CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A007000020001-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 17
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 13, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: April 26, 1963
• Content Type: REPORT

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26 April 1963
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26 April 1963
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
CONTENTS
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USSR-Laos: Soviet tactics in Laos reflect a
desire to avoid antagonizing the Chinese Com-
munists. (Page 2)
4. India-Pakistan: Resolution of the Kashmir prob-
lem appears to be as remote as ever. (Page 4)
British Guiana: Continuation of the current gen-
eral strike may lead to serious violence. (Page 7)
8. Somali Republic: The government may be pre-
paring to extend its. relations with the bloc.
(Page 8)
7.
10, Notes: West Germany; Turkey. (Page 10)
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USSR-Laos: (Moscow's tactics in blocking action
by the Geneva co-chairmen to ease tensions in Laos
apparently stem primarily from the Soviet leaders'
desire to avoid complicating their problem in dealing
with the Chinese Communists at this juncture in the
Sino-Soviet conflict
(Ambassador Kohler suggests that the fighting
between the Pathet Lao and Kong Le forces has con.-
fronted the USSR with the sort of decision it wishes
to avoid during this period of exchanges with Peiping OR/,
01
regarding bilateral negotiations. He also feels that
Moscow-has been embarrassed by Pathet Lao aggres-
siveness and has been forced into a position of cov-
25X
ering up for Pathet Lao policy which it does not fully
ON approve
(Kohler doubts that the USSR can exert sufficient
pressure on the Pathet Lao to permit a return to the
status quo ante and stabilization of the situation in
the Plaine des Jarres
(Despite Moscow's uncooperative attitude and its
charges that the US is sabotaging the Geneva agree-
ments of 1962, it is unlikely that the Soviet leaders
have decided to reverse their policy in Laos and seek
to destroy Premier Souvannals coalition government.
They probably see considerable advantages in main- 25X1
taining the Geneva facade and prefer tactics of grad-
ual erosion of neutralist strength which avoid the
risks of escalation of the fighting and a great power
confrontation in Laos.
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A solution of the Kashmir prob-
India-Pakistan: 6
lem appears as remote as ever following the fifth
round of Indo-Pakistani negotiations J.
firtually no substantive progress was made
during the talks in Karachi concluded on 25 April.
The two delegations agreed to meet for a sixth round
in New Delhi on 15 May. Neither side wants to bear
the onus for breaking off the negotiations, and each
prefers to delay any major move until after Secre-
tary Rusk's visit to the subcontinent from 29 April
to 3 Afty
(New Delhi's attitude has hardened during the
past week. Although Indian leaders would like to
keep the dialogue going, they apparently still feel
that a settlement of the dispute and better relations
with Pakistan are not worth the price of major ter-
ritorial concessions in Kashmir. IF
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British Guiana: (No settlement of the general
strike--now in its sixth day--is yet in sight, and
there is still a possibility that serious violence may
break out)
Premier Jagan and the Trades Union Council
(TUC) are continuing to negotiate on the government's
controversial labor relations bill, which caused the
strike. The bill was passed by the lower house of
the legislature on 22 April. Senate action on the bill
is scheduled for 30 April, and its passage and sub-
tions against Jagan.
The TUC apparently intends to attempt to con-
tinue the strike for at least two weeks. However,
its strike funds are short, and support for the strike
by its largest affiliate, the Manpower Citizens As-
sociation, whose rank and file is pro-Jagan, is not
solid. Spontaneous violence could Well up when
strike funds run out. If the strike begins to collapse,
the TUC leaders might resort to violent demonstra-
and Canada.
sequent endorsement by the colonial governor are
likely. Jagain has canceled his plans to visit the US
the event of a violent outbreak, London would
pro ably feel obliged to use the 600 troops it has in
the colony to uphold legal government. The expecta-
tion that this would be the case might cause govern-
ment supporters to start trouble deliberately, Lon-
don has already alerted reinforcements.
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Somali Republic: The Somali Government ap-
pears to be preparing to expand its relations with
Communist China and the Soviet bloc.
Prime Minister Abdirascid has accepted an in-
vitaion to visit Peiping within the next few months,
probably in large part because he believes that
Western sources will not furnish the quantity of
arms that the Somalis want in order to pursue their
border disputes with Ethiopia and Kenya. A US
military survey team has been in Somalia, and in-
termittent discussions of Somali arms requests are
being held with Italy and West Germany as well)
The Chinese Communists will. almost certainly
offer small arms and training personnel to the Somalis,
.as they have before, but Abdirascid probably will try
to delay accepting until. after the West has made its
offer. The USSR probably h s. not gone beyond gen-
eralized offers of arms aid
Mogadiscio.
President Aden, meanwhile, has accepted in
principle an invitation to visit Bulgaria. A Somali
parliamentary delegation returned last week from
Bulgaria and the USSR, impressed with the red-car.-
pet treatment it received, and the Somali cabinet
has granted Aeroflot's request for landing rights at
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NOTES
West Germany: (Bundestag President Gersten-
maier has stated he will call off the plenary session
of the Bundestag in Berlin, which he originally
planned to convene during the 20-22 May period.
Gerstenmaier told UK Ambassador Roberts on 24
April that he could understand Allied objections
that a session would be unnecessarily irritating to
the Soviet Union. He said he anticipates that pres-
sure would arise again next October for a Bundes-
tag meeting in Berlin. )
. Turke : At least a limited purge of potentially
dissident officers may be under way in the Turkish
armed forces. A number of army and navy person-
nel, one of whom was associated with the abortive
coup of 22 February 1962, have been arrested.
However, the leader of the coup attempt last year--
who is also said to be a key figure in current plot-
ting--has sent word to the US Embassy that none of
his present group is involved, although other officers 25X1
in the Ankara area have been implicated in plotting.
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 Approved
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Counsel to the President
The Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
The Scientific Adviser to the President
The Director of the Budget
The Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy) Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Counselor and Chairman of the Policy Planning Council
The Direct r of Intelligence and Research
The Treasury Dep rtment
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Under cretary of the Treasury
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy; Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Assistant Secretary of Defense (International Security Affairs)
The Assistant Secretary of Defense
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Commandanjt, United States Marine Corps
U.S. Rep., j Military Committee and Standing Group, NATO
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander, in Chief, Pacific
Commander in Chief, Atlantic
The Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
The Director, The Joint Staff
The Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
The Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
The Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
The Department of Justice
The Attorney General
The Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
The Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
The National Security Agency
The Director
The United States Information Agency
The Director
The National Indications Center
The Director
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