CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A002300120001-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 20, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: November 27, 1955
• Content Type: REPORT

a 2004/ NEUR7M097 2 41
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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DG(-,UMr NT NO.. - -,,Z
NO CHAN(L IN CLA3!. VT
1: DEGLAS 1FIEV.)
CI -1SS. CHANGED 1-0: TS S C
N- XT REVIEW DATE _._
AUTH. HR 70-2
'DATE 'A_VIEWE:R.
Office of Current Intelligence
DOS REVIEW
COMPLETED
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
DIA review(s) completed.
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CONTENTS
1. PRESIDENT DIEM'S BROTHER. COMMENTS ON SEATO
(page 3).
2. INDIA UNLIKELY TO SUPPORT RESOLUTION CENSURING
PATHET LAO (page 4). .
4, STATE OF EMERGENCY DECLARED ON CYPRUS (page 6).
* * *
THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(page 7)
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1. PRESIDENT DIEM'S BROTHER COMMENTS ON SEATO
General for Southeast Asia Sir Robert Scott, who recently
visited the Indochina states a Nhu thinks Scott's suggestion
of the possible future adherence of Indonesia and Burma
to SEATO is academic and observes that combining mili-
tarily weak states in Southeast Asia to the neutralist states
President Diem's brother and princi-
pal adviser, Ngo Dinh Nhu, believes
the military value of SEATO is greatly
overrated by British Commissioner
would be adding "zero to zero:'
Comment President Diem has recently been show-
ing interest in a more formal association
with SEATO. However, his brother's opinions, which nor-
mally carry weight in the development of South Vietnamese
policy, may cause Diem to temper his attitude toward the
Manila pact organization.
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2. INDIA UNLIKELY TO SUPPORT RESOLUTION CENSURING
PATHET LAO
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In a conversation with the Indian chair-
man of the International Control Com-
mission in Laos, Ambassador Yost
gained the impression that New Delhi
is now chiefly concerned with prevent-
ing an intensification of hostilities in
Laos and is most unlikely to join in any
report condemning either party. The
chairman pointed out , his government had failed to censure
the Diem government for its failure to comply with the terms
of the Geneva accords and is therefore now reluctant to de-
nounce the Pathet Lao.
The Indian chairman in Phnom Penh,
meanwhile, told Ambassador McClintock on 24 November
he is convinced the Laotian problem is linked to that of
Vietnam and that the probable indefinite partitioning of
Vietnam would lead to a de facto partitioning of Laos.
Comment Failure of the control commission to
support the royal government's case
against the Pathet Lao before the Geneva co-chairmen
would probably serve further to persuade Laotian govern-
ment leaders that a military offensive, despite insufficient
logistic resources, is the only alternative to a partition
of the country.
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4. STATE OF EMERGENCY DECLARED ON CYPRUS
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The British declaration of a state of
mergency on Cyprus on 26 November
is partly a reaction to the mounting
tide of violence and guerrilla attacks
by Cypriot terrorists and is intended
s a stern warning of Britain's determi-
nation to restore order in the colony.
On 25 November the terrorist organi-
zation EOKA issued a call for "retri-
bution in blood" and Cypriot National-
ist leader Archbishop Makarios indi-
cated to the American consul in Nicosia
his belief that London would soon be forced to give Cyprus
an unconditional guarantee of self-determination.
Makarios has already rejected London's
latest--and not yet public- -reiteration of its offer of "a
large measure of" self-government, which for the first
time included an offer to consider Cypriot self-determi-
nation at some unspecified future time. In denouncing
the emergency declaration, which touched off a new wave
of Nationalist violence, Makarios appears publicly to have
aligned himself with the Nationalist extremists,
bility of incidents involving American personnel.
determination. Since Makarios probably could not accept
the British plan in any case without forfeiting his leader-
ship of the Cypriot cause, the prospect is for a period of
violence bordering on guerrilla operations, with the possi-
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London, for prestige and strategic
reasons, and because of strong reaction from Turkey,
will probably refuse any further concession toward self- 25X1
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THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(Information as of 1700, 27 November)
Incidents continue to be reported on
Israel's frontiers with Egypt and Jordan. The Israeli
army's listing of incidents, including two casualties,
suggests that it is continuing to prepare the record in
anticipation of retaliatory action.
The Jordanians are taking additional
steps to tighten border security between Jordan and Israel
and to prevent Arab infiltrations into Israel. General
Glubb, commander in chief of the Jordanian Arab Legion,
believes Egyptians in Jordan are not only directing commando
raids into Israel, but are also instilling such dissatisfaction
with British leadership of the Arab Legion that it ultimately
may have to be withdrawn.
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Egyptian minister of war Amir, who is
also commander in chief of the armed forces, is currently
conducting military talks in Damascus, and has publicly pro-
claimed his objective as making "the Arab states one state
and the Arab armies one army:' In New York, the Egyptian
deputy foreign minister said on 25 November that Egypt would
accept outside mediation on the Palestine situation but would
not agree to direct meetings between the Arab states and
Israel. At the same time recent press reports have been
indicating that Marshal Tito, who probably would welcome the
oppprtunity, might act as a possible mediator in the dispute.
Tito is expecting to start his visit to Egypt on 20 December.
There is no indication he will stop in Israel. He told Secre-
tary Dulles on 7 November, however, he would point out to
Nasr and all the Arab states that they must recognize the fact
that Israel has become a state.
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Following up the recent French agreement
to resume shipments of jjet planes to Egypt, France has re-
portedly signed contracts to sell Mystere Mark II aircraft to
Israel, according to a Paris press report of 26 November.
However, the French counselor in Tel Aviv told an American
embassy official on 23 November that Israel is no longer in-
terested in obtaining Mark II Mysteres because there is doubt
that these planes can compete with MIG-15's. Israel, he said,
would like to get Mark IV Mysteres but the French government
has thus far made no commitment to deliver Mark IV's. It
is part of the French plan to balance arms shipments to E
t
gyp
by authorizing delivery of Mystere jets to Israel. Israel is
most anxious to obtain F?-86 jet aircraft from the US and from
Canada. Israeli officials have suggested to the American air
attache in Tel Aviv that if the F-86's were delivered, Israel
might drop efforts to procure Mysteres.
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