CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A003600510001-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 31, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: April 29, 1958
• Content Type: REPORT

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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
29 April 1958
DAILY BRIEF
Eastern Europe - Soviet military strength; Recent with-
drawals from East Germany and Hungary have left Soviet
military strength in the n a Eastern European area unimpaired;
48 air regiments and at least 28 ground line divisions remain.
T
he bulk of this strength is in East Germany, where the
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capability of the ground forces was recently improved by
an extensive reorganization and by a new system of ac-
cepting only trained personnel. The 24th Air Army in
East Germany is probably the best of the Soviet tactical
air armies. In Hungary, the USSR maintains twice its
prerebellion strength; in Poland and Rumania, Soviet
strength has not been reduced.
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*Indonesia: North Celebes dissident troops landed
on Morotai Island on 28 April and are advancing against
light resistance, Dissi-
dent aircraft, singly and in pairs, have carried out sev-
eral successful attacks in the last few days on shipping
and ground installations in the Borneo, Celebes, and
Moluccas areas. President Sukarno, apparently con-
templating an early end of the military campaign, is
said to be planning another interregional conference.
In this and other ways, he will exert every effort to
maintain his power position and to promote his political
theories, with the strong backing of the Indonesian Com-
munist party. Some army circles have recently shown
signs of uneasiness about government policies,
II. ASIA-AFRICA
971003600510001-5
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India: Prime Minister Nehru's decision to take a
prolonged vacation this summer probably is not a prel-
ude to his retirement, despite rumors to that effect.
During his absence, the 68-year-old prime minister
will keep in touch with major problems. Other Indian
29 Apr 58 DAILY BRIEF
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*Lebanon: The government is bargaining to obtain ad-
ditional American economic aid this fiscal year. Foreign
Minister Malik has "predicted" that if Lebanon does not
immediately receive "substantial"~ aid--about $15,000,000 in
his view--''Point Four can pack up and go home." Rejec-
tion of the US aid might lead to a general repudiation of the
"Eisenhower Doctrine." During the next two weeks, the
government will consider its reply to a parliamentary com-
members of the cabinet in their ability to run their depart-
ments without Nehru's constant guidance. 25X1A
leaders hope his absence will increase the confidence of
mittee resolution that Lebanon should obtain an amount of
aid large enough to "justify" its continued acceptance. This
resolution apparently was proposed. largely as part of an ef-
fort to improve Lebanon's relations with Nasir and the UAR.
III. THE WEST
West Indies: Each of the two principal political par-
ties in the new West Indies Federation is trying to bolster
its position by courting. Cheddi Jagan, Communist minister
of trade and industry in British Guiana. If British Guiana,
which is politically dominated by Jagan, decides to join
the federation, Jagan would hold the balance of power in
the federal legislative assembly inaugurated on 22 April.
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29 Apr 58 DAILY BRIEF
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Soviet Troop Strength in Eastern Europe
The USSR has taken pains to demonstrate good faith
in regard to the troop withdrawals from East Germany
and Hungary which it announced earlier this year. Suffi-
cient trains have left the Group of Soviet Forces in Ger-
many (GSFG) to transport the 41,000 men designated for
withdrawal. The type and number of units involved also
agree with those specified to be withdrawn. However, to
maintain combat efficiency, some shifts of experienced per-
sonnel and modern equipment were made to units scheduled
to remain in East Germany and Hungary, where reorganiza-
tions took place during 1957.
In East Germany some 345,000 Soviet troops are organ-
ized into 20 line divisions and 22 air regiments with a total
of 955 aircraft. In Hungary at least 60,000 troops--about
twice the prerebellion strength--are organized into four or
more line divisions and nine air regiments having 305 air-
craft. In Poland and Rumania, where the USSR has an-
nounced no plans for the withdrawal of troops, no change
in strength has been noted. Stationed in each country are
35,000 ground troops organized into two line divisions with
support elements. In Poland there are also 14 Soviet air
regiments with 446 aircraft; in Rumania there are five air
regiments with 190 aircraft.
In January, the USSR announced that those troops with-
drawn2rom East Germany and Hungary would be demobilized.
Howl ier, some units withdrawn under previous programs
ev/dently have been relocated within the USSR.
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II. ASIA-AFRICA
Indonesia
Dissident troops of Lt. Col. Sumual's commandr in
North Celebes made a successful landing on Morotai
Island on 28 April, F_ I Supported 25X1 C
by two F-51's, which effectively silenced. the light resist-
ance initially made by central government troops, dissi-
dent forces were last :reported. advancing on a nearby air-
field.
Dissident planes, singly and in pairs, have also car-
ried. out a series of successful strikes over the past few
days against government targets on Borneo and. East Indo-
nesian islands. On 27 April, a B-26 aircraft severely
damaged a radio station on Ambon Island, set afire three
large fuel storage tanks, and strafed the airfield there. A
B-26 aircraft bombed and strafed the Balikpapan area of
Borneo on 28 April, scoring hits on the airfield. and fuel
tanks nearby and blowing up a gunboat. Also hit was a
"large freighter-tanker," presumably the British tanker
press sources have reported. sunk. On the same day, a
B-26 attacked. the Palu Bay area in Celebes, apparently
sinking two freighters and strafing four others. Ternate
Island and the port of Djailolo, on Halmahera Island, have
also been recent targets.
President Sukarno, apparently confident that the mil-
itary campaign against the dissidents will soon be concluded,
is reported planning another interregional conference. Su-
karno can be expected to make every effort to ensure his
own personal power and the acceptance of his system of
"guided. democracy." Some army leaders, however, appar-
ently are maneuvering to improve the army's position, and
a public statement by Brigadier General Djatikusumo, a
deputy chief of staff, has strongly suggested that Indonesia
look to the army for leadership.
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III. THE WEST
5T,003600510001-5
West Indies Federation Politicians Court British Guiana
Communist Leader
Each of the two principal political parties in the new
West Indies Federation is trying to bolster its position by
courting Cheddi Jagan, Communist minister of trade and
industry in British Guiana. If British Guiana, which is
politically dominated by Jagan, decides to join the federa-
tion, Jagan would hold the balance of power in the federal
legislative assembly inaugurated on 22 April.
Leaders of the opposition Democratic Labor party be-
lieve that, if they obtain Jagan's support, the entry of Brit-
ish Guiana, which would have 8 to 10 seats in the legisla-
ture,, would help overcome the narrow margin of the governing
Federal Labor party. In Trinidad, Jagan, an East Indian,
could easily swing the many East Indian voters whichever way
he chooses.
Jagan has been noncommittal so far and appears willing
to bargain further. He may be sufficiently tempted by the
opportunities for exercising wider influence to modify his
previous conditions, for bringing, British, Guiana into the fed-
eration. The Democratic Labor party gained the impression
that Jagan hopes in any case to get the West Indies legislature
to urge the British to advance British Guiana rapidly toward
complete self-government. Functioning as chief minister, he
has so far cooperated with the British governor, but mean-
while has added more Communists to the leadership of his
party and stepped up its propaganda activity.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
29 April 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
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India: Prime Minister Nehru's decision to take a
prolong vacation this summer probably is not a prel-
ude to his retirement, despite rumors to that effect.
During his absence, the 68-year-old prime minister
will keep in touch with major problems. Other Indian
le,&pllarwfbperlW eabS(2602/0 113 kI RP7 0 AA&@ 9f 0001-5
members of the cabinet in their ability to run their depart-
ments without Nehru's constant guidance.
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