000 Chinese National 25X6
ists to Formosa.
There are estimated to be 6,000 Chinese
Nationalists, concentrated largely along the. Thai border, remain-
ing in Burma.. While they are no match for the. Burmese army,
the terrain is admirably suited for evasive tactics, which the Chi-
nese have been. using successfully in the last two years
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
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4. Iraq and Turkey seem agreed on draft of defense treaty:
Secretary General Birgi of the Turkish
Foreign Ministry considers that Iraq's
"final" draft of the proposed Iraqi-
Turkish defense pact is "satisfactory
though far from ideal:' . Birgi also told Ambassador Warren on
16 February that he hoped to obtain Turkish prime minister
Menderes' acceptance of the draft immediately in order to ar-
range for signature of the treaty "in the next few days."
Comment: The Iraqi draft does not
meet Turkish desires for pro s~.ons for specific measures to
meet aggression. The draft does provide, however, that "the
competent authorities" of the two countries may conclude, after
the treaty comes into effect, whatever "special agreements"
are considered necessary to ensure the "security and defense"
of Iraq and Turkey.
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Serious incident on Jordan-Israel border may be imminent-
Tension is mounting on the Jordan-Israel
border as a result of a series of provoca-
tive raids by Israeli military forces now on
maneuvers. The American army attache
in Amman believes there may be a serious
in Syria, and the prospects of Arab participation in Western defense
arrangements for the area. In addition, Israeli army spokesmen
have been bitter and outspoken over these recent developments,
inci n unless the Israeli maneuvers close to the border are stopped.
Comment- The Israeli press in past weeks
has been directing popular attention to Arab--Israeli problems, spe-
cifically the Cairo spy trial, the detention of five Israeli soldiers
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