CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A007500040001-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 19
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 14, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: February 1, 1964
• Content Type: REPORT

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1 February 1964
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
CONTENTS
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2. South Vietnam: Public reaction to the coup ap-
pears mixed. (Page 3)
3. France: De Gaulle seeks to induce Taipei to
withdraw representation in Paris. (Page 4)
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9.. Rwanda-Burundi: Armed clashes may occur.
(Page 10)
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5. Congo: Rebel operations apparently well planned.
(Page 6)
6. Communist China - Hong Kong: Peiping offers
to solve Hong Kong's water problem. (Page 7)
7. British Guiana: Jagan youth organization may
incite new violence. (Page 8)
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11. Notes: OAS-Venezuela; Angola-Cuba;
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*South Vietnam: nitial public reaction to the
30 January coup appears mixe
aigon is quiet with apparent tacit acceptance of
the soup but no open demonstrations of public enthu-
sias
on ,
e Vie
lar g over1111 ent LV oppose
~7V
The mixed reaction of the civilian populace to the
coup may have a counterpart among the military, al-
though there is no known countercoup activity afoot. j
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Except for for-
mer junta chairman General "Big" Minh, the arrested /
generals are reported to have been transferred to the j
port of Danang in the north
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th
of the military to develop a strong, stable and popu-
s
s
he American consul in Hue reports that the coup IN1111,
has shaken the confidence of many people in the ability
the policies of the Diem regim
Reports from the northern city of Hue indicate
some positive and some negative response, with most
of the people taking a "wait and see" attitude. Support
for the change is based on concern over the progress
of the war and fear of neutralism. Criticism stems
from the considerable popularity of the deposed junta
leaders and some feeling, particularly among Bud-
dhists and students, that the change is a reversion to
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*France: A major aim in De Gaulle's press con-
ference yesterday was to induce Taipei to withdraw
its claim to represent China in Paris.
VAile he stressed his high regard for Chiang Kai-
shek as a person, he nevertheless emphasized the de
facto control Peiping has exerted for fifteen years over
"almost the whole of China." His intent was probably
to set the stage for a demarche he reportedly plans
to make to Chiang.
j
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Chinese Nationalist charge a aires is to be informed
that his government cannot claim to represent China,
but that De Gaulle is willing to maintain relations with
Chiang sui generis through the charge.
By referring to Peiping's control over "almost
the whole of China" he accepted the contention of both
Peiping and Taipei that Taiwan is part of China. He
thereby implicitly accepted Peiping's claim to the
island, particularly since French Foreign Ministry
spokesmen have stressed the indivisibility of sover-
eignty in explaining that Paris could not recognize
both Chinese claimants as representative.
De Gaulle discounted the possibility of early eco-
nomic return from closer French-Chinese relations.
He laid great stress, however, on the outlook for
French technological assistance, professing to see
in China an infinite field for France's growing tech-
nolo
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Republic
of the Congo
National capital
Provincial capital
Undefined boundary
Area of unrest
0 100 200 Miles
0 100 200 Kilometers
s oquilhatville
a
Boundaries have been interpolated from existing neaps
and intelligence reports, and are not definitive.
31 JANUARY 1984
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1 Feb 64 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Map
 Cong :,tebel operations in Kwilu Province., a -
1 11
parently ar e I planned and continue to intens f
41ollowing a visit to the area on 30 January, Am-
bassador Gullion suggested that the rebels' methods
and strategy are more sophisticated than anything pre-
viously seen in the Cong
0
He noted that the rebellion is not a military threat
to th0government now, but he believes it is likely to
spread. The rebels, who have captured a few small
arms, are already tive in part of neighboring Kwango
Province to the sou
Fhere are some 300 government troops in the
area, but their control does not extend much beyond
the principal towns. Reinforcements--possibtv two
battalions- -will probably arrive in a week or s6)]
eports of more direct threats to Prime Minister
Adoula persist. Defense Aftister Anany is s@j to be
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organizing for a coup attempt in March or Apr,
r~_
LLThe exiled. former Katangan President Tshomb6
is reported. to be planning a convention in Madrid
about the middle of February to form a popular front
aLrainst -the reaiEdl F
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*Communist China China - Hong Hong Kon Kong; Peiping's recent
*Communist - go 's recent
offer to sell Hong Kong an additional 15 billion gallons
offer to sell Hong Kong an additional 15 billion gallons
of water per year from new mainland sources would
of water per year from new mainland. sources would
solve the critical water shortage if accepted.
solve the critical water shortage if accepted.
