CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A007100170001-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 19, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: July 3, 1963
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2002/05/16: CIA-RDP79T00975A0071 1
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3 July 1963
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3 July 1963
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
C C7NTE NTS
USSR: Khrushchev speech marks shift in So-
viet test-ban position. (Page 1)
2. South Korea: Security chief is reported plan-
ning acoup. (Page 2)
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4. East Germany: Decree giving regime powers
to establish prohibited areas reportedly promul-
gated. (Page 4)
25X1 5. Notes:
(Page 5)
North Vietnam; Argentina.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETfN
3 July 1963
. DAILY- BRIE
*USSR: Khrushchev's 2 July speech in East.
Berlin contains a proposal designed to give the
forthcoming three-power test-ban talks in Moscow
an appearance of increased scope and promise.
In a marked shift in the Soviet position, Khru-?
shchev dropped his long-standing insistence that
an indefinite moratorium on underground testing
accompany an agreement to ban nuclear testing in
the atmosphere, outer space and under water.
This shift, taken together with another favorable
comment on President Kennedy's 10 June speech,
is intended~to convey a constructive approach to
East-West relations.
coming Sino-Soviet talks.
rioration of intrabloc relations following the up-
The new proposal, however, calls for a NATO
- Warsaw Pact nonaggression treaty to be signed
"simultaneously" with the partial test ban agree-
ment. This move appears to be aimed at ~.chieving
a bargaining advantage at the outset of the talks be-
ginning on 15 July. Khrushchev eventually may in-
dicate awillingness to modify or drop. this link
should he feel the need to achieve some success
.for his- "peaceful coexistence" strategy.
The general tenor of the proposal reflects the
Soviet leader's. desire- to hold the door open to the
West against the prospect of ~.n even sharper dete-
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South Korea: ~outh Korean ,security chief Kim
Chae-chun is reported to be planning a coup agains
junta leader Pak Chong.-hui, possibly for 6-7 July.
Kim Chae-chun, who has been losing ground in
a struggle with former security chief Kim Chong-pil's
group over control of the government political ap-
paratus, allegedly intends to set up an interim gov- .
ernment which would call for free general el~ctions~
The Kim Chong-pil faction has previously .made
charges of coup plots in order to remove rivals,
and the present plot could have been fabricated to
remove Kim Chae-chun. Relations between Pak and
his present security chief have deteriorated, and
Pak too may be. seeking an excuse to replace him. "
Whether the plot is real or fabricated, its reve-
lation might be used by the regime to justify an ex-
tension of military rule beyond late this year, when
Korea is tentat vel scheduled to return. to civilian
administration.,
~ July 63
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*East Germany: The reported promulgation of a
decree granting the East German Minister of Defense
full powers to establish prohibited areas is another
step by the ~[7lbricht regime toward its goal of achiev-
ing full national sovereignty.
On the basis of initial Western press reports, the
terms of the decree, whose- publication in the official
- Law Gazette brings it legally into force, appear to be
sweeping. The. press reports do not indicate whether
orders have been issued to implement the: decree, but
if fully implemented, it could affect both Allied ground
and-air access, to West Berlin and. the movement of mil-
itary mission personhel in East Germany.
It appears that. the most significant section of the
decree is that relating to the establishment of .prohibited
air zones. While this ?'power" could be used to inter-
fere.with the three Allied air corridors over East Ger-
many, the- decree is more. likely to be applied initially
only to the -air space over East Berlin. Possibly to
justify such action, the decree provides for establish-
ment of prohibited air- zones over "important political
centers!' The regime claims East: Berlin is "the capi-
tal of the GDR" and it is expected to be legally incorpo-
rated into East Germany later this year.
The establishment of a prohibited air zone over
;East Berlin would also be designed to deny Western air-
- craft the use of that portion. of the Berlin Control Zone-
ich asses over the Soviet sector.
3 Judy G3
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allegiance to Peiping apparently also failed to swan
NOTES
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t:o steer a middle course in the Sino-Soviet dispute,
despite heavy pressure from Peiping and Pyongyang
for explicit North Vietnamese support... In its first
opportunity to register an official position since the
May visit of Liu Shao-chi to North Vietnam, Hanoi
refused to side with Communist China and North
Korea in either attacking or voting agai~ast the pro-
Soviet resolution of the Moscow World Women's
Congress. A recent high-level North Korean dele-
gation to North Vietnam which sought. to encourage. 25X1
North Vietnamo Hanoi is continuing its. a or s
anoi.
*Argentinae With general elections to be held in
four days' time, tension is running high. Several
groups, mostly Peronists, are reportedly still plot-
ting to disrupt the elections, but they do not seem at
this time to be strong enough or sufficiently well
coordinated to have much chance of succeeding. The
armed forces, ..taking no chances, are implementing
a comprehensive security plan which is to eke tin
effect until the critical period has passed;
=uy HR
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NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATES
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The United States Intelligence Board, on 28 June
and 2 July, respectively, approved the following na-
tional intelligence estimstes:
NIE 4-63. "Likelihood and Consequences of
a Proliferation of Nuclear Wea -
ons Systems" 25X1
NIE 11-2-fi3: "The Sovie .Atomic- Energy
Pro ram"
3 July 63 DAILY BRIEF
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Ti1E PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Counsel to the President
The Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
The Scientific Adviser to the President
The Director of the Budget
The Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Counselor and Chairman of the Policy Planning Council
The Director of Intelligence and Research
Tha: Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Under Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Assistant Secretary of Defense (International Security Affairs)
The Assistant Secretary of Defense
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
U.S. Rep., Military Committee and Standing Group, NATO
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
Commander in Chief, Atlantic
The Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
The Director, The Joint Staff
The Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
The Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
The Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
The Department of Justice
The Attorney General
The Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
The Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairmar
The National Security Agency
The Director
The United States Information Agency
The Director
The National Indications Center
The Director
Approved
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