CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A006000460001-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 17
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 9, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: November 22, 1961
• Content Type: REPORT

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22 November 1961
Copy No. C 90
25
M-Mou"lin
DIA HAS NO OBJECTION TO DECLASSIFICATION AND RELEASE.
/ DIA review(s) completed.
0 TOP SECRET
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22 November 1961
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
CONTENTS
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2. South Vietnam: Casualty figures for South Vietnamese forces
have shown marked increase in past two months. (Page it)
3. USSR: Moscow's agreement to resume negotiations on. nuclear
test ban appears primarily motivated by propaganda consid-
25X1 erations. (Page it)
7. France: De Gaulle encountering difficulties in his campaign
to gain broader support from armed services. (Page tv)
8. Nonaligned Nations: Talks among Nehru, Nasir, and Tito in
Cairo apparently accomplished little other than to maintain
outward show of cooperation. (Page t v)
9. Thailand: Government officials increasingly concerned over
Communist exploitation of unrest in northeastern provinces.
(Page v)
10. Late Item: Communist construct barriers at autobahn check-
point, (Page vt)
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
22 November 1961
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South Vietnam: Casualty figures for South Vietnamese
forces in the past two months have shown a striking increase
over previous monthly averages. Casualties for the whole of
1961 will probably be about 13,000, almost double last year's
total. The greatest increase has been in the number killed,
although the figures for wounded, captured, and desertions
have also risen significantly. Losses are greatest among
civil guard and self-defense forces, but the proportion suf-
fered by the regular army is growing.
The South Vietnamese Government estimates that Viet
Cong casualties in 1961 will be about 18,000, 50 percent above
the 1960 figure. The disproportionate increase in the govern-
ment casualty rate may be the result of more accurate report-
ing by government sources effort to publicize the scale
of the Viet Cong en.
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INH
USSR: There is no evidence that Moscow intends to change
its position on a nuclear test ban agreement when negotiations
are resumed in Geneva on 28 November. The USSR's agree-
ment to resume negotiations appears primarily intended to off-
set the adverse nonbloc reaction to the recent Soviet test series
and to place itself in a position to charge that continuation of
the US testing program is responsible for the intensification
of the nuclear armaments race. The USSR may also propose
that the new. round of negotiations be accompanied by a mora-
torium on all nuclear testing. The Soviet note drew attention
to Khrushchev's remarks during the 7 November Kremlin re-
ception at which he warned that "there will be more Soviet tests
if the West goes on testing." (Backup, Page 2)
22 Nov 61
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on
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France: De Gaulle's present campaign to gain broader
suppoFt -from the French armed services- -to be climaxed
on 23 November at Strasbourg when he addresses nearly
3 000 officers and noncoms assembled from France, Ger-
many, Algeria, and overseas--has apparently not yet pro-
duced the desired effect. Officers attending the advanced
military schools in Paris, who heard De Gaulle's 14 Novem-
ber talk stressing the armed forces' responsibility to the
nation and the need for a national nuclear striking force, were
reportedly disappointed over his failure to mention Algeria
MATO nnd nthpr tonics of interest to them. I I
25
i4ona 1 n tions. The talks held by Nehru, -N-asir,
2 5 X I
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Tito in Ciir arently accomplished little
o on 19 November app
'----A A
other than to maintain an outward show of cooperation among,
.22 Nov 61 DAILY BRIEF iv
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BURMA
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22 Nov 61 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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their three countries.
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ON
Tito also apparently failed to get the support he desired
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noted only the general need "to strengthen econon,,ic coopera-
states. In a speech on 13 November, Tito had called for such
a program as the best defense against both Eastern and West-
ern economic organizations which, he claimed, threaten the
independence of the uncommitted states. However, the com-
munique issued at the conclusion of the three leaders' talks
for a program of economic cooperation among the nonaligned
tion among all countries"
Thailand: Thai officials are increasingly concerned over
Communist exp oitation of unrest in the northeastern provinces.
Communists continue to be very ac-
tive despite government a orts to suppress them, andi
Readership is being provided by the Pathet Lao. Prime
Minister Sarit's reluctance to support the establishment of a
neutral regime in Laos is linked to his fear that a neutralist
government would facilitate infiltration and subversion in Thai-
land and to his knowledge that the population in the northeast
feels closer bonds with the residents of the Mekong valley than
with Bangkok.
22 Nov 61 DAILY. BRIE F
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HO
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*Berlin: (information as of 0330 EST) According to re-
ports from American officials in Berlin, the Communists
have placed steel beams in a zig-zag pattern across the
Helmstedt autobahn near the checkpoint at Babelsberg at
its eastern end just before it enters West Berlin. The only
purpose of this barrier as so far constructed seems to be
to slow down traffic. The barrier is reported to be on.the
strip between the Soviet and US checkpoints and to have been
constructed only on the lane incoming from West Germany.
