CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A002000130001-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 1, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: April 21, 1955
• Content Type: REPORT

21 April 1955
Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO. a
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
EI DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE: eD f
AUTH: FIR 70-2 1
DATE: d/L/8Q .REVIf-WEft
review(s) completed.
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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1. Bohlen comments on significance of change in Soviet position on
Austria (page 3)
SOUTHEAST ASIA
20 Viet Minh reported planning "stay-behind" struggle in central
Vietnam (page 4)0
3. End of Thai-Burmese "co-operation" predicted (page 4)0
4. Sukarno reportedly invites Nehru, Chou and Nasr to remain as
state guests (page 6)
21 Apr 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2
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GENERAL
1. Bohlen comments on significance of change in Soviet position on
Austria:
Ambassador Bohlen doubts that the Krem-
lin seriously expects it can significantly
impede implementation of the Paris agree-
ments merely by changing its position on
Austria. He is convinced that Moscow realizes the only sure way
of preventing West German rearmament would involve the sacri-
fice of the Soviet position in East Germany, a price it has so far
been unwilling to pay.
Bohlen believes the USSR is still deter-
mined to hold East Germany, and that its next move will be to
sound out the Bonn government on establishing relations with Mos-
cow in return for West German recognition of the East German
government. While it is doubtful that the USSR would be prepared
to have a four-power meeting on. unification, it might conceivably
have in mind a four-power agreement to limit rearmament in both
parts of Germany.
Bohlen thinks, however, that any undue
delay in setting up a Soviet bloc security system after the Paris
accords take effect, or any exclusion of East Germany or special
status for it, would probably be a sign of some shift in Soviet
policy on Germany.
Comment: The rapidity and manner in
which the USSR .recently F a moved, on Austria indicate that it
intends to use an Austrian settlement to arouse German confidence
in the sincerity of Soviet proposals for unification, in an attempt
to impede West German rearmament. Moscow may now suggest
conferences on other issues and make new proposals for Germany,
even though it does not intend to give up East Germany.
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
2. Viet Minh reported planning "stay-behind" struggle in central
Vietnam:
The Viet Minh is secretly reorganizing
party cells in the remaining Viet Minh
regroupment area along the coast in
South Vietnam,, according to a Vietnam-
ese government report - (see map, p. 5). High party officials
are considering locating their headquarters and ammunition
stocks in the strategic plateau area in southern Annam where
cadres are presently attempting to win the allegiance of the
ethnic minorities.
Preparations for the "stay-behind"
struggle along the coast include teaching the population tech-
niques of non- co-operation with the national government and
spreading propaganda that a wave of reprisals and assassina-
tions will follow the arrival of the army.
Comment: Viet Minh evacuation of this
regroupment area is to take puce between 22 April and 16 May.
The effectiveness of Viet Minh disrup-
tive efforts will be largely contingent on the ability of the Viet-
namese government to solve its economic problems and to
establish an efficient administration.
How successful Saigon's administration
has been in other regroupment areas is not known.
3. End of Thai-Burmese "co-operation" predicted:
There is every reason to believe that
the "sham" of Thai-Burmese co-operation
may soon end,, in the opinion of the Amer-
ican army attache in Bangkok. He cites
a report from the American consul in
Chiengmai that the Thai police recently
21 Apr 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4
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permitted the shipment of 150 bags of rice and 4,000 cartons of
cigarettes to the Chinese Nationalist irregulars on the Burma
side of the border. The attache also reports that a border inci-
dent in early April resulted in considerable tension between local
Thai and Burmese officials.
Comment. Thai-Burmese relations have
been traditionally cool, an on y~uring the past 12 months has
there been an apparent improvement.
Thai police director general Phao agreed
to seal off the Thai-Burmese border in order to assist the Bur-
mese in their current offensive against the Chinese guerrillas.
In the event the Burmese learn of the
reported Thai shipments to the guerrillas, they will be more in-
clined than ever to blame their lack of success to date against the
guerrillas on the Thai and to hold the United States partly responsi-
ble.
4. Sukarno reportedly invites Nehru, Chou and Nasr to remain as
state guests: -
President Sukarno has invited Premiers
Chou En-lai, Nehru and Nasr to remain
as state guests after the close of the
Bandung conference.
Comment: Sukarno apparently sees
Nasr as the likely candidate among Arab leaders to be won over
to the point of view of Asian neutralist leaders. At the invitation
of Burma's premier, Nasr stopped over in Rangoon, along with
Chou and Nehru, on his way to the conference.
Chou is reportedly seeking Nasr's favor
by indicating that Communist China is ready to increase its pur-
chases of Egyptian cotton if a trade arrangement can be negotiated.
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