CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A007300260001-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 11, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: October 29, 1963
• Content Type: REPORT

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Army and State Department
review(s) completed.
GROUP 1
Excluded from automatic
downgrading and
declassification
Cody INTO; C'.
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 29 October 1963
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
CONTENTS
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Chile-Argentina. (Page
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3. Pakistan-Indian Tensions are increasing along
the cease fire line in Kashmir. (Page 3)
4. Dahomeyo Chief of Staff Soglo heads provisional
government. (Page 4)
5. Common Market: France seeks US support to get
West German acceptance of low EEC grain-support
price. (Page 5)
6. Brazil: Troubled labor situation may soon worsen.
(Page 6)
7. Notes> India; Communist China; 25X1
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Pakistan-India: Mutual recriminations between
Pakistan and India are increasing tensions along the
j cease-fire line in Kashmir.
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Officials of each government now claim to have
firm intelligence that the other side is strengthening
its forces along the line. UN observers in the area
are checking these reports but no assessment is avail-
able yet.
Pakistani mili-
tary leaders are again giving some consideration to
limited paramilitary action against the Indian-held.
portion of Kashmir, Such reports cannot be entirely
discounted, in view of the fear in Karachi that time
is against Pakistan on the Kashmir issue and the re-
cent aggravating Indian-Kashmir proposals for fuller
integration of the Indian portion of the disputed ter-
ritory.
The Ayub regime will continue to be cautious,
however, because the possible political consequences
and. its concern that local clashes might escalate into
a broader military confrontation in which India would.
' 1' u eri ri
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29 Oct 63 CENTRAL IN'I'ELL:[GENCE BULLETIN Map
 *Dahomey: A four-man provisional government,
led by Army Chief of Staff Soglo, assumed power on
28 October following ex-president Malta's resignation.
Soglo has taken over the key ministries of De-
fense, Interior, Security, and Information, with the
other functions of the government divided among Malta,
ex-vice president Apithy, and a former National As-
sembly president Ahomadegbe. There is no indica-
tion of the intended duration of the provisional gov-
ernment.
A three-man provisional government led by Malta
and including Apithy and Ahomadegbe, which had been
formed on 27 October, was dissolved on 28 October
because of continued pressures from trade unions de-
manding Malta's resignation. The inclusion of Malta
as a minister in the new provisional government re-
flects afear on the part of the military leaders that
the removal, of Malta--the political spokesman for
northern tribesmen--would aggravate the north-south
split which exists in Dahomey. Apithy and Ahomadegbe,
leaders of the two rival southern factions in Dahomey's
long-standing, three-cornered power struggle, also
appear to favor Malta's retention as a minister in the
provisional government.
An unfavorable reaction on the part of the union-
ists to Malta's retention in the new provisional govern-
ment will increase the possibility of civil disorder
arising from the north-south split.
There are now indications that even the military
leaders are beginning to divide on regional lines. The
possibility of a north-south split among army leaders
would greatly increase the threat of civil disorder.
29 Oct 63 DAILY BRIE
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Common Market: France is trying to enlist US
support in pressing West Germany to agr e on a rel-
atively low EEC support price for grain
According to a ranking French official, all the
EE ountries except Germany are prepared to ac-
cept aloes wheat price. In making an appeal for US
assistance in the effort to get Bonn to give way, he
Yield out the possibility that aworld-wide trade agree-
ment on grains could be concluded by the end of 1964.
Paris, which expects major economic benefits
from EC agricultural integration, has long recog-
nized that agreement on a common price for grains
i.s the key question involved. Because of growing in-
flation, however, it is increasingly reluctant to com-
prom'se on a level higher than the present French
price.
~rench willingness to proceed with talks on grain
in the context of the "Kennedy Round" contrasts with,
but is not necessarily in contradiction to, Paris' foot-
dragging on other aspects of the forthcoming tariff ne-
gotiations--notably, the ru es for reducing world-wide
tariffs on industrial items.~~
29 Oct 63 DAILY BRIEF 5
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29 Oct 63 CENTRAL I]VTELL~:[GENCE BULLETIN Map
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NOTES
Indian New Delhi reportedly is planning before
the end of 63 to deploy two regular army divisions
in the Northeast Frontier Agency (NEFA), which has
been unoccupied since the Chinese withdrawal last
winter. These divisions, now stationed. in the Assam
valley, are to be replaced by two newly raised divi-
sions. It is not clear how close to the McMahan Line
the Indians plan to take up positions, but they will
probably move cautiousl to avoid. tri erin a Chi-
nese militar reaction.
Communist China: Foreign Minister Chen I is
reported to have told a visiting group of Japanese
newsmen on 28 October that it may be "several years"
before China can test its first nuclear device, and it
might take "many more years" before China could
mass-produce atomic bombs or acquire a sophisti-
cated delivery capability. Previous reports that
Chen I had privately predicted a nuclear test before
the end of 1963 now appear to have been inaccurate.
The new statement is consistent with the current US
estimate that China probably could not detonate its
first nuclear device before 1964 with 1965 or 1966
bei more likely.
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29 Oct 63 CENTRAL II~i'I'ELLIGENCE BULLETIN Map
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i e- rgen ana: Mounting Chilean resentment over
an Argentine incursion in the Palena region of southern
Chile is threatening to rekindle an old border dispute.
Despite the fact the situation is not viewed as serious
in Argentina, the Chilean Air Force is already flying
reconnaissance missions over the area and the local
garrison reportedly has been reinforced. Also, the ~JS
Army mission in Santiago has been questioned regard-
ing restrictions which might apply to the use of a MAP-
e e 'near unit in Palena.
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THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Counsel to the President
The Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
The Scientific Adviser to the President
The Director of the Budget
The Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Counselor and Chairman of the Policy Planning Council
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Under Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Assistant Secretary of Defense (International Security Affairs)
The Assistant Secretary of Defense
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
U . S. Rep . , Mi I i tary Committee and Standing Group, NATO
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
Commander in Chief, Atlantic
The Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
The Director, The Joint Staff
The Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
The Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
The Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
The Department of Justice
The Attorney General
The Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
The Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
The National Security Agency
The Director
The United States Information Agency
The Director
The National Indications Center
The Director
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