CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A005600420001-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 27, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: April 18, 1961
• Content Type: REPORT

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LATE ITEM
USSR/Cuba: A Soviet government statement on 18 April
said that continuation of the invasion of Cuba "may have the
gravest consequences for world peace." The statement de-
clared that the USSR "reserves the right to take all measures,
with all states, to render the necessary assistance to the
Republic of Cuba if the armed interference in the affairs of the
Cuban peoples is not stopped." The Soviet government ex-
pressed the hope that the US government would understand
that the invasion of Cuba could "endanger the peaceful life
of the population of the United States itself." The statement
demanded immediate consideration of the Cuba situation b
the UN General Assembly,
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18 April. 1961
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
CONTENTS
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3. Angola: American consul sees possibility of "chaos
worse than Belgian Congo:' (Page tit)
4. Communist China: Peiping may increase trade with
Japan. (Page tit)
5. India: Differences among Communist leaders remain
following 7=16 April party congress. (Page tit)
6. Irael: Arabs object to military parade in Jerusalem.
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Angola: The American consul in Luanda reports that
rebel -t,jrrorism and governmental counteraction have re=
sulted in the death of hundreds of whites and thousands of
Africans in the past month. He feels that despite Portugal's
determination to restore order, it will. be impossible to re- 0)~
turn.to the status quo ante. He believes that Angolan Africans
now would not be satisfied even with drastic reforms and that
there is a possibility of acomplete breakdown of law and or-
ipr- h-ading ultimately to "chaos worse than the Belgian Congo:' 5X1
Communist China = Japan: There are signs of a thaw in
Sino-Japanese economic relations, obstructed since 1958 by
Peiping's strict insistence upon prior political concessions
from Japan. Actuated by a combination of economic difficul-
ties at home and trade problems with the rest of the bloc, the
authorities in Peiping now appear prepared to open the way for
some recovery in Sino-Japanese trade, which dropped from
$140,000,000 in 1957 to $23,000,000 in 1960. Publicly, however,
Peiping still insists that any "large-scale" trade depends on
Tokyo's meeting three conditions- -that Japan.stop being "hos-
tile" toward Communist China, stop associating itself with the
promotion of a "two Chinas scheme," and stop obstructing the
25X1 normalization of relations between the Japanese and China.
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India. LI~dian communist leaders made little progress in
menTi-ngtheir differences during the party's congress from 7 to
16 April. Preliminary reports indicate that the congress adopted
a moderate compromise resolution on, the "present political sit=
uation" after postponing once again a decision on the party's fu-
ture tactical "program"--a move reportedly recommended by top ()k
Soviet representative M. A. Suslov. Both actions constitute a
setback for the extremist faction and indicate that Indian Com-
munists will continue to be guided by the "peaceful, parliamentary"
policy adopted in 1958. The moderate- rightist group consolidated
its control by re-electing General Secretary Ajoy Ghosh despite
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18 Apr 61
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Israel-Jordan: Israel has refused to abandon its plans to
hold the state's 13th anniversary military parade in Jerusalem
on 20 April despite a ruling by the UN Security Council that
the parade, and a rehearsal that took place on 17 March, are
in violation of the 1949 Israeli-Jordanian armistice agreemen
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of the arade in
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The Israelis have changed the in
order to avoid approaching the armistice line which bisects th
city, but they remain adamant about including tanks and other
heavy equipment in the procession .contrary to armistice re -
consistent) refused to accent
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j the UN's authority on their side of the Israeli-Arab armistice
\ ? lines. The parade plans have again fanned Arab-particularly
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Jordanian--resentment toward Israel.
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Communist China Encourages Some Increase in Sino-Japanese
Trade
Taking the initiative in recent weeks, Peiping has offered
Japan 60,000 tons of coking coal highly desired. by the Japanese
steel industry. For': the first time since 1958 it has invited
Japanese firms to send representatives to the annual spring
trade fair in Canton. It has increased to over 70 the number
of Japanese firms which are designated as "friendly" by the
Chinese Communists and with which they will therefore do
business. This is more than quadruple the number designated
at the first of the year. In response to these moves, the Japa-
nese have eliminated the requirement that this trade be con-
ducted on a straight barter basis and eased clearing account
procedures.
Conciliatory Chinese moves have been accompanied by con-
tinued reminders of the need for some initiative from Japan. to-
ward a political accommodation. Peiping hopes the bait of sub-
stantial trade will keep alive pressure in Japan on the Ikeda gov-
ernment to meet the Chinese conditions.
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Within Japan, press and business circles have welcomed
the moves by both governments and have renewed suggestions
for a government-to-government trade agreement- -which Pei-
ping says can be signed only if Tokyo meets its political demands.
Skepticism about Peiping's intentions and tactics remains. Japa-
nese business elements recognizethat the government is not likely 25X1
to make any move toward Communist China until after the prime
minister's visit to the United States in June. F7
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Indian Communist Party Congress Fails to Repair Rift
The main stumbling block to agreement on the CPI's future
tactics continued to be the degree of support which Indian Com-
munists should give Prime Minister Nehru and certain "pro-
gressive" policies of his Congress party government. Several
days of bitter debate on this basic issue failed to resolve the
split between the moderates, who line up with Moscow in favor
of exploiting Nehru's prestige domestically and internationally,
and the leftist extremists, who echo Peiping's line that Nehru
has sold out to the "reactionaries" and must be actively opposed.
