CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A004800350001-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 12, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: December 11, 1959
• Content Type: REPORT

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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE TIN
11 December 1959
DAILY BRIEF
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1. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Cyprus rus - Communist Bloc: 1 e Soviet bloc apparently is
preparing to bid for diplomatic representation when Cyprus be-
comes independent in February. Polish and East German offi-
cials visited the island recently,
T-TunLrarv has asked permission to open. a consulate, and,
cal Cypriot officia a their willingness to give economic ald to
he new re ublic.
stimulating Cypriot opposition to remaining British base rights.
In mid-1959 Moscow and Peiping indicated to a delegation of 10-
the Soviet ambassador in
Athens is p ann ng a trip to icon a. While Moscow propaganda
has criticized the London and Zurich agreements providing for
.the independence of Cyprus, bloc countries can be expected to
extend prompt recognition and to concentrate their efforts on
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Ni eria: Ni eria's general parliamentary election on 12
December is expected to determine the make-up of the federal
government which will be in power when the country--with an
estimated 35,000,000 people--becomes independent next Octo-
ber. The election is therefore regarded as crucial by Nigeria's
three major parties--each of which is largely tribal in compo-
sition and controls one of the federation's three self-governing
regions. One of these, the party of the conservative Moslem
rulers of the north, is especially determined to secure a con-
trolling voice in the new federal government. Should it fail to
achieve this, its adherents may react violentl and possibly at-
tempt to secede ] (Page 3) (Map)
tives.
Yemen: Yemeniofficials have told the American charge
that the recent economic agreements with the United States and
a private American firm result from a definite Yemeni policy
decision "in favor of the West." They are now urging prompt
American action to prove the wisdom of this decision. Yemeni
assurances have often been unreliable, but the agreements cited
by the Yemenis, together with other recent actions, reflect the
Imam's growing suspicion of Soviet and Chinese Communist mo-
Fiji Islands: The American consul in Suva, on Viti Levu
Island, reports riots and anti-European violence have resulted
from efforts by the British government of the islands to suppress
an oil workers' strike now spreading to other industries. He
su ests that ti f A
g
e
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vacua ono mer~.cans may become necessary.
There is basic antagonism between Fijians and the Indians who
corn rise more than half the islands' o ulation: 25X~
11 Dec
BRIEF ii
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III. THE WEST
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Britain-Geneva: (-qK Foreign Office Minister of State
Ormsby-Gore, sent to Geneva to examine the atmosphere
of negotiations at the conference on cessation of nuclear tests,
believes that the political need to achieve agreement has be-
come so great that it may be necessary "to deviate slightly
from our traditional position of 'no disarmament without thor-
oughly effective control."' Ormsby-Gore told US Ambassador
Wadsworth that international political pressures for an agree-
ment have doubled in the past year, and that a special session
of the UN General Assembly will be convened if the conference
breaks down without any treaty. Ormsby-Gore proposes that
"comparatively minor" issues be cleared away quickly in or-
der to focus attention on the major questions of on-site inspec-
tion and the phasing. of the control system.
Cuba: The Soviet technical and cultural exhibit now show-
ing in Mexico will open in Havana on 5 February, according to
Moscow radio,, Mikoyan publicly offered the exhibit to any
Latin American country when he visited Mexico to inaugurate
the fair. The Cuban showing gives the Castro government .
further occasion to invite a high-ranking Soviet official to the
opening, and might serve as a prelude to an offer to resume
diplomatic relations with the USSR-
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11 Dec 59 DAILY BRIEF
App
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IV. SIGNIFICANT INTELLIGENCE
REPORTS AND ESTIMATES
(Available during the preceding week)
Prospects for Indonesia. NIE 62-2-59. 8 Dec 59.
Short-term Prospects for Ecuador. SNIE 95-59, 8 Dec 59.
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NIGER
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(Fr. Trust Terr.)
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The Nigerian Election
Nigeria's general election on 12 December is expected to
determine the make-up of the federal government in power
when this most populous of all African countries--it has an
estimated 35,000,000 inhabitants--gains its independence from
Britain next October. The election, which is to fill 312 seats
in the House of Representatives, is regarded as crucial by
Nigeria's three major parties--the Northern People's Congress
(NPC), the National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons
(NCNC), and the Action Group (AG), Respectively, they rep-
resent, for the most part, Fulani, Ibo, and Yoruba tribal in-
terests and control the federation's self-governing Northern,
Eastern, and Western Regions.
Especially concerned about the outcome are the traditional
Moslem rulers of the north--the controlling elements in the NPC--
whose greatest fear is domination by the more dynamic Chris-
tian and pagan tribesmen of the south. These rulers and their
adherents may react violently if they fail to secure a controlling
voice in the new government, and might even attempt to secede.
Neutral observers have predicted an almost even three-way divi-
sion of seats among the major parties and their minor-party
allies- -a result that would probably enable the NPC, which has
an "understanding" with the NCNC leadership, to achieve its
minimum goal. However, the election is unprecedented in many
respects and forecasting is more than normally hazardous--es-
pecially after the NPC's unexpected major defeat in last month's
UN-supervised plebiscite in the Northern Cameroons trust ter-
ritory, an area long administered as an integral part of Nigeria's
Northern Region.
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Although tribal and regional loyalties will be the most in-
fluential factors, intimidation and harassment of opposition forces
may also play a significant role in determining the final result,
particularly in the north. There the traditional rulers enjoy a
freer hand with respect to control over local police than do the
southern governments. Moreover, the British, anxious to avoid the
complications likely to follow a defeat of the NPC, appear to have
taken a more lenient attitude toward that party's use of repressive
measures against its opponents; 25X1
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11 Dec 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3
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Yemeni Officials .Now Profess to Be Pro-Western
Crown Prince Badr and other prominent Yemeni officials
recently assured the American charge in Taiz that Yemen has
made a significant policy decision "in favor of the West." The
assurances followed Yemeni approval of a basic aid agreement
with the United States as well as the signing of several private
and government contracts with an American investment company
early last month. The officials stated that they and the Imam--
who made the decision to accept American assistance--are now
"on the spot" to prove the wisdom of their action and dispel the
doubts of Yemeni proponents of a "closed door" policy. The
charge, who feels that "at least for the time being" Yemen has
indeed "turned the corner," has received numerous pleas from
Yemeni officials for prompt implementation of the assistance
program.
The Yemeni assurances are given some credibility by the
fact that no new aid agreement was announced following the re-
cent Soviet-Yemeni negotiations in Moscow. Significant factors
in the new policy may be Cairo's improvement of its relations
with the West and the Imam's growing suspicion of Soviet and
Chinese Communist motives. The cordial reception granted the
British governor of Aden during his November visit to Yemen
also seems indicative of the Imam's change of heart. I
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THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Director, Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretzry for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy'
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
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