CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00975A004200130001-0
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
12
Document Creation Date: 
December 12, 2016
Document Release Date: 
July 29, 2002
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
December 17, 1958
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A004200130001-0.pdf573.17 KB
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Approved FQr Release1c)I/0 ~00975A004200130001-0 25X1 17 December 1958 25X1 Copy No. C h () III - MEMONO rIOCUMu:NT NO. (3 i-O r HA^ GE IN ,,, 5. .. a O 5X1 , r~MF .J 25X1 State Dept. review completed Approved For Releaser f04Cr~-1~F 00975AO04200130001-0 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/09/04: CIA-RDP79T00975AO04200130001-0 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2002/09/04: CIA-RDP79T00975AO04200130001-0 Approved F ele 2002iW04 - 400130001-0 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 17 December 1958 r)A11Y RPIPF 25X1 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC )40 *USSR.- Recent Soviet public statements and private re- bark-s-5y-nrushchev provide further evidence that the USSR envisages its Berlin move as the opening phase of a major political offensive in Europe. In a conversation with the Ital- ian ambassador on 13 Decembert Ehrushchev expressed his desire for a top-level meeting to discuss not only Berlin, but also a German peace treaty, a nonaggression pact, European security, reduction of forces in Germany, and withdrawal of foreign troops from Europe. He said the Berlin problem was probably the least important of all these measures. . 25 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/09/04: CIA-RDP79TOO975AO04200130001-0 ~nm~inrl For Dnlne~n ~f111~IfIQ/Ad . !`DIID]OTf1110]5Af111d~f111~Qf111f11 PP J1 Approved For Release 2002/09/04 CIA-RDP79T00975A004200130001-0 M j UAR-,Iraq: Nasir may be beginning an open propaganda campaign against Communist influence in Iraq, which he has hitherto sought to combat clandestinely. Cairo's Al-Akhbar, a newspaper published by a confidant of Nasir, has re erred for the first time to anti-UAR activity by Communists in other Arab states, citing such activity in Baghdad. The pro-UAR press in Lebanon has been attacking the Iraqi Communists for the past week. Burma: Former Premier U Nu, in his first major polit- ical address since leaving office last October, has expressed confidence that General Ne Win would hold elections in April as promised, thus in effect warning the army not to try to stay in power indefinitely. U Nu also denied that he would quit politics. Nu's speech may foreshadow increased efforts by Burmese political elements to mobilize public opinion against the army's indefinite retention of power. I 25X1 17 Dec 58 DAILY BRIEF ii j Approved ~~,el ase - 975A004200130001-0 j III Approved For Release 2002/09/04 :CIA-RDP79T00975A004200130001-0 III. THE WEST Cuba: Demoralization continues to spread in the army, and even high officers are now reported to believe there is no hope of defeating the rebels. The government, however, has been building up its forces in Santiago and dropping leaflets in Oriente Province urging the civilian population to leave imme- diately to avoid air and land attacks against the rebels. A ma- jor offensive by the government at this time is not likely to end in a decisive victory for either side. 25X1 Ii 0 I 17 Dec 58 DAILY BRIEF iii j Approved FI ase 2002/09/04: CIA-RDP79T 0975A004200130001-0 j 25Approved For R elea L THE COMMUNIST BLOC USSR Seeks to Exploit Berlin Crisis to Advance Broader Aims in Europe There are increasing indications that the Soviet leaders envisage their move to precipitate a crisis over Berlin as the opening phase of a major political offensive in Europe. Recent Soviet public pronouncements and private remarks by Khru- shchev reflect the Soviet desire to exploit the Berlin issue to attract greater interest in various disengagement schemes which would. lead to the demilitarization and neutralization of Germany. In a conversation with the Italian ambassador on 13 De- cember, Khrushchev indicated his desire for a top-level meet- ing to discuss not only Berlin, but also a German peace treaty, a nonaggression pact, European security, reduction of forces in Germany, and withdrawal of foreign troops from Europe. He said the Berlin problem was probably the least important of all these measures. Khrushchev took this same line in an interview with the correspondent of a Munich newspaper. He contended. that ac-;, ceptance of his Berlin proposal would be a "point of departure" for improving the general European situation and would create "favorable preconditions" for dealing with such problems as the creation of a demilitarized zone in Central Europe by a pull-back of the forces of the "two opposing military groups." He also proposed. a mutual reduction and eventual withdrawal of foreign forces in Germany and even the complete withdrawal of foreign forces from Europe. The Norwegian ambassador in Moscow believes Khrushchev dangerously misjudges Western firmness regarding Berlin. He says Khrushchev asked him two weeks ago if he really thought the Western powers would fi ht over Berlin and said it was un- thinkable they would do so. 