CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00975A002100220001-2
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
5
Document Creation Date: 
December 21, 2016
Document Release Date: 
May 3, 2002
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A002100220001-2.pdf158.38 KB
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Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100220001-2 TOP SECRET ~0or C- Cleo 12 July 1955 opy O0 99 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. _ -_-- NO CHANGE IN CLASS. F' DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CFIANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE: 2D/ . State Dept. review completed DATE: _l1~14s_ REVIEWER: AUTH: HR 70-2 Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975A002100220001-2 SUMMARY SOUTHEAST ASIA 2. Continuing Indonesian crisis causes Sukarno to delay trip abroad (page 4) SOUTH ASIA 3. Afghan finance minister comments on Afghan-Soviet transit agree- ment (page 4). 12 July 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975A002100220001-2 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100220001-2 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100220001-2 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100220001-2 SOUTHEAST ASIA Continuing Indonesian crisis causes Sukarno to delay trip abroad-. resident Sukarno's decision to cancel ZI lanneu state visits to five Asian entries and postpone his departure or Mecca from 12 to 18 July reflects is growing concern over the continuing army-cabinet crisis. Presumably he fears that developments in his absence might bring about the cabinet's fall and cause a further decline in per- sonal prestige, Sukarno may hope to effect a compro- mise by 18 July with Indonesia's seven territorial commanders, who have been in conference in Djakarta since 9 July. He is also reported to be in intensive consultation with Prime Minister Ali and -Vice Prime Minister Arifin. The chairman of the Masjumi, the chief opposition party, has stated that the government's failure to solve the chief-of-staff problem and its increasing loss .of authority place the country in acute danger. He believes a cabinet appointed by and responsible to the president might be an acceptable solu- tion. Vice President Hatta, who is frequently discussed as the leader of a "presidential cabinet," is reported unwilling to head such a government because it would have no constitutional basis. He undoubtedly would accept the responsibility, however, if re- quested to do so by parliament. SOUTH ASIA 3. Afghan finance minister comments on Afghan-Soviet transit agree- men Afghan finance minister Malik told an American embassy officer in Kabul on 6 July that the Afghan-Soviet transit agreement announced on 28 June would not give e USSR a monopoly of Afghanistan's foreign transit trade. 12 July 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100220001-2 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100220001-2 He said, however, that if the Pakistani blockade continues, "nearly all" Afghan goods would be shipped through the USSR. The finance minister warned that he knew Pakistani pressure was being exerted in the hope of removing Prime Minister Daud but stated that the pressure was actually strengthening Daud's position by causing certain normally dissi- dent elements to rally around him. Comment: Malik's remarks seem de- signed to convince the Unite States that Afghanistan will be lost to the Western world unless Pakistan is forced to abandon its economic blockade? The Pakistani blockade does not vitally affect the primitive Afghan economy, however, and there is no need as yet for the Afghan government to resort to extreme meas- ures. It appears, therefore, that the threat to turn to the USSR is still being used more as a bargaining point than as a serious declaration of intent and. that its aim is to help Afghanistan ex- tricate itself from the dispute with Pakistan with as little damage as possible. Kabul's contract with a Swedish firm to drill for oil near the Soviet border, announced on 28 June, and Daud's recent personal request for an American construction firm to begin work on an international airport at Kandahar indicate that Afghanistan still hopes for Western aid on basic economic projects. 12 July 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 5 Approved For Release 2008/03/03: CIA-RDP79T00975AO02100220001-2