CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00975A002100040001-2
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RIPPUB
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T
Document Page Count: 
9
Document Creation Date: 
December 21, 2016
Document Release Date: 
April 18, 2002
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1
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REPORT
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OrZ Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2 or 'do 7,0P OF 000, 4 July 1955 Copy No. 99 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. NO CHANGE IN CLASS. fl DECLASS;;=IED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE: - (2L0- AUTH: HR 70-2 ~? REVIEWER: DATE: J1/1/ Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY r State Dept. review completed TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2 I ''err SUMMARY SOVIET UNION 1, Soviet Aviation Day air show (nave 3). FAR EAST 3. North Korey. calls for discussion of Korean question by Big Four 1 -1 SOUTHEAST ASIA, 7. Viet Minh vice premier reported threatening "action" against South Vietnam (page 9). 8. Solution to army-cabinet crisis in Indonesia. may be delayed (page 9). NEAR EAST - AFRICA 9. Preliminary British views on proposed Cyprus talks (page 10). WESTERN EUROPE 10. Bonn may consider reduction of military forces in unity negotiations (page 11). 4.July 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2 SOVIET UNION 1. Soviet Aviation Day air show: A twin-j et transport was the only type aircraft displayed at the Soviet Aviation Day air show on 3 July not previously observed in practice fly-bys. More than 400 aircraft participated in the show at Moscow's . Tushino airport under an overcast sky and threatefling rain. The American embassy charac- erized the show as "quite 'impressive," both as a spectacle and and as a display of strength. The new plane, probably a medium trans- port, has a fuselage resembling that of the British Comet, a tail resembling that of the BADGER a et medium bomber), and slightly swept wings. The engines are buried in the wings, well out from the fuselage, and have round air intakes somewhat smaller than those on the BADGER. The show included 12 jet heavy bombers (BISONS) and 54 jet medium bombers (BADGERS), types which were first displayed on May Day 1954. Also included were the following types which had been observed for the first time in practice fly-bys earlier this year: 7turboprop heavy bombpars (BEARS) 50 twin-j et, probably all-weather, inter- ceptors (FLASHLIGHTS) 47 day fighters, possibly supersonic, (FARMERS) 4 large twin-rotor helicopters (HORSES) The number of new-type planes did not ex- ceed the number observed in previous practice fly-bys. 4 July 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975A002100040001-2 FAR EAST 3, - Forth Korea, calls for discussion of -Korean question by. Big. Tour; orth Korea's Foreign Minister Nam.-Ii old two Japanese newsp-,dpermen on 2July __:~l that the settlement of the Korean question should be discussed at the Big Four meeting, according to a radio Pyongyang broadcast. Two government- controlled North.Korean newspapers have also called for discussion of the Korean question "without fail" at the July meeting. One of these papers observed that "a -series of gratifying facts, including the Austrian State Treaty have further enhanced the conviction that all international prob- lems can be solved by way of negotiations. In this connection, the Korean question cannot be an exception." Comment: Recent North Korean propa- ganda suggests that the USSR may call for a withdrawal of foreign troops from Korea, possibly coupled with partial disarmament of North and South Korea. However, references to solution of the "Korean question" have been notably vague and fail to come to grips with matters such as the timing of troop withdrawals and all-Korean elections. Soviet references to the agenda for Geneva have included "Asian peace and security" without further specification. Although South.Korea may be willing to re- open talks on unification, neither side has significantly modified de- mands which led to the breakdown of the talks on Korea at the Geneva conference in the spring of 1954. 4 July 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 5 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975A002100040001-2 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2 Next 2 Page(s) In Document Denied Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2 SOUTHEAST ASIA 7. Viet Minh vice premier reported threatening "action" against South Vie name Viet Minh vice premier Pham Van Dong is reported to have told a British journal- ist that unless the Vietnamese government agreed to pre-election consultations on 20 iet Minh-would "take action:" When asked to elaborate on this point, Dong reportedly said that he meant there would be a "popular uprising" in the south. The French FQreign Ministry fears that if the 20 July deadline passes without some action by,South Vietnam, the Viet Minh may indeed take serious action. Comment. A French liaison officer in Hanoi recently said that the Common st journalist, Wilfred Burchett, had made a similar observation. The French would be eager to inform the United States of such threats in the hope of winning American sup- port.for pressure on the Diem government to accept the obligations of the Geneva agreement. . Pro-Viet Minh sympathy in the south is not believed to be strong enough to support a "popular uprising. It 8. Solution to army- cabinet crisis in Indonesia may be delayed. The army-cabinet crisis in Indonesia, which developed on 27 June over the installation of a new chief of staff, may be the subject of protracted negotiations. Senior Indonesian army officers issued a communique on 3 July proposing that the crisis be solved by a conference of top army and government leaders which would include the suspended acting chief of staff- -Colonel Lubis, 4.July 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 9 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2 President Sukarno, and Vice President Hatta, according to an Indo- n.e ian news agency. Meanwhile the cabinet set up its own committee on 2 July to deal with the situation. In their proposal for a conference, army leaders announced that the crisis should be solved "in accordance with the constitutional position of the army which in normal times is subordinate to the government. " The army leaders are reported to feel, however, that they are in a .strong position since the govern- ment has no armed force with which to oppose them, and there has as yet been no break in their solid front. Government spokesmen, have avoided com- ment on reports that the newly-installed chief of staff was prepared to withdraw voluntarily. A continuation of the crisis will tend to lower the government's prestige as well as that of President Sukarno. NEAR EAST o AFRICA 9. Preliminary British views on proposed Cyprus talks: Britain seems to contemplate a "simple exchange" of views with Greece and Turkey, provided both accept its invitation to discuss Eastern Mediterranean affairs, including Cyprus. Turkey accepted on 2 July. Working level British officials have indicated, however, that Britain would be prepared to discuss the "Cyprus constitutional issue" without making any commit- ments. If pressed, Britain may propose a declaration promising eventual self-determination and a constitution providing for a legis- lature with an elected majority. Comment: Britain Is evidently most con- cerned now to recover maneuverability on the Cyprus question, as well as to reduce the present tension in the colony itself. 4 July 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 10 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2 The date of the proposed talks has not been set. Britain may calculate that the atmosphere following the Geneva meetings may be such as to improve the chances of temperate conversations with Greece. Greece probably will accept the invi- tation, although it will be reluctant to associate itself with Turkey on this issue. The Greek government is expected to insist from the beginning of the talks on immediate self-determination for Cyprus. Popular demands for union of Cyprus with Greece will make it politically difficult for Athens to compromise or accept any delay. WESTERN EUROPE 10. Bonn may consider reduction of military forces in unity negotiations: In future negotiations on German unity, West Germany would be prepared to dis- cuss reducing German forces below the 12 division limit and a reduction in the total number,of . Allied forces stationed in the Federal Republic, Comment: This is the first time a responsi- ble Bonn official has indicated t t his government would consider re- ducing military forces in Germany in the context of an East-West agreement on security and German unification. In the recent quadripartite discussions in Bonn on a Western position on German unity at the summit meeting, West Germany made it plain that it will continue to demand free elec- tions and freedom of alliance in any unity formula. 4 July 55 CURRENT' INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 11 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100040001-2