The Chinese proposal took the the Hong Hong Kong Govern-
The Chinese proposal took Kong Govern-
ment completely by surprise. It has expressed fears
ment completely by surprise. It has expressed. fears
that there may be strings attached, but the offer was
that there may be strings attached, but the offer was
described as remarkably "altruistic"
described. as remarkably "altruistic"
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Peiping has has been been called in
The British charge in called in
The British charg6 in Peiping
to receive details of the plan, and a delegation from
to receive details of the plan, and a delegation from
Hong Kong went to Canton on 30 January to discuss
Hong Kong went to Canton on 30 Jaanuary to discuss
the project.
The Chinese Communists probably hope to score
propaganda gains from the offer--whether accepted
or not--which will support Peiping's efforts to reduce
its political isolation by improving relations with free
world countries.
A People's Daily editorial on 21 January provided
the ideological rationale for cooperation with non-Com-
munist states by explaining that even some capitalist
countries had a common interest with China in o os-
in US "imperialist" e loitationo
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British Guiana: The Progressive Youth Organi-
zation (PYO) of Jagan's People's Progressive Party
(PPP) is planning a march on Georgetown which may
lead to violenc
iwo teams of 12 PYO members are to leave from
Georgetown today to drum up support in the back coun-
try for the march, which will pass through some pre-
dominantly Nero areas hostile to the East Indian -
dominated P1
Both teams will hold "solidarity meetings" along
the route, explain the "evils of proportional repre-
sentation" to villagers, and invite them to join the
march. The marchers expect to reach Georgetown
on 8 or 9 Februarvl
ollowing the recent acts of arson and sabotage
on the sugar estates--generally blamed on the PPP--
the planned march will add. to the increasing political
and racial tensions in the colon
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,Rwanda and Burundi
Lake I
Edward
OF THE CONGO
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Rwanda-Burundi:&Armed clashes between Rwanda
and Burundi may result from incursions of Rwandan
refugees seeking to overthrow the Rwandan Govern-
menu
ome 150,000 refugees located in the Congo, Tan-
ganyika, and Uganda, as well as Burundi, are trying
to restore their deposed king. They reportedly re-
ceive some financial assistance from Peiping
Rwanda suspects the Burundi Government of sup-
porting the refugees, and some troops have pursued.
them across the border. Burundi, for its part, is al-
ready aroused by Rwanda's summary treatment of the
refugees' fellow tribesmen in Rwanda, and is moving
up troops to prevent any further Rwandan military in-
cursiongi
Neither country can sustain extended. military
operations and they might appeal quickly for foreign
help if a direct clash occurs. The Burundi radio has
announced that Chou En-lai has accepted an invitation
to vi sit Burundi during his current African tripe
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NOTES
probab
OAS-Venezuela: Venezuelan resident Betan-
court is apparently co cerned that US support for
strong OAS action on Venezuela's charges against
Cuba may be weakening because of the opposition
of Brazil, Mexico, and Chile to firm measures.
He has urged that the US do everything possible to
obtain a majority for new measures against Cuba,
regardless of the desires of the "soft-line" group.
Prior to the Panama affair, such a majority seemed
Angola-Cuba: Angolan rebel leader Holden
Roberto, who recen ly announced his intention to
expand his contacts with both Moscow and Peiping,
apparently hopes to send a delegation to Cuba also.
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Syria: The Baathist military regime in Damascus
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may be seeking a limited rapprochement with Nasir.
The government is adopting a conciliatory line toward
Syrian political refugees in Cairo and is considering
cooperation with some pro-Nasirist groups in Syria.
The regime is concerned over the shaky domestic
political situation, and hopes to lessen its relative
isolation from the rest of the Arab world.
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