CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A006900180001-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 1, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: March 21, 1963
• Content Type: REPORT

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21 March 1963
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
CONTENTS
1. USSR: Penkovsky trial may have political re-
percussions in top Soviet leadership. (Page 1)
USSR-Cuba: New indications that Moscow faces
difficulties and conflicting pressures concerning
Cuba. (Page 3)
M
5. Indonesia: Communists exploit popular issues
even at risk of offending: Sukarno. (Page 6)
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7. South Korea: Tension between junta. and civilian
leaders builds toward a major clash.. (Page 8)
8. Notes: Com-
munist China - UK; Hungary; Guatemala; Libya.
(Page 9)
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CENTRAL. INTELLIGENLE BULLETIN
21 March 1963
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USSR: (An upcoming spy trial in Moscow may
have political repercussions in the highest levels
of the Soviet leadership)
(According to rumors in Moscow, the trial of
Oleg Penkovsky, a Soviet official accused last fall
of spying for. the West, is imminent. Several high-
ranking officials are said to be implicated. The
American Embassy believes it possible. that some
top-level political figures are manipulating the af-
fair in order to discredit or perhaps disgrace others
with whose pplicy views they disagree'
Army General Ivan
Serov, head of the main intelligence directorate of
the Defense Ministry and former head of the secret
police, is in serious trouble and may be in prison
because his daughter made two trips to Western
Europe with Penkovsky and brought back gifts for
several high-ranking officials. Serov had a close
relationship in the past with Khrushchev.)
I erov's involve-
ment in the air has caused difficulties for Defense
Minister Malinovsky. Soviet General Staff Chief
Zakharov may also be implicated. A recent uncon-
firmed report alleges that he has been removed
enkovsky was an officer in the USSR State
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Committee for Coordination of Scientific Research.
His friendship with his. immediate superior, Dzherma&
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(Gvishiani, is said to have "hurt" Soviet First Deputy
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Premier Aleksey Kosygin. Gvishiani is Kosygin's
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son-in-law)
VMM (izvestia on 15 December claimed that Penkovsky
had given "foreign knickknacks" to his superiors and 25X
made veiled reats against the latter for t" k
of vigilance
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*USSR-Cuba: (The difficulties and conflicting
pressures Moscow faces in dealing with Cuba were
again reflected
the Cuban problem remains
one of Moscow's main preoccupations because the
USSR's prestige is heavily involved and because
Cuba plays a significant role in the Sino-Soviet dis-
pute)
oscow's aim in strengthening Cuba's defenses,
is to make Cuba invulnerable to an attack
by any Latin American country, provided that the
attack did not have US support.
President Kennedy is unlikely to order a
direct attack at this stage and that US actions, there.-
fore, will be ' citing internal revolution
in Cuba. Moscow is confident that
the Castro regime can meet this threat.
Raul Castro and Che Guevara, who "thoroughly
control" the regime, have Moscow's complete con-
fidencej
the withdrawal
of "several thousand Soviet technicians" in mid-March
was the result of US pressure.
these technicians had completed their training mission
and that their departure was publicized to give the
appearance of a Soviet contribution to good relations
with the US. Dadditional technicians will be
withdrawn as soon as their missions are accomplished
and Cuban military units are aualified
.
weapons
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Indonesia: (The Indonesian Communist Party is
exploiting popular issues for its own advancement
even at the risk of offending President Sukarno)
the rising cost of living and urged Communist par-
ticipation in the cabinet)
Militants in the Indonesian Communist Party
have 6 long opposed chairman Aidit's policy of almost
unqualified support of Sukarno. Their position gradu-
ally has been strengthened by both international
Communist and domestic developments. The stu-
dent demonstrations may indicate that the party
A Communist- influenced student demonstration
n Bandung, Java, yesterday reportedly protested
intends using more forceful tactics.
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will not be determined by a "handful of short-witted
foreign officials who attempt mecha icall to apply
.. dogmas of democracy to Korea."
Ho Chong refused to meet with Pak, and former Presi-
dent Yun Po-sun rejected the offer out-of-hand. Sub-
sequently, the two attempted to lead a mass demon-
stration in Seoul protesting extension of Pak's rule.
As could have been expected, there has been an
increasing tendency to hold the US responsible for
the present difficulties. The government newspaper
has expressed the hope that the country's destiny
n the successor government. Presidential aspirant
South Korea: (Tension between junta leader Pak
Chong-hui and civilian leaders who support an early
return to representative government is building to-
ward a major clash)
(Pak, on 19 March, gave the civilian leaders 12
days to consider an offer to reverse his recent de-
cision to extend military rule, provided that "cor-
rupt politicians" would agree not to run for office
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to Britain.
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Communist China - uK: Peiping 's Vice'Ainister
of. Foreign Trade Lu Hsu-chang, who arrives in London
on 21 March, may conclude contracts for commer-
cial aircraft and some industrial equipment, proba-
bly fertilizer plants. During the past year numerous
Chinese technical groups have toured Western Europe
assessing industrial equipment. Lu is the highest-
ranking Chinese Communist ever to make an official
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gary:
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-I th-e-Kadar regime will announce an amnesty
on 4 April. Presumably this refers to an amnesty
of the remaining prisoners from the 1956 revolution
whose release is'a precondition for an improvement
in Hungarian relations with the US and the UN.
Western diplomats in Budapest have bee expecting
an announcement of some such amnestv.1
*Guatemala-' Casting about for ways to prevent
the r6-tu-rn of-leftist ex-President Arevalo on 31
March, Guatemalan army officers and political
opposition leaders may be setting the stage for the
declaration of a state of siege. They reason that
such action would deny Arevalo the protection of
constitutional guarantees and give the army power
to prohibit the gathering of a crowd to welcome him.
Both the army and opposition leaders fear that a
popular reception for Arevalo would increase his
chances- -already considered good--of again being
nrPsident
Libya: The new go,6ernment formed on 19 March
is unlikely to make any significant change in Libya's
pro-Western orientation. Muhi al-Din Fikini, the
38-year-old prime minister who previously was
ambassador to the US and Libya's permanent representa-
tive at the United Nations, will probably be a more
vigorous leader than his predecessor. Fikini and
two other new ministers have been linked with the
ambitious royal chamberlain, who opposes the crown
prince and favors the creation'of a republican form
of government n 74-year-old IQng Idris dies.
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timate:
NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE
(The United States Intelligence Board, on 20 March
1963, approved the following national intelligence es-
NIE 11-5-63: "Soviet Economic Problems'
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 Approved For R
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Counsel to the President
The Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
The Scientific Adviser to the President
The Director of the Budget
The Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Counselor and Chairman of the Policy Planning Council
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Under Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Assistant Secretary of Defense (International Security Affairs)
The Assistant Secretary of Defense
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
U.S. Rep., Military Committee and Standing Group, NATO
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
Commander in Chief, Atlantic
The Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
The Director, The Joint Staff
The Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
The Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
The Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
The Department of Justice
The Attorney General
The Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
The Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
The National Security Agency
The Director
The United States Information Agency
The Director
The National Indications Center
The Director
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