CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00975A007600310001-3
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
16
Document Creation Date: 
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date: 
November 15, 2002
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
April 23, 1964
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A007600310001-3.pdf1.06 MB
Body: 
)310001-3 23 April 1964 Copy No. CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN CURRENT INTELLIGENCE RELATING TO NATIONAL SECURITY GROUP 1 State Dept. review completed EXCLUDED FROM DECLASSIFICATIONNGRhDING P SECRET roved For Release 2003/01/29 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO076003100 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/01/29 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO07600310001-3 Approved For Release 2003/01/29 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO07600310001-3 EMNIEEWEEiiiooiooiao~~oo~ ///////////////////////E_ 10//////////////////////////// I Approved For W ease 2003/01/29 : CIA-RDP79T00975A00760031 001-3 7 r _ Y-1 23 April 1964 4? CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN CONTENTS 1, Laos: Military and political leaders search for way out of impasse. (Page 1) Panama: Arnulfo Arias' widening lead in presi- dential campaign may provoke widespread violence. (Page 4) 5. British Guiana - UK : British Labor Party may oppose government's plans for British Guiana. (Page 5) 6. Zanzibar: Foreign Minister Babu's African rivals plotting his ouster. (Page 6) 8, Burma: Ne Win courts trouble with Buddhist op- position. (Page 9) 9. Notes: USSR; Chile-Cuba; West Germany - Com- munist China. (Page 10) raWWrc~veu r Me, 25X1 25X1 ~~ 2 1 % CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 23 April 1964 *Laos:Vientiane remains outwardly calm, as Lao military and political leaders continue their efforts to resolve the current crisis he coup group has had little success in its ef- forts to win support from key military leaders out- side the capital. The majority of the Lao generals probably are waiting for a cue from General Phoumi who is now in Vientiane and in contact with the revolu- tionary committee. Several of the generals were slated to meet Wednesday in Savannakhet, possibly to plan a countercoup to be implemented if Phoumi fails to resolve the crisis through negotiation. resign it would "suffer the consequences." t:l'he Xing said he had dissuaded Souvanna, who returned to Vientiane late yesterday, to stick it out as premier. Savang also intimated that he had charged Phoumi to clean up the situation in Vientiane, by force if necessary`s Meanwhile, coup leaders express strong opposi- tion to any return to the status quo ante. General Siho, in a press interview yesterday, expressed hope that agreement could be reached "without unnecessary bloodshed," but warned that if the coalition did not "stupid" and "destructive" Eking Savang yesterday affirmed to Western diplo- mats his continued recognition of Souvanna's coalition government and characterized last Sunday's coup as 25X1 ME Approved Fo Release 2003/01/29: CIA-RDP79T00975A0 7605YOb01-3 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/01/29 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO07600310001-3 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2003/01/29 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO07600310001-3 Approved For Release 2003/01/29 : CIA-RDP79T00975A0076003 00e2bk1 j Panama: Arnulfo Arias? widening lead in the campaign for the 10 Ma.y presidential elections may provoke severe and widespread violence. US Ambassador Vaughn comments that Arias, an "egocentric mystic who regards himself as a man of destiny," is popular among the poorer classes and has become a symbol of the widespread and growing popular resentment against Panama's entrenched oligarchy. The ambassador believes that the oli- garchy, which is dividing its support between two presidential candidates, is near desperation and is likely to pull out all stops in its effort to defeat Arias. Shooting incidents involving followers of Arias and Marco Robles, the government candidate backed by the larger segment of the oligarchy, have already occurred. Still more serious violence is expected. The ambassador reports that a popular uprising could occur if the government uses its control of the election apparatus and the security forces to prevent an Arias victory. The ambassador believes that the erratic and unpredictable Arias would run a one-man, misman- aged administration. A victory for Robles, on the other hand, would prolong the power of the same interests which have long misgoverned the country. 23 Apr 64 M DAILY BRIEF 4 25X1 `2 5001 'Jelease 2003/01/29 CIA-RDP79TOO975AO07 Approved For 00 - X1 British Guiana - UK: I-In the Commons debate scheduled for 27 April the Labor Party may take a stand against the government's plan for preindepend- ence proportional representation elections in British Guiana. ,Labor's chief whip has told the US Embassy that there is strong opposition among Labor Party MPs to proportional representation as un-British, unwork- able, and, blatantly anti-Jagan. He admitted, however, that labor does not have an agreed alternative solu- tion. ,The Colonial Office is now considering holding the Guianese elections in November. An official speculated that a Labor government might decide not to stop the "already running machinery" despite its 25X1 disa roval. 