The question of the party's long-range program was turned
over to the newly elected National Council, in effect shelving
the problem for the time being. Press reports indicate that
the council comprises 56 "right-wing" representatives, 36
"leftists," and 18 who take a middle-of-the-road position.
The congress was confronted with three draft resolutions
on the current political situation, reflecting the views of the
rival factions. Prolonged discussion. and maneuvering pro-
duced a compromise in which the moderate-backed "official"
draft, drawn up during the executive meetings in February,
was accepted with some concessions in emphasis to the left-
wing dissidents. The amended resolution probably will reit-
erate much of the double talk characteristic of the February
declaration.
A striking omission in the discussions and statements of
the congress was any reference to the Sino-Indian border dis-
pute, suggesting that antagonism between the "nationalist" and
pro-Chinese "internationalist" factions is still too strong to be
smoothed over in a compromise resolution.,i addition, So-
viet delegate Suslov reportedly had exerted pressure to prevent
discussion of this issue
While the party's official tactics for the national elections
next February remain to be worked out, Ajoy Ghosh's closing
address to the conference on 16 April indicates the line the CPI
is likely to take under moderate leadership. Ghosh called on
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"progressive forces" in all parties, including the ruling Con-
gress party, to form a common front to work for the progress
of India. A report issued by the party secretariat, while
promising a "big political battle" against the government's "anti-
people" policies, also pointed out that most of the CPI's "poten-
tial allies" were inside the Congress party and should. be drawn
into "mass action."
Suslov's presence and his apparent role in the decisions of the
congress point up Moscow's continued predominant influence in
Indian Communist party affairs. Chinese suspicions of the So-
viet Union's "soft" policy in regard to countries such as India
may well be re-fired by the moderation of the program which
was adopted at a congress which Moscow apparently went to
some lengths to control. In any event, the results of the con-
P'ress will hardly be looked upon with favor in Peiping.\
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Israeli Military Parade in Jerusalem
The Israeli=Jordanian armistice agreement signed on
3 April 1949 specifically excluded armored vehicles from a ten-
kilometer (6,2. miles) strip on either side of the armistice
demarcation line--which includes the divided city of Jeru-
salem, The Israelis have announced that their parade will
include over 300 pieces of ordnance, headed by 14 recently
delivered British Centurion tanks and including 18 Sherman
tanks, 26 French AMX light tanks, heavy and light artillery
including French SS-10 guided antitank missiles, and Amer-
ican 106-mm. jeep=mounted recoilless guns. Some of these
units are already in Jerusalem. The column also will include
motorized infantry and a marching contingent of 4,000 men
and women from the Israeli armed services. There will be
no air force overflights because of the closeness of the bor-
der.
In recent years Israel has held its anniversary parade
alternately in Tel Aviv, Haifa, and Jerusalem on the Jewish
calendar date which corresponds to 14 May 1948, when Israel
attained its independence. This year the Israelis attempted to
forestall the furor that arose in connection with the 1958
parade in Jerusalem by apprising the UN Truce Supervision
Organization, and through it the Jordanians, of their plans,
stressing that the heavy equipment to be shown is only for
ceremonial purposes. The Mixed Armistice Commission
(MAC) subsequently condemned the,-Israelis for using tanks
and heavy artillery in the 17 March rehearsal.
A Baghdad newspaper reported on 14 April that the Arab
states might hold a joint military parade in the Arab sector of
Jerusalem, with Jordan providing the major force and smaller
contingents representing other Arab armies. [he Jordanian
foreign minister has since said that his government has def-
initely decided not to hold a "retaliatory" parade. However, he
pointed out that failure to do anything would be interpreted both
in Jordan and elsewhere in.the Arab world either as weakness
or as yielding to pressure from the United States?
On 15 April Jordan submitted a new complaint to the MAC
regarding the Israeli heavy equipment which already is in
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Jerusalem for the parade. The MAC indicated it would first
consider a prior Israeli complaint on alleged Jordanian vio-
lations. The Israeli press, meanwhile, has been criticizing
the UN Truce Supervision Organization for making an "issue"
of the parade. A Foreign Ministry spokesman has said publicly
that Israel will cancel its parade if Jordan will implement those
clauses of the armistice agreement dealing with free Israeli
access to the Wailing Wall and the Mount Scopus enclave.
The UN partition of Palestine on 29 November 1947 provided
for putting the city of Jerusalem and its environs under direct
international administration. The ensuing Arab-Israeli war
prevented the carrying out of this resolution, but the General
Assembly reaffirmed its recommendation on 9 December 1949.
In accordance with these acts, the United States does not reco
nize Israel's claim to Jerusalem as the Israeli capital.
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THE PRESIDEN
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
The Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
The Scientific Adviser to the President
The Director of the Budget
The Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization
The Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Administration
The Counselor and Chairman of the Policy Planning Council
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Ai,r Force
The Assistant Secretary of Defense (International Security Affairs)
The Assistant to Secretary of Defense (Special Operations)
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
U.S. Rep., Military Committee and Standing Group, NATO
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Director, The Joint Staff
The Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
The Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
The Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
The Department of Justice
The Attorney General
The Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
The Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
The National Security Agency
The Director
The United States Information Agency
The Director
The National Indications Center
The Director
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