No such barriers have apparently been erected at the western
end of the autobahn at Helmstedt. This reported construc-
tion is similar to the barriers put in place at the Friedrich-
strasse inter-Berlin sector crossing point in connection with
recent attempts by the East Berlin police to institute docu-
mentary control over official western vehicular traffic when
the passengers were in civilian dress.
There have been no indications of change in the Commu-
nist position that pending a separate treaty or a negotiated
settlement, allied access to West Berlin will remain under
Soviet control. It is possible that the construction is simply
intended as a reminder of the Soviet position that Western
"procrastination" on negotiations with the USSR will result
in unilateral Soviet action--a separate treaty followed by the
turnover of access controls to the East Germans. However,
recent actions within the city of Berlin suggest that the Com-
munists could be preparing attempts to establish East German
control over official Western autobahn travelers proceeding 25X1
West Berlin in civilian dress.- I
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USSR Agrees to Resume Nuclear Test Talks
The Soviet leaders' decision to accept the US-UK pro-
posal for an immediate resumption of the Geneva talks
probably was based on the assumption that this would pro-
vide the most effective forum for exploiting any US decision
to undertake atmospheric testing and for counteracting the
damaging effects of the Soviet test series on the USSR's
image abroad. The TASS statement of 5 November, in re-
sponse to President Kennedy's 2 November statement re-
garding preparations for US atmospheric testing in the event
such measures become necessary, charged that the US "is
preparing to resume nuclear weapons tests in the atmosphere"
The USSR may also believe that the resumption of test
talks will enhance its recent moves to impress the West with
a more flexible Soviet approach to negotiations on Berlin and
Germany.
The Soviet note marks some retreat from the position the
USSR has maintained since the Vienna meeting between Khru-
shchev and President Kennedy in June, in which the Soviet pre-
mier contended that the questions of a test ban and general
disarmament should be solved "interdependently." Subsequent
Soviet pronouncements implied that the nuclear testing issue
could be considered only in the context of general and complete
disarmament. Although Moscow has now agreed to resume
separate negotiations on testing, the Soviet note sought to re-
tain the link with general disarmament by observing that the
US, Britain, and the USSR have all "proclaimed as their com-
mon goal universal and complete disarmament:' It also stated
that the USSR's agreement to return to the Geneva talks rests
on the assumption that the UN General Assembly in the near
future will "adopt a decision on the resumption of negotiations
on the whole complex of questions pertaining to general and
complete disarmament and on the setting up of an organ in
which such negotiations can be conducted:'
While the Soviet leaders have found it expedient to resume
separate talks on a test ban treaty, they probably will take the
position that no final agreement can be concluded unless prog-
ress is made in the general disarmament field. This position
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was implied in the TASS statement of 5 November which re-
affirmed the USSR's readiness to sign a general disarmament
treaty, "on the basis of which nuclear weapons tests would
also be discontinued once and for all. . .
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Albanian Trade Probes in the West
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Albanian economic overtures earlier this year to France
and Italy, the only two West European countries with which it
has diplomatic relations, have had little result. Italian firms
have agreed to sell two chemical fertilizer plants-one of
which reportedly was originally to have been built by the USSR--
and a cargo ship. However, presumably because of severe
economic difficulties and a shortage of hard currencies, Tirana
has not yet concluded a 1961-62 trade agreement with Rome.
7Lat
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t
b
n
er,
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c
o
the Albanian minister o trade offered to buy, for cas ,
grain and hides from Turkey and proposed that a Turkish del-
egation visit Albania with a view to a possible Turkish-Albanian
trade agreemefttA Apparently there have been no results thus far
from the Albanian approaches to Francetr Turkey.
World War II--but followed such statements within a few days
Albania's grain production in recent years has been low,
and, although this year's harvest may be better, Tirana will
still have to rely on imports to satisfy its normal. requirements,
During the year ending 30 June, Communist China provided
about 75 percent of Albania's grain imports, practically all of
which Peiping purchased from free world sources.
Tirana made an attempt to sound out Washington on diplo-
matic relations on 28 July when Liria, organ of a Communist-
dominated Albanian emigre group in the US, called for develop-
ment of "diplomatic, friendly, and trade relations" with the US.
Prior to that, Albanian leaders had occasionally stated their
willingness to establish relations with the US--nonexistent since
with renewed anti-US propaganda attacks.
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THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Counsel to the President
Military Representative of the President
the Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
The Scientific Adviser to the President
The Director of the Budget
The Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization
The Director, National Aeronatuics and Space Administration
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Counselor and Chairman of the Policy Planning Council
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Under Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Assistant Secretary of Defense (International Security Affairs)
The Assistant Secretary of Defense
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
U.S. Rep., Military Committee and Standing Group, NATO
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
The Director, The Joint Staff
The Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
The Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
The Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
The Department of Justice
The Attorney General
The Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
The Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
The National Security Agency
The Director
The United States Information Agency
The Director
The National Indications Center
The Director
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