23 Apr 64 Approved F DAILY BRIEF 5 0 01-3 j Approved Fo Release 2003/01/29: CIA-RDP79T00975A007600 100'1 Zanzibar: Foreign Minister Babu's absence has 25X1 encouraged his African rivals within the regime to plot his ouster and the neutralization of his predomi- nantly Arab supporters. Babu is scheduled to stop in Pakistan today for a short stay. He is en route home from a five-day visit to Indonesia. His absence has given rise to rumors that he will not be allowed to return, that his lieutenants are to be transferred abroad, and that his security chief may be removed from command. Increasing animosity between Arabs and Africans within the regime could lead to the ouster of Babu's pro-Chinese Arabs. Vice President Hanga and other pro-Soy-let Africans would then presumably take con- trol. u Karume recently has reversed. his hostile atti- tude toward the US, and has reportedly ordered. anti- US demonstrations and press attacks to cease. The 200 Tanganyikan police on Zanzibar might be a factor favoring the "Africans" Tanganyika's leftist Defense Minister Kambona almost certainly would support his friend Hanga and President Karume. On 18 April orders were issued in Tanganyika to evacuate the Tanganyikan force, but the order was rescinded after Karume--with Hangars approval-- made a quick trip to Dar-es-Salaam. Kambona and another Tanganyikan minister arrived in Zanzibar yesterday, and President Nyerere was expected mo- mentarily. (continued) 23 Apr 64 DAILY BRIEF Approved For elease 2003/01/29 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO0760031 25X1 Approved For elease 2003/01/29 CIA-RDP79T00975A007600310 0z_RX1 The outcome of an Arab-African struggle is un- certain, however. Babu is one of the most able men in Zanzibar. His followers are the best disciplined and his Cuban-trained security force appears to con- trol most of the automatic weapons. MEN 25X1 I A. 23 Apr 64 Approved Fob Emmommommi DAILY BRIEF 0 MY-4 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/01/29 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO07600310001-3 Approved For Release 2003/01/29 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO07600310001-3 ........... . . pox, Approved For Release 2003/01/29 : CIA-RDP79TOO975AO076003101)01'25X1 Burma. Ne Win is courting trouble with his Bud- dhisf -opposition at the same time that his insurgency problem is growing. On 18 April Ne Win warned Buddhist monks to concentrate on religion and stay out of politics, and announced that all Buddhist organizations would be required to register with the government. Hitherto, Ne Win has carefully avoided a confrontation with the Buddhist clergy, who have been carrying on the only significant overt Opposition to the regime. The monks are capable of generating widespread discontent among the general population. Twenty million of Burma's 24 million people are Buddhists. Ethnic insurgents in the Kachin State in northern Burma are expanding their operations and gaining broad popular support. Government control for some time has been limited to principal garrison towns and isolated ogtposts in this area- F- 25X1 23 Apr 64 DAILY BRIEF 9 Release 2003/01/29 CIA-RDP79TOO975AO076OC310'0'6'1'~ IN "IN "M E N pp,,,.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, '~SX1 A roved For Release 2003/01/29: CIA-RDP79T00975A007600310 0 W NOTES USSR: The announced economic results for the first quarter of 1964 show that performance continues to be sluggish. Industrial output increased at only about 8 percent--the lowest rate claimed thus far in the Seven-Year Plan (1959-65). Chemical production achieved the largest increase of the major industrial sectors, but it has yet to reach the tempo required if the new plans adopted last December are to be met. There was some improvement in the output of con- sumer durables such as washing machines and re- frigerators, but processed foods production fared 25X badly, reflecting the poor agricultural performance last year, Chile-Cuba: Che Guevara, 25X1 has boasted that Chile will be the next Latin American country to enter "our" camp. This statement presumably reflects confidence on Guevara's part that Communist-Socialist candidate Salvador Allende will be victorious in the presidential election on 4 September. Allende, who has visited Cuba often and is closely acquainted with,Cuban lead- ers, is receiving campaign funds from Havana, I- 23 Apr 64 DAILY BRIEF 10 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/01/29: CIA-RDP79T00975AO0760 31QQM13 Approved For Release 2003/01/29: CIA-RDP79TOO975AO0760031(1001-325X1 0/10/m/11, 1110/1'a" NO DAILY BRIEF 11 25X1 08M ------------- West Germany - Communist China: a senior of - ficial of the West German Consulate General in Hong Kong will visit the Canton trade fair next week and may go on to Peiping. The official has indicated that the visit does not mean any important change in Ger- man policy, but is intended to counter criticism from German business and press groups who blame the government for the decline in Sino-German trade. The visit was to have taken place earlier, but was postponed to avoid possible misunderstanding at the time of Paris' recognition of Peiping..-71 23 Apr 64 Approved For Release 2003/01/29 CIA-RDP79T00975A0076003 0001-3 j 25X1 j p FRI. NATIONAL INTELLIGE E ESTIMATE The United States Inte igence Board approved the following national int ligence estimate on 22 April 25X1 23 Apr 64 DAILY BRIEF 25X1 ME 11-4-64: " in Trends in Soviet Military olicy " j Approved F r e ease - 0001-3 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/01/29 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO07600310001-3 Approved For Release 2003/01/29 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO07600310001-3 Approved For Re a 200 IMR :,1IE-Cn 1'pO975Ac00310001-3 Approved For Release 20017hf29 S (5gfEV 00975AO07600310001-3