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/09/04: CIA-RDP79T00975A004200130001-0 17 Dec 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 1 Approved For Release 2002/09/04: CIA-RDP79T00975AO04200130001-0 Next 4 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2002/09/04: CIA-RDP79T00975AO04200130001-0 25.X1 25X1 Nasir and Iraqi Communists The 13 December issue of the Cairo daily Al Akhbar, published by a confidant of President Nasir, carried t ree brief items critical of Communist anti-UAR activity in Iraq. With the exception of infrequent announcements of the arrest of local Communists, this is the first known instance of Egyp- tian press comment on Communist activity in an Arab coun- try. Together with recent attacks on the same subject in the pro-UAR Lebanese press, the Al Akhbar items could fore- shadow an open propaganda campaign by the UAR against Com- munist influence in Iraq. The Iraqi situation poses a dilemma for Nasir. Heavily dependent as he is on Soviet economic and military support, he may hesitate to force a showdown on the Communist issue at this time. He is said to be convinced, however, that the USSR will not ignore an opportunity to effect a Communist take-over in Iraq. The Communist-led demonstrations against.Assistant Secretary Rountree, showing again the Communists' capabil- ity to incite mob action in the face of army security meas- ures, seems likely to increase the Iraqi Army leaders' con- cern for internal security. The Rountree visit is being used by the Communists, not only to whip up anti-American senti- ment, but also to maintain the condition of political tension which they helped create last week when the was exposed by Qasim. 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/09/04: CIA-RDP79T00975AO04200130001-0 17 Dec 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 5 25X6 Approved For Release 2002/09/04: CIA-RDP79T00975AO04200130001-0 Approved For Release 2002/09/04: CIA-RDP79T00975AO04200130001-0 25X1 Approved for Rele~ CIA RDP79T0 5A004200130001-0 III. THE WEST Cuban Army Preparing New Offensive Against the Rebels A build-up of Cuban Army troops in Santiago and the ar- rival of tanks, armored cars, and other supplies in the last few days indicate that the Batista government may be prepar- ing its long-expected offensive against the rebels. The army has dropped leaflets urging the civilian population to evacuate areas where action is contemplated, warning that air and land attacks will be made. Opposition elements claim that the gov- ernment is planning a "scorched-earth reprisal policy:' Despite these signs that the army is preparing a concerted drive, discontent and demoralization continue to spread in the armed forces. Even high officers close to the chief of staff are now reported to believe that there is no hope of defeating the rebels. Previous "all-out" government offensives have failed, and it seems unlikely that a new offensive will be any more success- ful, despite the government's superior arms. Many of the army troops are green and lack the will to fight, whereas the rebels, riding a wave of successful campaigns, are a determined battle- hardened force. A major offensive now would probably not re- sult in a decisive victory for either side. 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2002/09/04: CIA-RDP79T00975A004200130001-0 17 Dec 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 7 Approved fW Rele - 04200130001-0 THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Special Adviser to the President The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Commandant, United States Marine Corps The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of the Interior The Secretary of the Interior Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director United States Information Agency The Director Approved For Rel se 2()E)2f()9f()4 . e'A-RE) = 25X1 25X1 A F R 9/ T00975A0 00130001 0 J A 10, Approved For Releaselb/p/04-JWJYO0975AO04200130001-0 7,00